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NFL picks & best bets today
Throughout the NFL season, our betting experts at Sportsbook Review offer their best predictions and picks on the top games each and every week. We have you covered from the preseason through the Super Bowl, with more than 20 years of experience in the sports betting industry to back us up.
Our picks widget (above) shows you our expert predictions on each of the top games throughout the football week, with the best NFL odds and lines from legal and regulated sportsbooks. We have you covered for Thursday Night Football, Sunday Night Football, and Monday Night Football, and the best games in between. See our best picks on your favorite teams, players, and games. You’ll find the latest odds and the best place to make your bets today!
Each day at SBR, you’ll find confident NFL predictions on point spreads, totals (Over/Unders), and moneylines, in addition to team and player props, and parlays (and SGPs!). We strive to find value and profit opportunities on the players you want to bet and the games you’ll be watching. Our extensive first and anytime touchdown scorer predictions offer up plus-money picks on the game’s biggest stars and hidden long shots alike. We offer you a mix of high-confidence picks along with entertaining long shots and lotto tickets to enhance your viewing and betting experience.
SBR’s team of experts hunts for value in the odds and betting lines by tracking snap counts and depth charts, using advanced statistics and analytics, and the lines themselves to find value opportunities and derive the best and most confident predictions. We break down team and player performance, and how recent results and outputs can factor into specific matchups.
Come back to this page often for daily NFL picks and betting advice from our experts at Sportsbook Review.
NFL expert picks each week
Our NFL betting experts have been on top of the futures markets since the clock hit 00:00 in February’s Super Bowl. We’ve covered free agency and the draft, trades and offseason injuries, and changes in the odds to win the Super Bowl and every major award.
We’ve monitored the news through training camps and hit the ground running with preseason. Throughout the regular season and playoffs, we’ll cover the weekly NFL odds for the entire slate and marquee games. We’ll also have our eyes on how weather might impact this week’s games, injuries from around the league, and the betting trends that actually matter for helping you win your NFL bets. We try to find out why teams are winning and/or scoring more on the road vs. at home, and why a team might hold a lengthy winning streak against their division rival.
Our expert picks on each game we cover will offer up a pick to win, along with the best ATS or total picks, and all the player props you’ll be most interested in. We’ll combine our standalone bets into a parlay or SGP to boost the odds and offer the chance at a bigger payday.
While we can’t guarantee our picks or offer Bad Beat Refunds, our 1-to-5-star confidence ratings show our experts’ faith in each selection on our site. Our NFL experts know their stuff and cover the games and betting markets they’ll be betting themselves.
Free Super Bowl picks
Whether your team’s looking to contend this season or not, we have them covered with live Super Bowl odds and our extensive coverage of the single most popular betting market in the industry. We’re on top of every shift throughout the calendar year and will be providing weekly updates through the season.
Super Bowl odds shift due to team and player performance, injuries, trades, and other news. We’re on top of all of that so you can stay focused on making your best picks and predictions to win the Big Game in February. Don’t just bet the favorites, as we look for value opportunities before teams get hot and rise to the top of the oddsboard.
Super Bowl futures odds for the next season are typically posted during the NFL playoffs and before that season’s champion is crowned. You can bet on which team will win the Super Bowl more than a year in advance of the championship game.
| Team | Odds to win Super Bowl (before Week 1) |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +600 (bet $100 to win $600 profit) |
| San Francisco 49ers | +700 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +900 |
| Buffalo Bills | +1100 |
| Detroit Lions | +1400 |
- Super Bowl odds are typically moneyline style and reflect implied win probability
- Favorites to win the Big Game often range from +500 to +800 early in the season
- Long shots can be +5000 or longer
You can place a variety of bets leading up to and during the Big Game:
- Futures
- Pick who will win the Super Bowl
- Example: Dallas Cowboys to win Super Bowl at +1200
- Game line
- Bet on the point spread, moneyline, or Over/Under once the matchup is set
- Player props
- Patrick Mahomes Over/Under 2.5 touchdown passes
- Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer (+110)
We advise entering the season with a couple of Super Bowl long-shot picks in your pocket. Wait for the best buy-point on the favorite(s) of your choice. You’ll be better off betting these teams following a loss than amid a winning streak. When expectations drop, that’s often the best time to find longer odds.
Once the Super Bowl comes around, treat it as any other game.
Super Bowl novelty props
Super Bowl novelty props are fun, entertainment-style wagers unique to the Super Bowl. These bet types are random, almost completely unpredictable, and may literally come down to a 50/50 coin flip. These wagers should be made with reduced investments solely for fun.
Popular novelty props:
- Coin toss: Heads or Tails (usually -105 or -110 so that the sportsbooks take their cut, or vig)
- Length of national anthem: Over/Under (i.e., 1 minute, 59 seconds)
- Gatorade color poured on winning coach: Orange, Blue, Clear, etc.
- Halftime show props: First song performed, surprise guest appearances
- MVP speech: Will the MVP mention "teammates" or "God" first?
Some sportsbooks even offer live betting on commercials, celebrities in attendance, or camera shots during the game.
Free NFL moneyline picks
A moneyline pick is simply wagering on who will win a game - no point spreads involved. Odds show favorites with a minus (‑) and underdogs with a plus (+). Either team needs to just win by any margin to cash bets on their side.
Imagine the Bills are favorites and the Jets are underdogs:
| Team | Moneyline odds |
|---|---|
| Bills | –250 |
| Jets | +400 |
- $100 on Bills (‑250) → Profit = $100 × (100 / 250) = $40 (total payout $140)
- $100 on Jets (+400) → Profit = $100 × 4 = $400 (total payout $500)
Free NFL Over/Under picks
Over/Under betting doesn’t care who wins the game, just how many points are scored.
- Book sets a line → i.e., Over/Under 54.5
- You choose:
- Over 54.5
- Under 54.5
- Odds are usually around –110, meaning you bet $110 to win $100 (and your $110 stake returns $210 total)
- If the final score is:
- 48–22 (total 70) → Over wins
- 24–23 (total 47) → Under wins
- Pushes are avoided thanks to the half-point; i.e., 54.5 guarantees Over or Under wins
- If the total is set at 54 and that’s the exact final score, all bets on either side will be refunded (voided) as a tie
- You can also bet on the point total in each half or quarter, or for each team
Free NFL spread picks
Our expert picks typically focus on picks against the spread as one of the most popular NFL picks. Spreads handicap matchups by setting a number teams need to cover via winning by more than that amount or losing by less than that amount.
- The favorite is shown with a minus (–) and must win by more than the spread to cover
- The underdog has a plus (+) and must either win outright or lose by fewer points than the spread
- Spreads often include a .5 (i.e., 3.5) to avoid a tie or “push.” If the final margin equals the exact spread, bets are refunded as a tie
- Key numbers such as 3, 7, and 10 are considered to represent the best bets as they represent scoring increments and you can bet on teams to win by or less than those common numbers
Free NFL prop picks
NFL player props offer the best chance to bet on your favorite (or most disliked) players. It’s also the place bettors look to attack narratives and news, and our NFL prop betting sites are generally slower to adjust these lines and odds than they are to move the game lines. Looking to back a player in a revenge game against his former team, or think your team’s WR2 will have a big day with the WR1 nursing an injury during practice? Then NFL props are for you. Rush out to these markets at your favorite sportsbook(s) whenever you see a trusted report or breaking news. We’ll also have your back by tracking that info with our NFL picks.
Betting lines are often in the form of Over/Unders for a set line of yards, pass competitions or attempts, touchdowns, or receptions/rushing attempts. Other prop bets are Yes/No bets, or just Yes bets, such as anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
Alternate lines offer the opportunity to get higher or lower odds when you’re more or less confident in the standard prop bet line. Are you convinced Patrick Mahomes will go Over his standard passing yards line of 257.5? Try betting Mahomes to finish with 280+ passing yards. Not comfortable betting Josh Allen’s Under on a line of 285.5 yards? Bet Allen to finish with 220+ passing yards, or the Under on an alternate line of 275.5 in a difficult matchup.
These alternate lines with shorter odds can be added to parlays and SGPs to boost the overall payout while maintaining a high probability of each leg hitting.
Anytime touchdown scorer props, and related markets such as first touchdown scorer, last touchdown scorer, and multiple touchdown scorer props, are among the most popular of all NFL prop picks. These can provide instant gratification with quick payouts, or offer a full-game sweat. It’s also abundantly clear when you’ve won the bet while watching the game, and you can get score notifications to your mobile device if you’re not watching RedZone.
NFL props extend beyond player props. Here are a couple examples of widely-available team and game props for every game.
Team props:
- Eagles Over 2.5 total touchdowns (+105)
- Jets first team to score (-110)
Game/event props:
- Opening kickoff to be a touchback (-125)
- Any player to score a defensive touchdown (+900)
- Will there be a safety? Yes +750
NFL live betting
While our NFL picks coverage concludes at kickoff, live betting has become increasingly popular for fans and sportsbooks. Be sure to follow our experts on X as they offer up additional advice on the biggest games while watching along with you.
NFL live betting (also called in-game betting) lets you place wagers after the game has started, with odds that change in real time based on the game’s progress.
This allows you to react to the action and potentially find better value than pregame lines. Live betting largely negates the sportsbooks’ inherent advantage over bettors, as oddsmakers at our best live betting sites and viewers are reacting in real time to the events of any game.
Sportsbooks update spreads, totals, moneylines, and props throughout the game based on:
- Score
- Possession
- Injuries
- Time remaining
- Player performance
Popular NFL live betting options
- Live spread
- Example: Chiefs -2.5 vs. Bills (after falling behind 10–0)
- Odds might now favor the underdog if momentum shifts
- Live total (Over/Under)
- If the game starts slow, the total might drop from 48.5 to 42.5
- You can bet the Over if you expect more scoring in the second half
- Live moneyline
- Odds on the trailing team lengthen the longer they’re behind
- Example: Bet +250 on the Bengals to come back from a 14–3 deficit when they were +105 on the pregame moneyline
- Next play / drive props
- Will the next play be a run or pass?
- Will the next drive end in a touchdown?
- Who’ll score the next touchdown?
Strategy tips
- Watch momentum: Injury, weather, or defensive adjustments can shift game flow
- Shop around: Different sportsbooks may offer very different live lines depending on how their oddsmakers are reacting to the game, and where they faced a higher liability based on the pregame handle
- Use delays wisely: Streaming delays can hurt - bet early or during timeouts if possible
- Bet with context: Don’t chase value without understanding the matchup
How we make our NFL picks & predictions
Our No. 1 focus at Sportsbook Review is always on price shopping and finding you the best betting line and odds for each pick from our best NFL betting sites. Why should you pay more (bet shorter odds) when you can fetch a greater profit at a different sportsbook, all while needing the exact same outcome on your bet?
This is the most important part of the process for any NFL game picks, player props, and futures bets. To be a winning bettor over the long term, you simply can’t be leaving money on the table by betting shorter odds when better numbers are out there.
However, this step typically follows our experts' analysis of matchups using advanced statistics, as well as player and team performance, to determine their best bets in any given betting market. Following along with snap counts, red-zone usage, targets, and more is essential to successful NFL player prop betting. Certain matchups favor running backs over wide receivers, or slot receivers over wideouts, and we always look to who’s best equipped for success in those matchups when starting our game picks and player props.
We caution against putting too much emphasis on injuries, weather, or any narrative or news-based factor. The sportsbooks are almost always ahead of this when it comes to setting and adjusting their lines. Bettors don’t have an edge just because Patrick Mahomes won’t be playing against the Broncos on Sunday. That’s already been baked into the lines. To help with that, we look at the opening lines each week for the following week’s slate of games, and we track that movement multiple times after the lines open on the previous Wednesday. This can help you get closing line value (CLV) if the line moves too far in either direction from what oddsmakers initially made it. These early lines can help protect you from overreacting to any single wins or losses. Trust the oddsmakers.
It’s important to balance betting on favorites, underdogs, and long shots. Favorites come with shorter odds for a reason, but they don’t always win. It’s equally important to know that longer odds represent a lower probability of a winning bet. Keep a level head when assessing the weekly lines and remove personal bias from your handicapping. The general public often overreacts to any sort of injury or weather implications. Know when to be conservative and when to bet an Under or the underdog on an inflated total or spread.
Diversify your betting portfolio, manage your bankroll, and track your results.
Why trust our experts?
Sportsbook Review has been around for more than 20 years, and is a trusted source of betting picks as well as honest reviews of our best sports betting sites.
We carefully match our betting experts to the sports and topics they’re most passionate about to recommend picks they’re betting themselves. Our 1-to-5-star confidence rating is based on the matchup, their research, and the implied probability of the odds. It’s rare to see a 5-star pick on touchdown predictions, as well as futures bets, due to the inherent nature of those betting markets and the lower implied probability of the longer odds.
You’ll see many of our NFL betting experts covering the same teams or offering picks on the same markets each week as they focus on their specialties to offer trusted advice.