Joe Burrow SNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds
Joe Burrow will look to lead the Cincinnati Bengals to their second win of the season when they take on the New York Giants.
The latest Sunday Night Football odds have the 1-4 Bengals favored by 3.5 points over the Giants. After his 392-yard, five-touchdown performance, are the best Joe Burrow SNF player prop bets Overs?
Burrow is a clear NFL MVP odds contender, but the Giants are only allowing 200.6 passing yards per game this season, making his production tough gauge in our Bengals vs. Giants prediction.
Our Week 6 NFL predictions look at if the Giants can shut Burrow down.
Joe Burrow prop predictions for Sunday Night Football
- Joe Burrow touchdown pick: Under 1.5 touchdown passes (+150 via bet365) ⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Under 265.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Under 34.5 pass attempts (+100 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
NFL odds as of Sunday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Joe Burrow touchdown pick vs. Giants
Joe Burrow Under 1.5 touchdown passes (+150) ⭐⭐
Burrow has thrown a total of 12 touchdown passes in his last four games. During that stretch, he’s thrown at least two touchdown passes in every game. But, frankly, there is no value in taking the over.
The Giants are allowing 1.4 touchdown passes per game this season, and they just held Geno Smith to one touchdown pass last week. Against a defense that has so much success, paying -168 or more for the over is too much.
The price for this prop ranges from +128 to +150. The +128 odds imply a likelihood of 43.86%. The number still suggests Burrow is more likely to hit his Over than his Under.
However, with this game being in prime time after Burrow threw for five touchdown passes last week, this number seems inflated, as no public bettors are looking at this Under.
Best odds: +150 via bet365 | Implied probability: 40%
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose*
*Deposit required. Mobile app only. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Joe Burrow player props
NFL picks made Sunday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Joe Burrow Under 265.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
I wrote about Burrow’s Under being one of my favorite Bengals vs. Giants SNF prop bets. At the time, the highest total was set at 263.5. Since then, this number has become even more enticing at some of the major sportsbooks.
While the number has gone up at bet365 and BetMGM, the total has actually dropped at FanDuel. It now sits at 257.5, and the price is -113. That’s an implied probability of 53.05%. To get eight yards for a price that indicates such similar probability provides fantastic value.
The Giants have managed to shut down some great quarterbacks this year, holding four of the five quarterbacks they’ve faced this season to fewer than 230 passing yards. While Burrow is coming off a great game, he’s gone under 260 yards three times.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
Joe Burrow Under 34.5 pass attempts (+100) ⭐⭐⭐
Burrow has attempted at least 36 passes in three of his five games this season. However, in the Bengals’ only win of the season, Burrow threw only 31 passes. Oddsmakers have factored the Bengals’ assumed success into this line, but have they accounted for it enough?
The Giants are allowing 31.4 passing attempts per game this season. They’ve faced a plethora of good quarterbacks, including Sam Darnold, Dak Prescott, Jayden Daniels, and Geno Smith.
The price for under 34.5 attempts is +100, which implies a 50% probability. Three sportsbooks have the total listed at 35.5, with the best price set at -114.
FanDuel has Under 35.5 set at -140. That implies a probability of 58.33%. If they’re that confident in him under 35.5, it’s safe to take one fewer attempt for a much better price.
Best odds: +100 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 50%
Up To $1,500 First Bet
Bonus bets will expire in 7 days. One new customer offer only. Additional terms and conditions apply.
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Bengals vs. Giants odds
Sunday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Bengals vs. Giants
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, N.J.)
- How to watch: NBC, Peacock
- Weather: 61 degrees, 40% chance of precipitation, wind 11 mph E
- Favorite: Bengals -3.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
NFL betting odds pages
Here are our best NFL betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
Related Articles
