Chiefs vs. Falcons SNF Parlay: Sunday Night Football SGP Odds
The Philadelphia Eagles might have bailed out Kirk Cousins and the Atlanta Falcons on Monday night, but they shouldn't expect that same level of generosity from the Super Bowl odds favorites in Week 3.
Our Chiefs vs. Falcons SNF parlay looks at the Sunday Night Football odds and finds three valuable picks that add up to +750 odds.
Our NFL Week 3 predictions have already covered this game in great detail with our Chiefs vs. Falcons SNF prop bets, and now we've got a tasty SGP for you.
Chiefs vs. Falcons parlay: Sunday Night Football
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Falcons +3 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Bijan Robinson Under 75.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Rashee Rice Over 75.5 receiving yards (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +750 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 11.76%
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SGP predictions for Chiefs vs. Falcons
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Falcons +3 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
We start our parlay with our Chiefs vs. Falcons prediction.
To reach this 2-0 record, it took the Chiefs surviving on the final play of the game against both the Ravens and Bengals. Both of those contests were played in the comforts of Arrowhead, meaning the Chiefs haven’t experienced a tough environment yet this year.
Dome Sweet Dome?
Of course, I’m not insinuating that Patrick Mahomes hasn’t played and won in difficult places before. But after his lackluster performance a week ago, it’s clear there are presently some kinks to work out offensively for Kansas City.
Our Phil Wood does think the QB bounces back statistically with his Patrick Mahomes SNF player props.
I mostly reject the Cousins prime-time narrative - he just won outright in primetime six days ago.
At +3, this feels like territory for a push, but we still like the Falcons as a four-star play.
This recommendation moves to five stars if the line reaches +3.5. At present, it’s +3 across our best sports betting sites with odds of -105 at most shops. FanDuel offers the best value on the spread pick at Falcons +3 (-104).
Robinson Under 75.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Throw out what Lamar Jackson did on the ground against Kansas City, because Kirk Cousins isn’t going to run like that. Against leading running backs so far this season, the Chiefs have allowed only 46 yards to Derrick Henry on 3.5 YPC and 34 yards to Zack Moss on 2.8 YPC.
Though Bijan Robinson is the best running back they will have seen yet, this lofty rushing line in the mid-70s doesn’t give enough respect to a solid Kansas City run defense.
Robinson could find space in the receiving game, but I trust the Chiefs to limit his efficiency on the ground.
Contrarian bonus at DraftKings?
Since our parlay includes this Under prop, we will avoid playing it at BetMGM or Caesars, where the line is only 73.5 yards. DraftKings and FanDuel provide better value for the prop, listing Robinson’s rushing total at 75.5 yards.
Though FanDuel offers better odds on both legs of the parlay so far, DraftKings actually has the better overall SGP odds (+415 to +312) because of their tendency to provide an odds boost for contrarian plays - taking the Falcons to cover while betting one of their player props Under qualifies.
Rice Over 75.5 receiving yards (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Seeing the way we were rewarded for contrarianism at DraftKings after plugging in our first two legs, I wanted to explore a third play of a similar ilk.
I shifted over to the Kansas City side and noticed that the Falcons have permitted one leading receiver to produce quality outings in consecutive games.
Rice is nice like that
Despite Justin Fields racking up only 156 passing yards against Atlanta in Week 1, 85 of those yards were accrued by Pittsburgh’s George Pickens.
DeVonta Smith was the clear No. 1 for Philadelphia Monday due to AJ Brown’s absence. He went for 76 yards on seven receptions.
With Travis Kelce quiet and Hollywood Brown on IR, Rice has been the clear go-to receiver for Mahomes. I like him to pace the Chiefs passing attack and clear 75.5 yards here.
Though the DraftKings odds (-130) are again less favorable on this prop than at FanDuel (-110), we can’t ignore the overall parlay odds at DraftKings being +750 compared to +631 at FanDuel.
A winning $10 wager on this SGP at DraftKings would profit $75.00.
Chiefs vs. Falcons odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Sunday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Chiefs vs. Falcons
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Ga.
- How to watch: NBC
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Chiefs (-162 via DraftKings)
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