Sun vs. Fever Prediction: Tonight's WNBA Odds, Picks & Best Bets (Friday, Aug. 28)
The Indiana Fever are set to enjoy three weeks off tonight, which should set a lazy tone against the Connecticut Sun. My Sun vs. Fever predictions expect defense to be an afterthought at tip at 7:30 ET on Friday, August 28 in Indiana.
🏀 Sun vs. Fever prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Over 177.5 (-105 at Caesars) | 1.05u → 1u | Neither team has worthwhile defense on a good night, and this should not be a good night. |
| Caitlin Clark Over 22.5 Points (-115 at FanDuel) | 1.15u → 1u | Connecticut's bad defense should allow Caitlin Clark to reach this unusual break on a high. |
Total wagered: 2.2 units | Max profit: 2 units
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🏆 Who will win Sun vs. Fever?
The Fever desperately want to hold onto the fourth or fifth seed, currently a game ahead of No. 6. To do so, they cannot afford to drop a gimme like this against the Sun.
Score prediction: Fever 107, Sun 77
💰 Sun vs. Fever prediction & best bet
Over 177.5 (-105)
We do not need to spend time pointing out how bad the Indiana Fever are on defense even when they are trying, boasting the 11th defensive rating in the WNBA. That is rather well known.
And of course, facing the No. 10 defense in the WNBA is not going to tamp down scoring tonight.
Why might Indiana’s defense be even worse than usual? Because that roster will enjoy three weeks off after tonight thanks to a break for the FIBA Women’s World Cup. This may not be as much beach time as the All-Star Break always is, simply given the looming playoffs and the Fever’s misguided belief they could contend for a championship. But the three weeks off should still spark a lapse of focus tonight, turning Indiana’s bad defense into a non-existent one.
🔥 Best Sun vs. Fever player prop bet
Caitlin Clark Over 22.5 Points (-115)
The greatest risk to Caitlin Clark’s scoring tonight is not a lack of focus but rather a lack of competitiveness. The Connecticut Sun are 17.5-point underdogs. How much will Clark really have to play?
But she scored 27 points in a 35-point blowout of Connecticut about a month ago, playing just 27 minutes. And last week she scored 37 points in 32 minutes in a 23-point win at Chicago. Clark does not need to see a plethora of minutes to score a plethora of points.
🚀 Sun vs. Fever same-game parlay
The Sun are a bit too used to being blown out. Their last nine games have included three losses by at least 20 points.
💵 Sun vs. Fever SGP picks
- Over 177.5 (-105)
- Caitlin Clark Over 22.5 Points (-115)
- Fever -17 (-110)
Best odds: +400 via Caesars (1u -> 4u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since July 1, 2026.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | -2.75 units ❌ | -15.3% ❌ |
| Game picks | 4-5 | -1.0 units ❌ | -11.1% ❌ |
| Player props | 4-5 | -1.75 units ❌ | -19.4% ❌ |
📊 Live Sun vs. Fever odds
📺 How to watch Sun vs. Fever
- Date: Friday, Aug. 28
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
- TV: Ion
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