Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Odds: NHL Picks (Oct. 13)

I offer my Avalanche vs. Stars prediction using the latest odds with a focus on Dallas' league-best defense and goaltending.
Dallas Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger (29) makes a glove save as we provide our Avalanche vs. Stars prediction.
Pictured: Dallas Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger (29) makes a glove save as we provide our Avalanche vs. Stars prediction. Photo by Timothy T. Ludwig via Imagn Images.
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My Avalanche vs. Stars prediction breaks down who has the edge in a matchup between the league's best offense and top defense. It's the first of two games in a home-and-home series this week between the Central Division rivals.

Puck drop is set for 8:30 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, with the Avalanche priced as a slight road-betting favorite. The game will air on ESPN as part of its "Frozen Frenzy" programming, which features all 32 NHL teams in action on Tuesday.


Avalanche vs. Stars picks & odds today: Oct. 13

See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.

Pick Best odds Bet size
Stars ML -102 via bet365 1 unit to profit 0.98 units
Under 6 -110 via BetMGM 0.5 units to profit 0.46 units

Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: 1.43 units

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Avalanche vs. Stars prediction & best bet

Stars ML (-102)

The Stars have an elite defensive structure that is shutting down opponents. They've limited shots on goaltender Jake Oettinger, who has allowed one goal across his previous three starts.

The American-born netminder has been great against the Avs in his career. Oettinger boasts a 7-3-3 career regular-season record against Colorado, along with a sterling .911 save percentage against the decade's most potent offense.

Meanwhile, Colorado's goaltending ranks among the league's worst out of the gate. Dallas is better equipped to come out with the home win here, which I bet at bet365's market-best -102 odds.

📡 SBR Edge: If anyone can slow down the Avs, it's the Stars

Dallas is allowing an NHL-best 1.4 goals against per game.


Best Avalanche vs. Stars Over/Under bet:

Under 6 (-110)

This Avalanche offense is obviously elite, but it's scoring at an unsustainable pace and due for some negative regression.

Colorado has scored more goals above expected than any other team, per MoneyPuck. Compare that to last season, when they ranked 18th in that category while leading the NHL in goals scored.

Combined with the way the Stars' backend and goaltending are playing right now - Dallas games are 5-0 to the Under - and taking the Under is the best Over/Under play for this matchup. BetMGM offers the top value among the best sports betting sites at -110 on Under 6.


Live Avalanche vs. Stars odds


Avalanche vs. Stars betting trends

Avalanche Statistic Stars
3-2-0 W-L record 2-2-1
3-2 ATS record 2-3
4-1 O/U record 0-5

Avalanche vs. Stars injuries


How to watch Avalanche vs. Stars

  • Date: Tuesday, Oct. 13
  • Puck drop: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
  • TV: ESPN