The Green Bay Packers host the Kansas City Chiefs for Sunday Night Football in Week 13, as we make our best Jordan Love NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.
In the last two games, Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love has orchestrated exceptional performances, guiding his team to consecutive victories and elevating their overall record to 5-6. During this impressive streak, he amassed a total of 590 passing yards, five touchdowns, and notably, zero interceptions.
However, this week poses a significant challenge for Love as he confronts the third-ranked pass defense in the league. The Kansas City Chiefs have been formidable, allowing an average of merely 176.6 passing yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns per game. The big question looms: Can Love handle the intense pressure against such a staunch defense?
In companion with our Chiefs vs. Packers predictions, and our Chiefs vs. Packers NFL player props, here are our best Jordan Love NFL player prop predictions for Sunday Night Football (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
- Jordan Love Under 227.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jordan Love Over 0.5 interceptions (-150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jordan Love Over 20.5 completions (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
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Jordan Love player props
Jordan Love Under 227.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Love has thrown for at least 228 yards in five consecutive games. After throwing for at least 268 in three consecutive games, oddsmakers likely could have gotten away with setting this total higher than it is. However, the incredible play of the Chiefs’ pass defense makes it nearly impossible to trust anyone against it.
Last week, Aidan O’Connell threw for 248 yards, but the Chiefs are still allowing just 178 passing yards per game over their last three. The other two quarterbacks they faced were Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa. Love may be turning a corner after struggling in the early half of the season, but he’s in for a rough game on Sunday night.
Because this game is in prime time and Love’s numbers have been great of late, this total could rise before kickoff. So don’t be afraid to wait to see if you can get a higher and safer number.
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Jordan Love Over 0.5 interceptions (-150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
If Love performs how he should against the Chiefs, there isn’t much value in the remainder of his props. All of our best sports betting sites are asking at least -180 for him to throw fewer than two touchdown passes, and though that should be a lock against this defense, Love did throw two against the Denver Broncos and Pittsburgh Steelers.
But one bet far from a coin flip is Love to throw an interception. He hasn’t thrown one in his last two games, but he’s still managed 10 this season. His last two opponents, the Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Chargers, were each ranked 20th or worse in pass defense and intercepting opponents 0.7 times or fewer per game.
The Chiefs average just 0.5 interceptions per game, but Love makes very risky throws. Against a great secondary, he will make at least one throw that the Chiefs punish him for. The price for this prop is high everywhere, but DraftKings’ -150 is the best available.
Jordan Love Over 20.5 completions (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Love has completed at least 21 passes in five of his last six games. In the game when he failed to hit that mark, he completed 20 as the Packers blew out the Los Angeles Rams and Brett Rypien.
The Chiefs are allowing only 19.4 completions per game. However, the assumption is that they will be playing from ahead for most of this game. The Packers may need to avoid throwing the ball deep in this game, which will lead to more check-down passes from Love. For a player completing 60% of his passes and averaging around 34 attempts per game, the game script should be enough for him to complete at least 21.
Jordan Love player prop picks made 12/2/2023 at 9:25 a.m. ET.
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