Mystics vs. Sparks Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, Aug. 28
My Mystics vs. Sparks prediction backs the Under when these two teams clash tonight. Tipoff from crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles is set for 10 p.m. ET (ION).
Washington is a 5.5-point betting favorite as the only team with meaningful WNBA championship odds in this matchup. But the Under is the better play, considering the Sparks' form since trading away their star player.
🏀 Mystics vs. Sparks prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Under 167.5 (-110 via BetMGM) | 1u → 0.91u | The Sparks have been more of an Under team since trading Kelsey Plum. |
| Sonia Citron Under 20.5 points + rebounds (-110 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.91u | Since July 14, Sonia Citron has failed to clear this combo line in 12 of her 18 matchups. |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.82 units
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🏆 Who will win Mystics vs. Sparks?
I like the Mystics to win by six points against the Sparks on Friday. Kelsey Plum's last game with the Sparks was June 21st. Since then, the Sparks rank 14th in the league with a net rating of -8. They are 5-17 over that span. Even while playing the second night of a back-to-back, Washington should win tonight.
Score prediction: Mystics 84, Sparks 78
💰 Mystics vs. Sparks prediction & best bet
Under 167.5 (-110)
The market hasn't fully adjusted to the Sparks since they dealt Plum, as they've been more of an Under team. They are 11-4 to the Under across their past 15 games, ranking 14th in offensive rating over that span.
This stretch includes a head-to-head battle between Los Angeles and Washington on Aug. 15. The Mystics earned an 80-70 win to finish well below the closing total of 173.5.
With the Mystics playing the second night of a back-to-back, I'd be surprised if they even touched 80 in this matchup.
🔥 Best Mystics vs. Sparks player prop bet
Sonia Citron Under 20.5 points + rebounds (-110)
The recent emergence of Kiki Iriafen has reduced Sonia Citron's statistical output, particularly in points and rebounds.
Since July 14, Citron has played 18 games for the Mystics. She's failed to clear this combo line 12 times, averaging 14.7 points and 3.4 rebounds over that span. Citron hasn't cleared this combo in five straight outings.
Citron has yet to play a back-to-back this year, but she did so three times in 2025. Citron averaged 13 points and 3.3 rebounds in those three games, failing to ever clear this combo line.
🚀 Mystics vs. Sparks same-game parlay
I've added Washington's moneyline value to my two picks for tonight's Mystics vs. Sparks parlay. This SGP comes out to a +305 payout at Caesars. Washington should win this game, considering Los Angeles is motivated to lose to improve its draft position.
💵 Mystics vs. Sparks SGP picks
- Under 167.5 (-110)
- Sonia Citron Under 20.5 points + rebounds (-110)
- Mystics ML (-225)
Best odds: +305 via Caesars (0.1u -> 0.3u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 110-133-1 | +11.61 units ✅ | 6.9% ✅ |
| Player props | 38-28 | +6.89 units ✅ | 10.7% ✅ |
| Parlays | 8-51 | -2.29units ❌ | -38.8% ❌ |
📊 Live Mystics vs. Sparks odds
📺 How to watch Mystics vs. Sparks
- Date: Friday, Aug. 28
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles)
- TV: ION
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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