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UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai Main Event Odds and Picks

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UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai Main Event Odds and Picks
Alistair Overeem of the Netherlands. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

The Ultimate Fighting Championship has a jam-packed schedule and this Saturday we are getting what should be a very entertaining fight between Alistair Overeem and Augusto Sakai. Here’s a complete preview, including updated odds and our betting pick.

Alistair Overeem vs. Augusto Sakai

Saturday, September 5, 2020 – 11:59 PM EDT at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas

In the main event of the evening, Alistair Overeem faces Augusto Sakai. UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. There will not be fans in attendance because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

With plenty of betting lines and markets currently available, let’s attempt to find some value for our UFC picks on Saturday’s main event.

Alistair Overeem. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

Alistair Overeem

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Born in Hounslow, Greater London to a Jamaican father and a Dutch mother, Alistair Overeem's family moved to the Netherlands when he was six years old. "The Reem" competed in judo, track and field and basketball as a kid and started his MMA training at age 15.

A former Strikeforce Heavyweight Champion, DREAM Heavyweight Champion and K-1 World Grand Prix Champion, Overeem is one of only two fighters to hold world titles in both MMA and K-1 kickboxing at the same time. The accomplished martial artist has a 10-4 kickboxing record, fighting in the Japanese K-1 leagues.

Alistair Overeem has already knocked out legends like Badr Hari and Peter Aerts and is trying to work his way towards one more UFC heavyweight title shot. Overeem has won three of his last four fights. He stopped Walt Harris in the second round at UFC on ESPN 8 on May 16th.

  • Born: May 17th, 1980
  • Age: 40
  • Country: Netherlands
  • Height: 6’4″
  • Weight: 234 lbs
  • Reach: 80″
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Association: Elevation Fight Team
  • Class: Heavyweight
  • Record: 46-18-1

Stats

Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
24 wins by KO/TKO3.66 Landed54% Accuracy
17 wins by Submission2.18 Absorbed73% Defended
5 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • World-class striker/kickboxer
  • Very good submission and wrestling skills
  • Solid striking and takedown defense
  • Hard hitter with experience

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Overconfidence

Augusto Sakai. Michael Reaves/Getty Images/AFP

Augusto Sakai

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Augusto Sakai is the grandson of Japanese immigrants to Brazil. He made his professional mixed martial arts debut in October 2011 and went 6-0 in the first two years of his career. Five of those six wins came via knockout.

The name Sakai comes from his mother. Augusto's grandfather migrated from Japan to Brazil and worked in agriculture. He visited Japan in 2017, cornering teammate Rogerio Bontorin in an event called GRANDSLAM 6. His two older brothers live in Tokyo.

"It was such an amazing experience to know my origins," Sakai, who works at an aquarium store between fights, told Sherdog.com.

"Actually, I started to train in the peak of Pride era and always dreamed of fighting in Japan. I don't like to pick opponents after my wins, but I would love to fight on the card the next time the UFC goes to Japan. No matter who the opponent is it would be a dream to me."

Sakai has won his first four fights in the UFC, including a split decision victory against Blagoy Ivanov at UFC on ESPN 9 on May 30th.

  • Born: May 19th, 1991
  • Age: 29
  • Country: Brazil
  • Height: 6’4″
  • Weight: 260 lbs
  • Reach: 77″
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Association: Gile Ribeiro Team / Noguchi Team
  • Class: Heavyweight
  • Record: 15-1-1

Stats

Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
11 wins by KO/TKO3.19 Landed27% Accuracy
0 wins by Submission4.57 Absorbed51% Defended
4 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Undefeated in the UFC
  • Good striker
  • Has knockout potential

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Not as battle-tested as Overeem

Prediction

Alistair Overeem has nearly four times Sakai's experience. Sakai can't present Overeem with anything he hasn't already dealt with in the Octagon.

This will be Sakai's most difficult challenge. Both fighters have serious power but Overeem has a more diverse offense. His kickboxing allows him to land his shots at a distance and he has above average reach. I'm a big fan of both fighters but I have to side with Overeem on Saturday.

My Pick: Alistair Overeem -147 at 5Dimes (visit our 5Dimes Review)

Alistair Overeem -147
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