Seahawks vs. Texans Week 14 Picks: Seattle will Dominate Woeful Houston

The Houston Texans are tanking, but are they an automatic fade at home Sunday? Read on for our Week 14 Seahawks-Texans picks.

Just the fifth all-time meeting between the Seattle Seahawks and Houston Texans will take place on Sunday, and the Seahawks lead the series 3-1. They won the most recent game 41-38 at home in 2017, but I promise you this contest won't feature 79 points. Maybe not even half that many will be produced.

Here are my picks and predictions for the NFL's Week 14 matchup between the Seahawks and Texans (odds via DraftKing Sportsbooks; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Seahawks vs. Texans Game Info

Date/Time: Sunday, Dec. 12, 1 p.m. ETTV: FOXLocation: NRG Stadium, Houston, TXWeather: Indoors

Seahawks vs. Texans Odds Analysis

Shop around if you plan to back Seattle against the spread. As of this writing, DraftKings is offering Seattle at -7, whereas many other books are slotting the Seahawks at -7.5 or even -8.

I don’t like them above -7, and I'll probably buy that down to -6.5. The Seahawks are 9-1 straight up and 5-5 ATS over their past 10 as road favorites of at least 7 points. Meanwhile, the Texans are 0-10 SU and 4-6 ATS in their past 10 as home dogs of at least 7 points.

The total opened as high as 44.5, but it's now down to 43, and it's easy to see why.

Seahawks vs. Texans Picks

Seahawks -7 (-115) ???Under 43 (-110) ???

SEE ALSO: NFL Week 14 Betting Odds, Lines and Picks

Seahawks vs. Texans Predictions

Seahawks -7 (-115)

Seattle's 30-23 win over the San Francisco 49ers in Week 13 to snap a three-game losing skid doesn’t change much. The Seahawks are still 15th in the NFC standings at 4-8. While I expect them to win this game, they aren't making the playoffs or finishing with a winning record.

Russell Wilson had been awful since returning from finger surgery, but he improved against San Francisco while going 30-for-37 passing for 231 yards and two scores with a pick. He made sure receivers Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf were more involved, as they totaled 12 catches for 128 yards and a touchdown. Top running back Alex Collins missed the game, so Travis Homer, Rashaad Penny, and newly signed Adrian Peterson carried the load. Collins is likely to play this week.

Meanwhile, Houston wasn't competitive on Sunday during a 31-0 home loss to Indianapolis. It was the Colts’ first road shutout since 1992. The Texans turned the ball over twice in the first quarter while finishing with nine first downs and 141 yards.

Houston is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a double-digit home loss.

Under 43 (-110)

There are two reasons for backing the Under here. First, Seattle’s offense isn't really fixed. Second, third-round rookie Davis Mills will likely start at quarterback for Houston this week. Tyrod Taylor was benched in the third quarter against Indianapolis and is week-to-week with a wrist injury. That’s why the total for Seahawks-Texans has dropped.

Taylor is at least established as an NFL quarterback. Meanwhile, Mills went 0-6 as Houston’s starter from Weeks 3 to 8 when Taylor was dealing with a hamstring injury. He's thrown eight interceptions and has fumbled four times. Mills also played 44% of Houston’s offensive snaps on Sunday, finishing 6-for-14 passing for 49 yards.

Houston has been held to single-digit or zero points six times, and the Texans are the first team to be shut out by 30 points twice in a season since the 2002 Panthers. However, Houston's defense isn’t actually that bad, and the unit should get back starting linebacker Zach Cunningham in Week 14 after he sat due to being late for a COVID-19 test. Cunningham has recorded 67 tackles and one forced fumble this season.

Seattle’s defense also has been playing quite well, with the Seahawks allowing 23 points or fewer in seven straight games. The Seahawks produced a goal-line stop against the Niners in the final minute after blanking San Francisco in the second half. They should enjoy a field day against Mills.

The Under is 6-0 in Seattle’s past six games on the road, and it’s 4-0 during Houston’s past four contests overall.

SEE ALSO: All picks and odds. Be sure to check out SportsbookReview.com’s community forums and betting tools.

Seahawks-Texans Picks made 12/6/2021 at 4:16 p.m. ET