Valkyries vs. Aces Prediction: WNBA Semifinals Game 3 Picks for Friday, Oct. 9
My Valkyries vs. Aces prediction suggests backing Las Vegas in the first half of Game 3 at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Peacock.
The Aces are 4.5-point favorites in a must-win game, as they look to defend their WNBA championship odds. However, I'm backing their first-half total after finally finding an offensive rhythm in the second half of Game 2.
Valkyries vs. Aces prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Aces Over 39.5 first-half points (+100 via DraftKings) | 1u → 1u | The Aces may have found something in the second half of Game 2, scoring 50 points over the final two quarters. |
| Chelsea Gray Over 11.5 points (-114 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.87u | Chelsea Gray scored 19 points in Game 2, marking the seventh time she's cleared this scoring line in her last eight contests. |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.87 units
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Who will win Valkyries vs. Aces?
I'm predicting the Aces will live to fight another day with a five-point win over the Valkyries in Friday's Game 3. No team has ever erased a 2-0 series deficit in a best-of-five series, but I wouldn't be surprised if A'ja Wilson led the first team to do it. For now, let's start with the Aces winning Game 3.
Score prediction: Aces 83, Valkyries 78
Valkyries vs. Aces prediction & best bet
Aces Over 39.5 first-half points (+100)
The reason to believe in the Aces as 4.5-point favorites on Friday is their second-half performance in Game 3. They scored 50 points across the final two quarters, suggesting they might have finally found a way to crack the Valkyries' historic defense.
I expect that momentum to carry over tonight, especially in an elimination game. Las Vegas, which has won three of the last four titles, won't go down without a fight.
The Aces averaged 46.8 first-half points per game at home during the regular season. It's worth taking a plus-money price on Over 39.5 points.
Best Valkyries vs. Aces player prop bet
Chelsea Gray Over 11.5 points (-114)
Las Vegas guard Chelsea Gray scored 19 points in Game 2, shooting 7-for-15 from the floor. Gray missed a critical 3-pointer late in the game that may have been the difference in this series being 2-0 instead of 1-1.
Still, Gray is the best at leveling up her game when the stakes are highest. I trust no one more in an elimination game. Gray has scored at least 12 points in seven of her last eight contests, averaging 15.8 points over that span.
Gray is also better at home, averaging 13 points and clearing this line in 17 of her 24 Las Vegas games this year. I'd play this up to 12.5.
Valkyries vs. Aces same-game parlay
I'm not making my Valkyries vs. Aces parlay too complicated. I expect Las Vegas to stave off elimination and find a bit more offensive success at home in Game 3. Gray is a player worth backing in the postseason, having cleared this scoring line in five of her last six playoff contests.
💵 Valkyries vs. Aces SGP picks
- Aces Over 39.5 1H points (-118)
- Chelsea Gray Over 11.5 points (-114)
- Aces ML (-176)
Best odds: +252 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.25u)
Live Valkyries vs. Aces odds
How to watch Valkyries vs. Aces
- Date: Friday, Oct. 9
- Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: NBC Sports Network
- Streaming: Peacock
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