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Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs with the ball as we make our Chiefs vs. Packers parlay
Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs with the ball during the third quarter of a game against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Candice Ward/Getty Images via AFP.

Our Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers parlay predictions for Sunday Night Football are based on the best NFL odds, as we expect rus to be a factor for Green Bay.

In their recent games, the Green Bay Packers (5-6) have showcased impressive performances. However, there's speculation among sports pundits whether the mini-bye following their Thanksgiving Day domination over the Detroit Lions might leave Green Bay feeling a bit rusty.

Facing the Kansas City Chiefs (8-3), a team unafraid of braving the Midwest December weather, the Packers might face a challenge to maintain their recent surge and could potentially see a regression in their form.

To accompany our Chiefs vs. Packers predictions and Chiefs-Packers NFL player props, here are our best Chiefs vs. Packers parlay predictions for Sunday Night Football (SNF odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Get more on SNF's biggest stars with our Patrick Mahomes NFL player props, Jordan Love props, and Travis Kelce player props.

Chiefs vs. Packers parlay for SNF

(Odds via DraftKings)

  • Chiefs -5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Under 43 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Patrick Mahomes Over 18.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: +500 via DraftKings

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SGP predictions for Chiefs vs. Packers

Chiefs -5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Despite a large swath of games in which the Chiefs have failed to score a single point in the second half, Kansas City has still been one of the better performers for bettors this season. The Chiefs are 7-4 against the spread, posting a respectable 3-2 ATS record in road games. 

This line sits within a touchdown and has moved in favor of the Packers at times throughout the week. Seven of eight Kansas City wins this year have come by a margin of a touchdown or greater. I look for the lengthy layover between games to be a factor for the Packers, as they haven’t played since their impressive Thanksgiving win over the Lions.

Both FanDuel and DraftKings listed the Chiefs as six-point favorites earlier Sunday morning, but we’ve seen the line move to Chiefs -5.5 at both locations as of this writing.

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Under 43 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

On the season, games involving the Packers have gone 5-6 on Overs. On the strength of their improved defense combined with a Mahomes-lead offense often falling short of Kansas City’s typical standard, Chiefs games have been tremendous for Under bettors. The Chiefs cleared the total just three times out of 11 contests.

Green Bay has posted a couple of solid scoring totals in a row heading into this matchup, but this feels like a game in which that streak snaps. The Chiefs have allowed 16.5 points per game on the campaign. The Packers have averaged 21.0 points per game, but before their last two affairs, they failed to score above 20 points in seven straight games.

While I believe Kansas City produces enough offense to cover this spread, I expect the Chiefs’ defense to carry the day on SNF, holding the Packers’ point total to the mid-teens, at most. FanDuel has the game total at 42.5, making the line of 43 at DraftKings a solid value for this second parlay leg.

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Patrick Mahomes Over 18.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Mahomes has played three games in a dome or indoor environment this season. In two of those three games, including last week against the Las Vegas Raiders, he failed to reach 20 rushing yards. But in every other game Mahomes has played this season, all the outdoor games, he’s hit the 20-yard rushing mark.

The snow showers are expected to have cleared out of the area by the time Sunday night at Lambeau Field rolls around. Mahomes has hit 28 or more rushing yards in seven of eight outdoor games this season. It seems that the occasionally unpredictable element of weather causes Mahomes to be more willing to rely upon his legs when necessary.  

After seeing the Mahomes rushing line at 21.5 yards earlier in the week, it has continued to drop in our favor. The number is now down to 18.5 rushing yards at DraftKings.

Our overall parlay odds at DraftKings are +500, a slight improvement over the +493 odds at FanDuel. Considering the Mahomes rushing total and game total lines are more favorable at DraftKings, that’s where we’ll play this parlay.

Chiefs-Packers parlay picks made 12/3/2023 at 12:10 p.m. ET.

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