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Kansas City Chiefs running back Carson Steele celebrates after a play against the Chicago Bears. We're backing Steele in our Chiefs vs. Falcons SNF prop bets.
Kansas City Chiefs running back Carson Steele celebrates after a play against the Chicago Bears. Photo by Denny Medley via Imagn Images.

The Atlanta Falcons are home underdogs against the Super Bowl odds favorites, as they take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.

Two teams coming off of last-second victories meet in primetime in Week 3, as I take a look at the Sunday Night Football odds and pick the best Chiefs vs. Falcons SNF prop bets alongside our Chiefs vs. Falcons prediction.

The Chiefs have allowed the fourth-most yards in the league this season, but they’ve been able to hold their opponents to 22.5 points per game.

In our NFL Week 3 predictions, we look at whether the Chiefs' bend-don’t-break style will work against Kirk Cousins and how they'll look in their first game without Isiah Pacheco.

Chiefs vs. Falcons player props: Sunday Night Football

Odds as of Saturday and subject to change.

NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Kirk Cousins Under 235.5 passing yards (-113) 

After just 155 yards in Week 1, Cousins managed 241 against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2.

However, when looking more closely at the stat line, 70 of those yards never should have happened. Had Saquon Barkley caught the ball that hit him right in the hands, Cousins would have ended the game with just 171 yards.

The Chiefs are allowing the second-most passing yards per game this season, but they also faced Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow, and both of those quarterbacks played from behind most of the game.

The range of totals being offered is great for bettors. Three of the five major sportsbooks have this as 228.5. DraftKings has it 231.5. But FanDuel is the best place to bet the Under with a $10 winning bet paying an $8.85 profit.

On the flip side, we think Cousins' counterpart will have a big day with our Patrick Mahomes SNF player props.

Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%

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Carson Steele Over 11.5 rushing attempts (+105) 

Steele gets the start over Samaje Perine this week, and I think Andy Reid is going to use him a lot. How effective will Steele be? That remains a mystery.

While his production is unknown, his usage is all but guaranteed. Steele ran the ball seven times last week, and he didn’t see the field nearly as much as he will this week.

The Falcons are allowing 161.5 rushing yards per game, so if the Chiefs want to take advantage of the Falcons’ defense, they need to run the ball.

The total is the same at every major sportsbook, but the price varies from +105 to -110. BetMGM is offering the best odds right now, so make your wager there with a $10 winning bet paying a $10.50 profit.

Best odds: +105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 48.78%

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Travis Kelce Under 4.5 receptions (+115) 

This season, Kelce has just four catches for 39 yards. Because of all the offensive weapons the Chiefs have, Kelce has only been targeted seven times thus far.

Last week, he had just one catch for five yards.

Eventually, he’s going to break out of this slump, but is this really the right matchup for it? The Falcons allowed Pat Freiermuth to pull down four catches for 27 yards in Week 1, and Dallas Goedert had three for 38 last week.

The Over is heavily favored at every major sportsbook. This is another reason to take the Under. That’s where the value is. And at this price, a $10 winning bet pays an $11.50 profit.

We also faded the tight end as part of our Travis Kelce SNF player props.

Though we don't expect Kelce to have a big game, our Chiefs vs. Falcons SNF parlay does project one Chiefs receiver to show out.

Best odds: +115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 46.51%

Chiefs vs. Falcons odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Sunday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Chiefs vs. Falcons
  • Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Ga.)
  • How to watch: NBC/Peacock
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Chiefs (-160 via BetMGM)

NFL betting odds pages

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