Sky vs. Liberty Prediction: WNBA Picks for Saturday, Aug. 29

My Sky vs. Liberty prediction breaks down the best bets I'm backing for the WNBA tonight.
New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu (20) collides with Los Angeles Sparks forward Dearica Hamby (5) in the first quarter at Barclays Center.
Pictured: New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu (20) collides with Los Angeles Sparks forward Dearica Hamby (5) in the first quarter at Barclays Center. Photo by: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images
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My Sky vs. Liberty prediction targets the Under in a matinee matchup slated to begin at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, on CBS.

The Liberty, who have underperformed as preseason WNBA championship odds favorites, are 8.5-point favorites against the Sky. I'd prefer the Under after New York scored just 60 points in its last game.


🏀 Sky vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

💰 Pick ⚖️ Bet size (units) 🧠 Why I bet this
Under 179.5 (-106 via FanDuel) 1u → 0.94u The Liberty have the league's fourth-best defensive rating at home this year.
Sabrina Ionescu Over 16.5 points (+100 via FanDuel) 1u → 1u Sabrina Ionescu has cleared this line in her last two matchups with the Sky, averaging 23.5 points.

Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.94 units

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🏆 Who will win Sky vs. Liberty?

My final score prediction for today's Sky vs. Liberty game has New York winning by nine points on Saturday. The Liberty are 14-6 at home this year, ranking fifth in net rating. New York hasn't dropped consecutive home games since late May, so I'm expecting a bounce-back performance this afternoon.

Score prediction: Liberty 92, Sky 83


💰 Sky vs. Liberty prediction & best bet

Under 179.5 (-106)

I like the Under for today's Sky vs. Liberty matchup at 178.5 or better.

New York is simply better defensively when playing at home this year. The Liberty have the league's fourth-best defensive rating at home this season. They are 13th in road contests.

In addition, I'd be surprised if New York clears its team total (94.5) after scoring just 60 points on Thursday. There is room for the Under on both sides.


🔥 Best Sky vs. Liberty player prop bet

Sabrina Ionescu Over 16.5 points (+100)

Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu must love a chance to face the Sky. She's cleared this scoring line in her last two matchups against Chicago, averaging 23.5 points and 3.5 triples per contest.

And honestly, I'd argue that Ionescu has been unlucky not to have more points against Chicago. In her last meeting, Ionescu went 2-for-10 from long range.

According to Props Madness, the Sky rank ninth in defending pick-and-roll ball-handlers. They are also 11th in transition. Ionescu earns 42% of her scoring production from those two departments. This is a good opportunity to back a talented guard.


🚀 Sky vs. Liberty same-game parlay

FanDuel offers +385 odds on my Sky vs. Liberty parlay. Backing Ionescu to clear her scoring line while the game finishes below the closing total isn't correlated, but it's certainly possible given the high total. I also like the Liberty's chances of winning at home, so adding their moneyline value makes a lot of sense.

💵 Sky vs. Liberty SGP picks

  • Under 179.5 (-106)
  • Liberty ML (-400)
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 16.5 points (+100)

Best odds: +385 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.38u)


💵 My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 110-139-1 +7.41 units ✅ 4.3% ✅
Player props 38-30 +4.89 units ✅ 7.4% ✅
Parlays 8-53 -2.49 units ❌ -40.9% ❌

📊 Live Sky vs. Liberty odds


📺 How to watch Sky vs. Liberty

  • Date: Saturday, Aug. 29
  • Tipoff: 1 p.m. ET
  • Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn)
  • TV: CBS
  • Streaming: Paramount+