Jordan Love NFL Player Props, Odds Week 4: Predictions for Lions vs. Packers
Here are the best Jordan Love NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds for Thursday’s Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers matchup.
The Jordan Love era in Green Bay is off to a good start. The young quarterback has thrown for 655 yards, seven touchdowns, and just one interception, while his team is 2-1 and has a chance to take over sole possession of first place in the NFC North.
Love has completed just 51 of his 96 passes, but those numbers could improve with both running back Aaron Jones and No. 1 wideout Christian Watson expected to play Thursday.
Here are our best Jordan Love NFL player prop predictions for the Lions vs. Packers Week 4 matchup, which accompany our Lions vs. Packers player props and Lions vs. Packers predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Make sure to also check out our Lions vs. Packers SGP, touchdown scorer predictions, and our Week 4 player props featuring a receiver from this game!
Jordan Love NFL player prop predictions for Week 4
- Jordan Love Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jordan Love Over 227.5 passing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jordan Love Under 19.5 completions (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Jordan Love player props
Jordan Love Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
The Lions have allowed two of the three quarterbacks they’ve faced this season to throw two touchdowns against them. The only one who didn’t hit that number was Desmond Ridder, a quarterback with just two touchdown passes all season.
Love threw just one touchdown pass last week against the New Orleans Saints, but prior to that, he had thrown three in each of his games. The Lions’ defense played phenomenally last week, but the Atlanta Falcons’ offense played into their strengths. Even if the Packers don’t win, Love throwing two touchdown passes is not a huge ask, especially with his full array of weapons.
Be careful where you bet this. DraftKings’ price is the best by far, and FanDuel is actually offering a price of -113. At +130, this is well worth a play. At -113, it’s a definite stay away.
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Jordan Love Over 227.5 passing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
The oddsmakers at FanDuel are very low on Love’s yardage compared to other sportsbooks. Every other major sportsbook has this number at 231.5 or higher. And, they’re all offering similar prices to what FanDuel is offering.
This season, Love has thrown for at least 245 yards in two of his games. Last week against the Saints, he set a career-high with 259 yards. The Lions’ defense is great against the run, but they struggle against the pass. Even last week in their dominant win over the Falcons, Ridder threw for 201 yards.
On the year, the Lions are allowing an average of 251.7 passing yards per game. We don’t know if Watson or Jones will play full games, but just having them out there in a limited capacity is going to significantly help Love and this passing attack.
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Jordan Love Under 19.5 completions (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
FanDuel is the only major sportsbook offering a total of 20.5, but their price for the Under is -136. We don’t think that it’s worth it to take the extra completion for such an inflated price. If the price goes down, or if you are able to find under 20.5 for a better price, we definitely recommend taking it.
Last week, Love completed more than 20 passes for the first time in his career. In his first two weeks, he combined for just 29 completions. Accuracy has been the one negative for Love. He is completing just 53.1% of his passes.
It may seem contradictory to take this Under and the Over for his passing yards. After all, over the last two weeks, he is averaging just 11.4 yards per completion. However, when Jones was in the lineup in Week 1, he averaged 16.3 yards per completion. With Jones and Watson, we expect Love to complete passes for more yardage, while still struggling to get his accuracy under control.
Jordan Love player prop picks made 9/28/2023 at 8:37 a.m. ET.
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