Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

[DiggityDaggityDo]

I'd let her talk to me.

With her vagina and rectum.

[KVB]

I'd let her talk to me.

The conversation always starts the same with her, no matter the guy...

"Eyes up here!!!" she says.

"uhh, I was just reading your shirt" he says.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Why do girls wear no bra and let their hard nipples poke through thing shirts if they don't want us staring at their ?

They don't. They want us to stare at their

[stevek173]

[KVB]

Why do girls wear no bra and let their hard nipples poke through thing shirts if they don't want us staring at their ?

They don't. They want us to stare at their

They want us to read their shirt.

But they know we don't give a shit about what their shirt says, they know we give a shit about titties though.

So they use the titties to grab your attention to get you to read their shirt.

Sex sells.

Right????

[DiggityDaggityDo]

They want us to read their shirt.

But they know we don't give a shit about what their shirt says, they know we give a shit about titties though.

So they use the titties to grab your attention to get you to read their shirt.

Sex sells.

Right????

Sweet Golden California Honey

[stevek173]

Looks like California Honey forgot to button/zip up her pants in prior post.

What a shame.

Good thing she took care of that in second picture.

[KVB]

And all of the sudden I'm in the mood for a some honey.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

[DiggityDaggityDo]

[stevek173]

Look at those pockets hanging out.

What a shame.

We should buy her some sbr shorts.

[KVB]

The KVB NBA Contrarian Fund has picked up...

568		1-Nov	BRK +4.5 (-105)
570			ORL +4 (+100)

The contrarian side has not done well but that market might be turning. I'll get into when I can.

[KVB]

We can close the books on MLB 2019 and here's the story.

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after 674 plays, 17 of them in the playoffs. There were 9 plays that triggered but never went off, due to weather or pitching change, giving us 665 graphed data points.

906	25-Oct	HOU/WAS UNDER 8 (+110)	1.1
		Playoffs Wk 4	1.1
		Regular Season 2019	3.69
		Playoffs Wk 1	-0.65
		Playoffs Wk 2	3.08
		Playoffs Wk 3	0.24
		Total	7.46

Here it is with moving averages as it does track the Contrarian market...



What a year it was. There was a large market shakeout, and a few small ones. With about 7 units in mistakes early on the chart should overall be higher which would improve the ROI a bit. The important mistake, and I know these were already discussed, is the last big shakeout.

Those 3 additional units I slept through, if included in the chart, would give us a pretty steady upward trend that gives us hope for next year.

My intention is to continue the Fund and tracking into next year, and add even more things to the analysis, things we'll go over during basketball.

If we can get through next year without the big shakeout, it could a good year. The drop we saw this year represented one of the worst couple of weeks in MLB betting that I've had in perhaps forever. So there's a good chance we don't see it again for a while.

Make no mistake, it's a market tracking Fund, we can only hope the shakeouts will be minimal in number and depth, but we can be assured there will be bouncing...

[DiggityDaggityDo]

The KVB NBA Contrarian Fund has picked up...

568		1-Nov	BRK +4.5 (-105)
570			ORL +4 (+100)

The contrarian side has not done well but that market might be turning. I'll get into when I can.

[KVB]

[KVB]

KVB NBA Totals Fund...

570

1-Nov

MIL/ORL UNDER 215 (-105)

[KVB]

The KVB NCAAF Totals Fund has picked up...

346		2-Nov	COLORADO/UCLA 65 (-110)
360			SMU/MEMPHIS UNDER 71.5 (-102)
360			UTSA/TEX A&M UNDER 53.5 (-105)
396			FRESNO ST/HAWAII UNDER 69.5 (-105)

[DiggityDaggityDo]

[KVB]

The KVB NCAAF ATS/ML Fund has picked up...

329		2-Nov	RUTGERS +20 (-105)
342			ND -17 (-105)
356			RICE +11.5 (-105)
364			AIR FORCE -15.5 (-105)
371			GEORGIA -6 (-105)
379			MISS ST -7.5 (-105)

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Totals Fund through week 9 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.

This Fund went 1-2, -1.13 units this week, just like last week. The win loss record continues to dip here but we are still seeing some improvement over the close.

One thing that sticks out here is that of the 31 plays only 8 of them are OVERs and they are 1-7, -6.07 units on the season. With OVER bets, the Fund is 4-2-2 against the closer with an average of positive 1.5 against the closer. The OVER bets are highlighted in RED...

				1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC
	Record	Date	NCAAF Totals Fund	per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
136	0-1	29-Aug	G TECH/CLEMSON UNDER 61.5 (-105)	-1	60.5	Y	1
158	0-2	30-Aug	PURDUE/NEVADA UNDER 58.5 (-105)	-1	58.5	PUSH	0
181	0-3	31-Aug	SC/NC OVER 63 (-105)	-1	62	N	-1
216	0-3-1	1-Sep	HOU/OK UNDER 80 (-105)	0	80.5	N	-0.5
312	1-3-1	7-Sep	ARMY/MICH UNDER 48 (-105)	0.95	48	PUSH	0
376	1-4-1		NEVADA/OREGON UNDER 61.5 (-105)	-1	62	N	-0.5
392	2-4-1		ORE ST/HAWAII UNDER 77.5 (-105)	0.95	78	N	-0.5
106	2-5-1	13-Sep	KANSAS/BC UNDER 51 (-105)	-1	51	PUSH	0
108	3-5-1		WASH ST/HOU UNDER 74.5 (-105)	0.95	74	Y	0.5
128	4-5-1	14-Sep	SDSU/N MEX ST UNDER 51 (-105)	0.95	51	PUSH	0
138	4-6-1		ALABAMA/SC UNDER 61.5 (-105)	-1	59.5	Y	2
314	4-7-1	21-Sep	MIA (OH)/OHIO ST UNDER 56.5 (-105)	-1	56.5	PUSH	0
398	4-8-1		UCLA/WASH ST UNDER 58.5 (-105)	-1	59.5	N	-1
116	5-8-1	28-Sep	WAKE/BC UNDER 69.5 (-108)	0.93	69.5	PUSH	0
134	5-9-1		AKRON/UMASS UNDER 62.5 (-108)	-1	60.5	Y	2
142	6-9-1		M TENN ST/IOWA UNDER 52 (-102)	0.98	51	Y	1
146	7-9-1		WASH ST/UTAH UNDER 57 (-105)	0.95	57	PUSH	0
170	7-10-1		T TECH/OKLAHOMA UNDER 70.5 (-110)	-1	69	Y	1.5
341	7-11-1	5-Oct	LIBERTY/N MEX ST OVER 62.5 (-105)	-1	63.5	Y	1
367	7-12-1		W MICH/TOLEDO OVER 72.5 (-105)	-1	73.5	Y	1
385	7-13-1		AUBURN/FLORIDA OVER 48.5 (-109)	-1	48.5	PUSH	0
109	7-14-1	11-Oct	VA/MIA OVER 43 (-105)	-1	43.5	Y	0.5
168	8-14-1	12-Oct	MIA (OH)/W MICH UNDER 57 (-105)	0.95	57.5	Y	0.5
196	8-15-1		MASS/LOUIS TECH UNDER 63 (-105)	-1	64	Y	1
205	9-15-1		WYOMING/SDSU OVER 38 (-107)	0.93	37.5	N	-0.5
331	9-16-1	19-Oct	FLORIDA ST/WAKE OVER 68 (-110)	-1	68.5	Y	0.5
372	10-16-1		COLORADA/WASH ST UNDER 71 (-115)	0.87	68.5	Y	2.5
416	10-17-1		RICE/UTSA UNDER 42.5 (-105)	-1	43	N	-0.5
110	11-17-1	26-Oct	ILLINOIS/PURDUE UNDER 55.5 (-115)	0.87	54.5	Y	1
172	11-18-1		FL INT/M TENN ST UNDER 58 (-105)	-1	57.5	Y	0.5
201	11-19-1		TEX ST/ARK ST OVER 60.5 (-105)	-1	60.5	PUSH	0
	11-19-1		Total	-8.72		15-7-9	0.387

Looking at the season charts we are seeing a divergence, with units dropping fast and both the closing line running averages and even the unit decline starting to flatten...





I do expect a comeback here, but I doubt it's led by OVER bets. This week there 4 UNDER bets in play so far.

Since last year, this Fund has given up the gains and from then until now is -1.14 units. I put that in bold because I'm not adding that chart this week. This week let's look at the closing comparison.

Despite sitting at less than .34 this year, through the 31 plays, the Fund overall is still at .5476, more than 1/2 point better than the close.

As far as the health of the plays, that's nothing to shake a stick at, especially since we aren't accounting for key numbers in the comparison...



Even so, it's best we keep a sharp eye on the condition of the condition of the Totals Fund.

NCAA sports in general have softer Totals, we know this and I've shown supporting evidence many times across sports. So it comes as a surprise that the worst performing Fund in the KVB NCAAF Family of Funds is the Totals venture.

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF ATS/ML Fund through week 9 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.

This Fund was 5-2, +2.79 units this week bringing the win loss record to 28-28-2...

	Record	Date	NCAAF ATS/ML Fund	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ATS
	ATS			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
141	1-0	29-Aug	KENT ST +24.5 (-105)	0.95	24.5	PUSH	0
144	1-1		BYU +6.5 (-105)	-1	5	Y	1.5
235	2-1		S DAKOTA ST +15.5 (-110)	0.91	14.5	Y	1
150	2-2	30-Aug	S FLORIDA +10.5 (-105)	-1	10	Y	0.5
161	3-2	31-Aug	FAU +27.5 (-105)	0.95	28	N	-0.5
183	3-3		DUKE +33.5 (-105)	-1	33.5	PUSH	0
204	3-4		PIT +2.5 (+100)	-1	2.5	PUSH	0
319	3-5	7-Sep	WV +14 (-107)	-1	13.5	Y	0.5
334	3-6		CLEMSON -16.5 (-105)	-1	-16.5	N	-0.5
349	4-6		SDSU +9 (-105)	0.95	7.5	Y	1.5
360	4-7		FAU +10.5 (-102)	-1	13.5	N	-3
364	4-8		KANSAS -7 (-110)	-1	-7	PUSH	0
389	4-8-1		MINNESOTA -3 (-110)	0	-3	PUSH	0
110	4-9-1	14-Sep	INDIANA +18 (-105)	-1	17.5	Y	0.5
114	5-9-1		WV +7 (-105)	0.95	7	PUSH	0
116	6-9-1		TEMPLE +7 (-105)	0.95	5	Y	2
121	7-9-1		E MICHIGAN +7 (+100)	1	7	PUSH	0
150	7-10-1		TULSA +14 (-103)	-1	14	PUSH	0
164	7-11-1		BGSU +12 (-105)	-1	12.5	N	-0.5
306	8-11-1	20-Sep	USC +3.5 (-105)	0.95	3.5	PUSH	0
307	8-12-1		FL INT +7.5 (-112)	-1	7	Y	0.5
347	9-12-1	21-Sep	N MEX ST +4.5 (-105)	0.95	4	Y	0.5
362	10-12-1		MISS ST -6 (-105)	0.95	-6	PUSH	0
370	10-13-1		TULSA -3.5 (-105)	-1	-5.5	Y	2
394	11-13-1		FLORIDA ST -6.5 (-110)	0.91	-6.5	PUSH	0
396	11-14-1		UTEP +14.5 (-112)	-1	14	Y	0.5
108	11-15-1	27-Sep	MD +6.5 (-109)	-1	6.5	PUSH	0
113	12-15-1	28-Sep	N'WESTERN +24.5 (-105)	0.95	23	Y	1.5
125	12-16-1		G TECH +8.5 (-102)	-1	9	N	-0.5
172	12-17-1		CHARLOTTE -1 (-105)	-1	1	N	-2
192	13-17-1		W KENTUCKY +3.5 (-110)	0.91	3	Y	0.5
308	14-17-1	4-Oct	CINCI +4 (-108)	0.93	3.5	Y	0.5
332	15-17-1	5-Oct	T TECH +10 (-109)	0.92	9.5	Y	0.5
333	15-18-1		KENT ST +35 (-107)	-1	35	PUSH	0
354	15-19-1		SMU -12.5 (-105)	-1	-12	N	-0.5
362	15-20-1		NEBRASKA -7 (-115)	-1	-7.5	Y	0.5
366	16-20-1		NAVY +3.5 (-110)	0.91	3	Y	0.5
382	17-20-1		GA ST +6.5 (-101)	0.99	6.5	PUSH	0
124	17-21-1	12-Oct	TULSA +1.5 (-108)	-1	-1	Y	2.5
136	18-21-1		PURDUE +3.5 (-110)	0.91	4	N	-0.5
160	18-22-1		AKRON +14.5 (-105)	-1	14.5	PUSH	0
170	19-22-1		S FLORIDA +5 (-103)	0.97	4.5	Y	0.5
177	19-23-1		MICHIGAN ST +10.5 (-105)	-1	8	Y	2.5
190	20-23-1		S MISS -3 (-105)	0.95	-3	PUSH	0
311	21-23-1	18-Oct	PITT -3.5 (-115)	0.87	-3.5	PUSH	0
328	21-23-2	19-Oct	MD +6 (-102)	0	6.5	N	-0.5
346	21-24-2		OHIO -7.5 (-105)	-1	-9	Y	1.5
356	22-24-2		BYU +7 (+100)	1	7	PUSH	0
362	23-24-2		BALL ST -2 (-105)	0.95	-3	Y	1
374	23-25-2		SC +5.5 (-107)	-1	3.5	Y	2
392	23-26-2		ARKANSAS +19.5 (-102)	-1	20	N	-0.5
114	24-26-2	26-Oct	GA ST -1.5 (-105)	0.95	-1	N	-0.5
123	25-26-2		UCF -12 (-103)	0.97	11	N	-1
148	25-27-2		NEW MEXICO +10 (-117)	-1	10	PUSH	0
174	25-28-2		ODU +14 (-115)	-1	13.5	Y	0.5
188	26-28-2		TCU +1 (-105)	0.95	-1.5	Y	2.5
196	27-28-2		KANSAS +5 (-103)	0.97	6	N	-1
212	28-28-2		UNLV +12.5 (-105)	0.95	11.5	Y	1
	28-28-2		Total	-1.53		26-13-19	0.302

Last year it took 57 plays for this Fund to turn positive, this year it's tending the same way, though we aren't positive yet...



The closing line over time really isn't as high as we would like to see at +.30 on the year and +.337 since last year. There are market adjustments made in this Fund, and the Totals Fund as well, that can often reflect the contrarian angle. Because of this, these plays are made later in the week, after we've seen some activity, and being contrarian, tend to be closer to the market than beating it. It often depends and it's not surprising we see more pushes than losses in both Funds when we talk about win loss vs. the closing line.

The charts are similar to last year so let's see if we get a pop, like last year. I expect this Fund to turn profitable on the season soon, but I'm waiting until we get there before deciding just how high we can go.

Let's get to the market functions.

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket through week 9 with links to each play and a closing line comparison.

This Fund had 13 plays for -4.52 units. This is third worst week since last year (in 2018, week 3 was -5.87 and week 12 was -5.2) and with last week's -3.7 units and the week before's -1.63 units we are looking a one of tougher 3 week stretches in the history of the Fund...

	Date	NCAAF UPSET Basket	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
133	29-Aug	UCLA +140	-1	116	Y	0.25
137		FL INT +135	-1	128	Y	0.07
147	30-Aug	UTAH ST +150	-1	174	N	-0.24
175	31-Aug	MISSISSIPPI +145	-1	139	Y	0.06
193		SMU +140	1.4	105	Y	0.35
281		ILLINOIS ST +155	-1	220	N	-0.65
305	7-Sep	OHIO +160	-1	161	N	-0.01
317		SYRACUSE +115	-1	102	Y	0.13
343		ARKANSAS ST +115	1.15	-106	Y	0.21
355		N TEXAS +160	-1	152	Y	0.08
357		BYU +145	1.45	134	Y	0.11
385		STANFORD +135	-1	146	N	-0.11
401		KENNESAW ST -110	-1	165	N	-0.75
409		S ILLINOIS +145	1.45	190	N	-0.45
103	13-Sep	NC +150	-1	132	Y	0.18
125	14-Sep	AIR FORCE +155	1.55	130	Y	0.25
133		AKRON +140	-1	119	Y	0.21
153		IOWA -125	0.8	-123	N	-0.02
167		S MISS +130	1.3	130	PUSH	0.00
185		TCU +105	1.05	-155	Y	0.60
303	19-Sep	HOUSTON +155	-1	162	N	-0.07
321	21-Sep	UL LAFAYETTE +145	1.45	132	Y	0.13
343		MICHIGAN +150	-1	145	Y	0.05
347		N MEX ST +167	-1	159	Y	0.08
353		CAL -103	0.97	126	Y	0.29
357		GEORGIA ST +120	-1	119	Y	0.01
365		APP ST +140	1.4	109	Y	0.31
367		AUBURN +160	1.6	156	Y	0.04
369		WYOMING +135	-1	188	N	-0.53
105	27-Sep	DUKE +115	1.15	124	N	-0.09
123	28-Sep	BUFFALO +115	-1	-124	Y	0.39
137		MINNESOTA -110	0.91	108	N	-0.18
149		HAWAII +115	1.15	111	N	-0.04
157		KENTUCKY +110	-1	148	N	-0.38
165		K STATE +160	-1	165	N	-0.05
171		FAU -103	0.97	-126	Y	0.23
179		E CAROLNA -102	0.98	136	N	-0.38
197		HOUSTON +115	1.15	256	N	-1.41
321	5-Oct	BALL ST +160	1.6	152	Y	0.08
327		BAYLOR +110	1.1	-114	Y	0.24
343		ARIZONA +135	1.35	120	Y	0.15
367		W MICHIGAN +115	-1	106	Y	0.09
373		TCU +155	-1	137	Y	0.18
395		UTSA +105	1.05	-110	Y	0.15
101	9-Oct	APP ST +130	1.3	118	Y	0.12
107	10-Oct	SYRACUSE +155	-1	159	N	-0.04
109	11-Oct	VIRGINIA -103	-1	122	N	-0.25
123	12-Oct	NAVY +105	1.05	102	Y	0.03
141		BALL ST +102	1.02	102	PUSH	0.00
147		WASH ST +130	-1	-136	Y	0.66
181		SJST +125	-1	121	Y	0.04
197		FRESNO ST +155	-1	124	Y	0.31
317	19-Oct	DUKE +160	-1	149	Y	0.11
331		FLORIDA ST +125	-1	-136	Y	0.61
361		TOLEDO +110	-1	146	N	-0.36
383		S MISS +105	-1	-140	Y	0.45
389		BAYLOR +130	1.3	188	N	-0.58
395		TULANE +165	-1	121	Y	0.44
113	26-Oct	TROY -110	-1	-104	N	-0.06
119		E MICHIGAN +155	-1	119	Y	0.36
127		INDIANA -102	0.98	107	N	-0.09
129		C MICH +115	-1	114	Y	0.01
133		S FLORIDA +105	1.05	-104	Y	0.09
145		UTAH ST +130	-1	140	N	-0.10
151		ARIZONA +110	-1	133	N	-0.23
159		DUKE +160	-1	120	Y	0.40
163		MIA (OH) +110	1.1	116	N	-0.06
175		OHIO +135	1.35	111	Y	0.24
185		TULANE +160	-1	171	N	-0.11
187		TEXAS -110	-1	103	N	-0.13
207		NOTRE DAME +115	-1	-101	Y	0.16
		Total	-4.87		42-27-2	0.022

Though the Fund was 6-7 against the close this week, the running average still rose and the Fund maintains a decent win loss record against the close...





I know I've discussed how just a few runaway lines really adjusted that closing line comparison graph down, but we still need to continue to see that comparison rise or this could be a protracted pullback. Things are awfully flat right now and we should expect a big week against the closer in the near future.

[KVB]

So even with the overall chart possibly being higher, we can't use that as an excuse, we need to see direction moving back up.

This Fund sure would like to be beating the market by closer to .15 cents over time or at least see the chart trending that way...



I do predict a big week against the closer soon that should help push this back above .10 cents.

There is no denying that we are sideways here and there isn't much in the bollinger bands to tell us we are turning upward. All we get from the moving averages is that we may not be done falling...






Here's that massive chart, up to date through week 9 of this year, for some perspective...



This is getting interesting and if we can see a big week against the close, with a decent set of units on top, we could see a market turn.

That would be something to dance to...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund through week 9 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison...

This Fund was 3-5, -2.31 units this week but was 5-2-1 against the close and beat the close by an average of a .25 points...

				1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC
	Record	Date	NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund	per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
385	0-1	7-Sep	STANFORD +3.5 (-115)	-1	3	Y	0.5
387	1-1		CAL +14 (-110)	0.91	13.5	Y	0.5
401	1-2		KENNESAW ST +1.5 (-120)	-1	3.5	N	-2
423	1-3		G WEBB +28 (-120)	-1	31	N	-3
425	2-3		MAINE +10.5 (-120)	0.83	7.5	Y	3
427	2-4		NC A&T +29.5 (-120)	-1	27.5	Y	2
117	2-5	14-Sep	MIA (OH) +16 (-105)	-1	17	N	-1
133	2-6		AKRON +6 (-105)	-1	2.5	Y	3.5
147	3-6		UNLV +20 (-105)	0.95	18.5	Y	1.5
171	4-6		OHIO +5.5 (-105)	0.95	4	Y	1.5
225	5-6		WEBER ST +10 (-120)	0.83	7.5	Y	2.5
233	5-7		MISSOURI ST +29 (-120)	-1	31.5	N	-2.5
339	5-8	21-Sep	W MICHIGAN +5.5 (-110)	-1	3.5	Y	2
343	5-9		MICHIGAN +3 (+100)	-1	3	PUSH	0
361	5-10		KENTUCKY +6 (-102)	-1	6	PUSH	0
367	6-10		AUBURN +4 (-105)	0.95	4	PUSH	0
411	7-10		S ILLINOIS +21.5 (-120)	0.83	23	N	-1.5
111	8-10	27-Sep	ARIZONA ST +5.5 (-105)	0.95	4	Y	1.5
113	9-10	28-Sep	N' WESTERN +24 (-105)	0.95	23	Y	1
123	9-11		BUFFALO +2 (-110)	-1	2.5	N	-0.5
135	9-12		RUTGERS +27.5 (-110)	-1	27.5	PUSH	0
143	9-13		UNLV +9.5 (-105)	-1	8	Y	1.5
153	10-13		INDIANA +14.5 (-110)	0.91	14	Y	0.5
163	10-14		KANSAS +16 (-105)	-1	14.5	Y	1.5
167	10-15		MISS ST +11 (-105)	-1	7.5	Y	3.5
187	11-15		UTEP +25.5 (-110)	0.91	26	N	-0.5
325	12-15	5-Oct	PITT +5 (-107)	0.93	3.5	Y	1.5
337	13-15		V TECH +13.5 (-105)	0.95	14	N	-0.5
349	14-15		CAL +18 (-105)	0.95	21	N	-3
355	14-16		IOWA +4 (-105)	-1	4	PUSH	0
359	14-17		RICE +8.5 (-105)	-1	10	N	-1.5
361	15-17		N'WESTERN +7 (-110)	0.91	7.5	N	-0.5
373	15-18		TCU +4 (-105)	-1	3	Y	1
391	15-19		MICHIGAN ST +20 (-111)	-1	20	PUSH	0
109	15-20	11-Oct	VIRGINIA +3 (-115)	-1	2.5	Y	0.5
131	16-20	12-Oct	GTECH +18.5 (-105)	0.95	18	Y	0.5
143	17-20		ODU +14.5 (-110)	0.91	16.5	N	-2
163	18-20		ARKANSAS +7.5 (-110)	0.91	3.5	Y	4
175	19-20		UNLV +16.5 (-110)	0.91	15	Y	1.5
177	19-21		MICHIGAN ST +10.5 (-110)	-1	8	Y	2.5
181	20-21		SJST +4 (-110)	0.91	3	Y	1
205	21-21		WYOMING +4.5 (-105)	0.95	3.5	Y	1
317	21-22	19-Oct	DUKE +4 (-105)	-1	3.5	Y	0.5
319	22-22		G TECH +18 (-105)	0.95	18.5	N	-0.5
333	23-22		COAST CAR +7 (-125)	0.8	7	PUSH	0
339	24-22		TULSA +17.5 (-105)	0.95	16	Y	1.5
353	24-23		NEVADA +21.5 (-105)	-1	22.5	N	-1
359	24-24		ARIZONA ST +13.5 (-105)	-1	16	N	-2.5
365	25-24		OREGON ST +11.5 (-105)	0.95	10.5	Y	1
375	26-24		KENTUCKY +25 (-105)	0.95	24	Y	1
385	26-25		ODU +16 (-105)	-1	16.5	N	-0.5
411	26-26		CHARLOTTE +9 (-102)	-1	9.5	N	-0.5
421	27-26		MICHIGAN +9 (-107)	0.93	7.5	Y	1.5
127	28-26	26-Oct	INDIANA +1 (-110)	0.91	2.5	N	-1.5
129	28-27		C MICHIGAN +3 (-105)	-1	2.5	Y	0.5
141	28-28		CALIFORNIA +19 (-110)	-1	21	N	-2
143	28-29		NEVADA +13.5 (+100)	-1	13	Y	0.5
149	29-29		W KENTUCKY +6 (-120)	0.83	3.5	Y	2.5
189	30-29		MIAMI +5.5 (-105)	0.95	4.5	Y	1
193	30-30		AKRON +23 (-105)	-1	22	Y	1
199	30-31		WISCONSIN +14.5 (-105)	-1	14.5	PUSH	0
	30-31		Total	-3.53		34-19-8	0.393

This Fund still has an error with a missed Purdue +17.5 (-105) from October 19th.

When it came to the closer on Nevada it was tricky because of market reporting. Pinny hit 12 with juice but they can be rogue. I was tempted to stick with the original 13.5 but overall there was a drop in that price and even going through the pecking order mentioned before, we needed to reflect late money and the drop to 13.

On the season the Fund is averaging just under +.4 points against the closer. The season charts don't show as much so let's look at last year too...





Given last year's success with this Fund, we can tolerate some sideways units. But that dropping running average against the close is something to consider. The good news is that we are still clearing the closing line by +.531 points, above a half point.

If that closing line comparison can stabilize, it is just a matter of time before this market turns in our favor...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog ML Fund through week 9 with links to each play and a closing line comparison.

This Fund had 10 plays for +5 units and was 4-6 against the close for a near dead even .002 avg against the close...

	Date	NCAAF Visting Dog ML	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
361	7-Sep	W KENTUCKY +265	2.65	262	Y	0.03
373		ARKANSAS +230	-1	194	Y	0.36
387		CAL +415	4.15	447	Y	0.32
133	14-Sep	AKRON +195	-1	119	Y	0.21
139		E CAROLINA +235	-1	237	N	-0.02
189		FLORIDA ST +240	-1	241	N	-0.01
307	20-Sep	FL INT +275	-1	222	Y	0.53
309		AIR FORCE +260	-1	274	N	-0.14
351	21-Sep	COLORADO +240	2.4	260	N	-0.20
361		KENTUCKY +230	-1	196	Y	0.34
371		S CAROLINA +290	-1	308	N	-0.18
375		OK ST +170	-1	241	N	-0.71
377		BGSU +290	-1	328	N	-0.38
393		LOUISVILLE +265	-1	205	Y	0.60
103	26-Sep	NAVY +320	-1	326	N	-0.06
111	27-Sep	ARIZONA ST +180	1.8	173	Y	0.07
127	28-Sep	NC ST +160	-1	212	N	-0.52
143		UNLV +310	-1	281	Y	0.29
145		WASH ST +210	-1	188	Y	0.22
167		MISS ST +325	-1	258	Y	0.67
183		ARKANSAS ST +215	2.15	215	PUSH	0.00
201		USC +315	-1	380	N	-0.65
203		UCLA +245	-1	138	Y	1.07
309	4-Oct	N MEXICO +220	-1	211	Y	0.09
313	5-Oct	BC +160	-1	156	Y	0.04
321		BALL ST +184	1.84	152	Y	0.32
325		PITT +175	1.75	151	Y	0.24
337		V TECH +415	4.15	447	N	-0.32
347		OREGON ST +190	1.9	163	Y	0.27
353		TULSA +370	-1	351	Y	0.19
355		IOWA +170	-1	174	N	-0.04
357		ILLINOIS +425	-1	427	N	-0.02
359		RICE +270	-1	318	N	-0.48
361		N'WESTERN +230	-1	258	N	-0.28
375		VANDY +225	-1	214	Y	0.11
121	12-Oct	LOUISVILLE +210	2.1	216	N	-0.06
129		NEBRASKA +230	-1	244	N	-0.14
133		GA ST +220	2.2	143	Y	0.77
139		HAWAII +340	-1	356	N	-0.16
153		MISSISSIPPI +340	-1	369	N	-0.29
161		N ILLINOIS +210	2.1	177	Y	0.33
163		ARKANSAS +240	-1	168	Y	0.72
165		T TECH +310	-1	314	N	-0.04
167		MIA (OH) +415	-1	376	Y	0.39
177		MICH ST +310	-1	296	Y	0.14
179		FLORIDA +400	-1	450	N	-0.50
185		M TENN ST +345	-1	353	N	-0.08
189		N TEXAS +170	-1	123	Y	0.47
193		CHARLOTTE +180	-1	195	N	-0.15
205		WYOMING +165	-1	154	Y	0.11
307	17-Oct	UCLA +290	2.9	159	Y	1.31
309	18-Oct	MARSHALL +180	1.8	150	Y	0.30
315		UNLV +425	-1	537	N	-1.12
333	19-Oct	COAST CAR +195	-1	237	N	-0.42
345		KENT +240	-1	253	N	-0.13
359		ARIZONA ST +415	-1	533	N	-1.18
365		OREGON ST +340	3.4	325	Y	0.15
369		ARIZONA +275	-1	350	N	-0.75
371		COLORADO +415	-1	381	Y	0.34
403		S FLORIDA +370	-1	527	N	-1.57
411		CHARLOTTE +320	-1	275	Y	0.45
413		M TENN ST +275	-1	228	Y	0.47
417		TEMPLE +220	-1	273	N	-0.53
421		MICHIGAN +240	-1	250	Y	0.10
109	26-Oct	ILLINOIS +240	2.4	269	N	-0.29
121		MISS ST +320	-1	327	N	-0.07
135		SYRACUSE +300	-1	328	N	-0.28
143		NEVADA +400	-1	403	N	-0.03
149		W KENTUCKY +210	-1	151	Y	0.59
155		COLORADO ST +415	4.15	401	Y	0.14
169		OK ST +265	2.65	335	N	-0.70
189		MIAMI +180	1.8	174	Y	0.06
201		TEXAS ST +415	-1	323	Y	0.92
203		AUBURN +325	-1	357	N	-0.32
		Total	-6.71		37-36-1	0.012

As mentioned yesterday and when it happened, there is a winning Baylor +170 that wasn't posted in time. Last night, there was a +490 winner. With the beginning of week 10, this Fund has basically come back to even on the year.

This Fund, despite the wild moves of the bigger moneylines, is virtually dead even against the closing line in both record and average. We are consolidating, and it's a matter of time before this Fund pops both in units and the closing line comparison running average, in my opinion.





Through week 9, the Fund has a win loss record of 19-55, or 25.6%.

Here's the winning percentage and units of year's past...

Year	%	Units
2018	0.260163	-7
2017	0.282258	4.54
2016	0.325	27.15
2015	0.308824	13.86
2014	0.333333	30.49
2013	0.268519	-3.18
2012	0.236364	-18.07
2011	0.300885	15.35
2010	0.349206	41.83
2009	0.244094	-10.01
2008	0.269565	1.78
2006	0.263636	3.28
2005	0.381679	59.98

It's taken some time, but hopefully we start to see why it is we rotated this market function Fund into the KVB Family of Funds. While this Fund wasn't tracked here last year, here's this year and last year combined, to show just how far we've fallen...



Can't wait for this Fund to not just come out from under water, but step out of the water altogether...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Family of Funds summary of summaries for Week 9.

There were 41 plays, again, but this time for -.17 units...

NCAAF	Week 9		Season	to Date
Funds	# Plays	Units	# Plays	Units
Totals	3	-1.13	31	-8.72
ATS/ML	7	2.79	58	-1.53
UPSET Basket	13	-4.52	71	-4.87
Visiting Dog	8	-2.31	61	-3.53
Visiting Dog ML	10	5	74	-6.71
Total:	41	-0.17	295	-25.36

Still down more than -25 units, so there is some ground to make up.

[KVB]

NCAAF Funds...Win/Loss Records

Here are the win/loss records for the Funds that have Spreads and Totals through week 9 this season and combined with last year...

2019...

NCAAF	Season	to Date		ATS and Totals Records			Win %	% + Tie
Funds	# Plays	Units		W	L	P
Totals	31	-8.72		11	19	1	0.367	0.355
ATS/ML	58	-1.53		28	28	2	0.500	0.483
UPSET Basket	71	-4.87
Visiting Dog	61	-3.53		30	31		0.492	0.492
Visiting Dog ML	74	-6.71
Total:	295	-25.36		69	78	3	0.469	0.460

Here are the records of the current Funds going back to last year, including the closed Market Reads Fund...

2018-Present...

2018-Present	ATS and Totals Records			Win %	% + Tie
NCAAF Funds	W	L	P
Totals	85	81	2	0.512	0.506
ATS/ML	80	61	4	0.567	0.552
Visiting Dog	82	61	1	0.573	0.569
Current Funds:	247	203	7	0.549	0.540
Mkt. Read (2018)	3	8		0.273	0.273
Total:	250	211	7	0.542	0.534

Finally, there's this from last week...

...We saw a 25 units rise after week 8 last year with the Market Reads Fund going -3 units during that time.

It would be nice to see that again but clearly the haymaker fund is going to be a defining factor in that...

Let's hope for a repeat performance, a bit of a bounce...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Totals Fund through week 9 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.

This Fund went 1-2, -1.13 units this week, just like last week. The win loss record continues to dip here but we are still seeing some improvement over the close.

One thing that sticks out here is that of the 31 plays only 8 of them are OVERs and they are 1-7, -6.07 units on the season. With OVER bets, the Fund is 4-2-2 against the closer with an average of positive 1.5 against the closer. The OVER bets are highlighted in RED...

There was a typo.
That should say positive .1875 against the closer.

Here are this week's plays, settled and pending in the NCAAF Family of Funds...

Totals...

346		2-Nov	COLORADO/UCLA 65 (-110)
360			SMU/MEMPHIS UNDER 71.5 (-102)
360			UTSA/TEX A&M UNDER 53.5 (-105)
396			FRESNO ST/HAWAII UNDER 69.5 (-105)

ATS/ML...

329		2-Nov	RUTGERS +20 (-105)
342			ND -17 (-105)
356			RICE +11.5 (-105)
364			AIR FORCE -15.5 (-105)
371			GEORGIA -6 (-105)
379			MISS ST -7.5 (-105)

UPSET Basket...

315	2-Nov	TROY -110
333		BC +115
335		BUFFALO +105
337		VIRGINIA +110
339		BYU +155
353		N ILLINOIS +105
359		SMU +135
383		FAU +130
395		FRESNO ST +115

Visiting Dog...

303		31-Oct	GA SOUTHERN +17 (-110)	0.91
313		2-Nov	ODU +17 (+100)
325			N'WESTERN +12.5 (-105)
337			VIRGINIA +2.5 (+100)
339			BYU +6 (-115)
387			MIAMI +4.5 (-105)
389			N MEXICO +6.5 (-115)

Visiting Dog ML...

303	31-Oct	GA SOUTHERN +490	4.9
309	2-Nov	NC STATE +280
325		N'WESTERN +340
327		AKRON +195
345		COLORADO +180
357		UNLV +290
359		SMU +180
365		OREGON ST +225
373		TCU +165
377		TULSA +275
387		MIAMI +165
389		N MEXICO +210

SMU is in both ML Funds.

[turtledoves]

hope you find some hope and get some food down KVB

[turtledoves]

under fade week (5d opener)

ARK ST/LA MON (67)
HOU/UCF (69.5)
MIDTEN/CHAR (60.5)
ORE ST/ARIZ (69.5)
LIBRTY/UMASS (67.5)


i wonder if the majority of lines move for/against you one week, does that have implications for the current or future betting weeks?

[KVB]

The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has added...

329

2-Nov

RUTGERS +19 (-105)

The ATS/ML Fund picked up the +20 yesterday.

[KVB]

hope you find some hope and get some food down KVB

Indeed, still in pain but mentally much better and have been eating like crazy.

I'm still recovering, but at least I'm not flipping out.

There really is hope, and tonight we're going for Mongolian BBQ!!

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Love Mongolian BBQ!

[KVB]

[KVB]

KVB NFL Fund so far...

452		3-Nov	JAX +1.5 (-105)
470			DEN +4 (-105)
472			LAC +3.5 (-105)