Dream vs. Valkyries Prediction: WNBA Finals Game 5 Picks for Monday, Oct. 26
The WNBA Finals are tied 2-2, and my Dream vs. Valkyries prediction for Game 5 expects the road team to pull off the upset.
My WNBA picks fade the Valkyries as a 1.5-point betting favorite Monday. Tipoff from Chase Center in San Francisco is set for 8 p.m. ET (USA Network, CNBC). The total is set at 150.5.
Dream vs. Valkyries prediction: WNBA Finals Game 5 picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| Pick | Bet size | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Dream +1.5 (-115 via DraftKings) | 2.3 units to profit 2 units | The Dream have a WNBA-best +8.7 point differential this postseason. |
| Under 150.5 (-114 via FanDuel) | 0.57 units to profit 0.5 units | The Valkyries have scored 71 or fewer points in each game this series. |
| Angel Reese Over 27.5 points + rebounds (-110 via FanDuel) | 1.1 units to profit 1 unit | Reese has recorded 33 or more points + rebounds in two of the last three games. |
Picks submitted: Oct. 25 at 3:50 p.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 3.97 units | Max profit: +3.5 units
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Dream vs. Valkyries prediction & best bet
Dream +1.5 (-115 via DraftKings)
I'm not concerned with the Dream losing straight up in Game 4. We bet them at -4.5 (-109) in that matchup, and they closed at -6.5 (-105), so I expect them to close as a pick'em Monday.
The Dream still have a WNBA-best +8.7 point differential in the playoffs, compared to just +1.2 for the Valkyries. Yes, the Valkyries played well defensively in Game 4, but their offense remains a problem, and I can't lay points with Golden State moving forward when it can't even score more than 71 points in a game.
The Valkyries ranked second-last in points per game (82.2) in the regular season, and I expect their offense to continue to struggle.
Score prediction: Dream 75, Valkyries 74
Best Dream vs. Valkyries player prop bet
Angel Reese Over 27.5 points + rebounds (-110 via FanDuel)
Reese only had eight points and nine rebounds in Game 4, but that was an unusually bad night for a Dream team that was a 6.5-point betting favorite and lost straight up by five points.
It's unlikely that she has back-to-back performances like that. Despite Game 4, she's still averaging 18.3 points and 12.3 rebounds per game in this series and has recorded 33 or more points + rebounds in two of the last three contests. Reese was just 2 of 12 from the field in Game 4, so while she went under this total, the fact that she attempted 12 field goals is a good sign moving forward.
Live Dream vs. Valkyries odds
How to watch Dream vs. Valkyries: Game 5
- Date: Monday, Oct. 26
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- TV: USA Network, CNBC
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