Our Week 11 Bengals and Raiders picks are predicting a shootout in Las Vegas.
These teams have followed an identical trajectory in recent weeks. The Cincinnati Bengals slipped down to third in the AFC North with a 5-4 record after losing their last two games. The Las Vegas Raiders, meanwhile, have also fallen to third place in the AFC West with a 5-4 record after dropping two in a row.
Las Vegas is coming off a blowout 41-14 defeat to the Chiefs and it will be keen to make amends as quickly as possible. The Bengals should be well-rested after a bye week, but they also lost heavily in their last game, too, falling to the Browns by a score of 41-16.
Here are my picks and predictions for the NFL Week 11 matchup between the Bengals and Raiders (odds via BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale).
Bengals vs. Raiders Week 11 Game Info
Date/Time: Sunday, November 21, 4:05 p.m. ET
Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Bengals vs. Raiders Odds Analysis
Cincinnati is currently a 1-point favorite for this vital away game against the Raiders. Reduced juice sportsbook SBK is offering a market-leading -102 on the Bengals to cover that spread. PointsBet has -107 on the Raiders covering, while MaximBet is offering -118 on Las Vegas +1.5.
Unibet, BetRivers, and SugarHouse Sportsbook all have +100 on a moneyline win for the Raiders, while SBK has the Bengals at -106 for a straight-up win. The total has been set at 49.5, with most sportsbooks offering -110 odds for both the Over and Under.
Bengals vs. Raiders Picks
Las Vegas to Win (-105) ★★
Over 49.5 (-110) ★★★★
SEE ALSO: Cowboys vs. Chiefs Week 11 Picks
Bengals vs. Raiders Predictions
Las Vegas (-105)
This is a tough game to judge, as it features two evenly matched teams that will both be desperate to reignite their seasons. There are obvious concerns surrounding a Raiders defense that just gave up more than 500 yards to the Chiefs. A Cincy offense led by Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase could cause all sorts of problems for Las Vegas in this game.
The Bengals have also had time to rest and mull over what went wrong against the Jets and the Browns in their last two outings, and they will be determined to turn things around on Sunday.
Cincinnati's defense, however, has also looked very shaky. Derek Carr and Darren Waller have dazzled with their brilliance at times this season, and they should enjoy a profitable game.
The Cincy offense has also struggled to pass block this season, and the Raiders’ superior pass rush could ultimately make the difference in this shootout. With this game essentially a pick'em, we are backing Las Vegas on the moneyline in our Bengals and Raiders picks.
Over 49.5 (-110)
The Over has paid off in four of the Raiders’ five home games so far this season. They have struggled to put up points in their last two games, but they should have more joy against a struggling Cincinnati defense.
It allowed 34 points against a Mike White-led Jets offense and then 41 points against the Browns in Week 9, so it will have a hard time containing Carr, Josh Jacobs and the rest of the Las Vegas offense in this game.
Yet, the Bengals’ offense can match the Raiders punch for punch. Cincinnati has averaged 29 points over its last three games and it will relish the opportunity to face a Raiders defense that looked weak against Kansas City.
This could ultimately turn into a shootout with both teams desperate for a victory, making the Over the preferred play.
SEE ALSO: Week 11 Parlay Picks
Picks made on 11/18/2021 at 8:34 a.m. ET.