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 Nathan MacKinnon #29 of the Colorado Avalanche celebrates with his teammates as we look at the best 2023-24 NHL Hart Trophy odds at the close of the season.
Nathan MacKinnon #29 of the Colorado Avalanche celebrates with his teammates after scoring on March 24, 2024 in Denver, Colorado. Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images via AFP.

Colorado Avalanche ace Nathan MacKinnon closed as the consensus favorite by the 2024 Hart Trophy odds at the end of the regular season based on the best NHL odds from our best NHL betting sites.

Nathan MacKinnon's Hart Trophy odds lengthened across most of our best sports betting sites over the final weeks of the season before the odds were pulled. He was trading as short as -400 at Caesars as the season wrapped up.

While our best sports betting sites identified him as the favorite, his lead atop the oddsboard shrunk a bit due to Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Nikita Kucherov's clutch play down the stretch. Kucherov's odds improved substantially at most sportsbooks, closing the season in the +350 range.

Edmonton Oilers superstar Connor McDavid fell off the pace despite his incredible season, with his MVP odds trading between +650 and +900. 

Here's our look at the Hart Trophy odds near the end of the season.

Hart Trophy odds 2024

(Hart Trophy odds updated April 9)

PlayerDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGM Caesarsbet365
Nathan MacKinnon-275 🔥 -400  -323-400 -350 
Nikita Kucherov+350 +370 +400 🔥+360 +350
Connor McDavid+750 +900 🔥+650 ❄️+700+700 
Auston Matthews+2500+2300 +1600 ❄️+2100 +2500 
Sidney Crosby+10000+11000 🔥+10000N/A+10000

Hart Trophy favorites

Nathan MacKinnon (-275 via DraftKings)

After increasing to 76.19%, MacKinnon has seen his implied probability, via our odds converter, drop to 73.34%. While his status as favorite weakened toward the end of the year, he still wrapped up as the undeniable frontrunner. 

MacKinnon finished the year with 140 points, second behind Kucherov for the league lead. 

MacKinnon's home-point streak ended at 35 games on March 28 against the New York Rangers. His +35 is tied with McDavid for the best mark among MVP contenders and sixth-best overall in the league.

He is the only one of the favorites who hasn't won a Hart Trophy, but that could change on awards night.

Nikita Kucherov (+400 via BetMGM)

Kucherov is back to his old tricks again, lighting up the scoresheet everywhere he plays. The diminutive rockstar finished the season with a league-high 144 points.

Kucherov finished with 54 more points than Brayden Point, who has the Lightning's second-highest point total (90). That discrepancy from first to second is larger than any other favorite by a wide margin. 

Connor McDavid (+900 via FanDuel)

Despite McDavid's best effort, he remains a somewhat distant third.  

McDavid had 122 points in 65 games after former head coach Jay Woodcroft was fired on Nov. 12, and finished the season with an even 100 assists, just the fourth player to hit the mark in NHL history.

The three-time MVP winner has the most assists and primary assists while notching an otherworldly 83 points in 37 home contests. He also had 102 points in the 48 Oilers' wins in which he played, reinforcing his unparalleled importance to the team.

However, he has only 32 goals, tied for 34th overall. He also had the second-worst shooting percentage of his career (12.2%).

Hart Trophy odds over time

MacKinnon's odds lengthened across at DraftKings, FanDuel, and Caesars as the season wound down. 

Kucherov saw the largest improvement over the season's final weeks, with his odds shortening at DraftKings from +600 to +350, from +500 to +370 at FanDuel, from +600 to +360 at Caesars, from +500 to +400 at BetMGM.  

2024 Hart Trophy opening odds

PlayerOdds
Connor McDavid+100
Leon Draisaitl+1000
Matthew Tkachuk+1000
Nathan MacKinnon+1000
David Pastrnak+1200
Auston Matthews+1400
Jack Hughes+1600
Kirill Kaprizov+1600
Cale Makar+2200
Jason Roberston+2500
Nikita Kucherov+2500
Tage Thompson+2500
Mikko Rantanen+4000
Elias Pettersson+5000
Jack Eichel+5000
Kyle Connor+6600
Sebastian Aho+6600
Ilya Sorokin+8000
Mitch Marner+8000
Sidney Crosby+8000

Recent Hart Trophy winners

YearPlayerPositionTeamPreseason odds
2022-2023Connor McDavidCEdmonton Oilers+300
2021-2022Auston MatthewsCToronto Maple Leafs+900
2020-2021Connor McDavidCEdmonton Oilers+600
2019-2020Leon DraisaitlCEdmonton Oilers+4000
2018-2019Nikita KucherovRWTampa Bay Lightning+1500
2017-2018Taylor HallLWNew Jersey DevilsN/A
2016-2017Connor McDavidCEdmonton Oilers+600
2015-2016Patrick KaneRWChicago BlackhawksN/A
2014-2015Carey PriceGMontreal Canadiens+5000
2013-2014Sidney CrosbyCPittsburgh Penguins+300
2012-2013Alex OvechkinLWWashington Capitals+1350

Hart Trophy betting analysis

MacKinnon's Hart Trophy odds at our best live betting sites lengthened slightly as most sportsbooks. However, he's still the consensus favorite with just over a week to play. 

Hart Trophy FAQ

Who is the Hart Trophy favorite?

Colorado Avalanche star MacKinnon is the favorite to win the Hart Trophy, trading between -275 and -400.

Who won the Hart Trophy last year?

Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid won the Hart Trophy for the 2022-2023 season, finishing ahead of Pastrnak and Florida Panthers winger Matthew Tkachuk.

When will the Hart Trophy be decided?

Votes from the Professional Hockey Writers' Association must be filed before the Stanley Cup Playoffs begin. The 2023-24 regular season ends on April 18.

NHL betting odds pages

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