Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

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  • DiggityDaggityDo
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-30-08
    • 81454

    #85366
    Comment
    • DiggityDaggityDo
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-30-08
      • 81454

      #85367
      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #85368
        The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

        921 WAS +1.5 (-145)

        On mobile.

        Comment
        • DiggityDaggityDo
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-30-08
          • 81454

          #85369
          Would you like coffee? Or a fat ass?

          Comment
          • dlowilly
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-09-16
            • 13862

            #85370
            Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
            Left
            Comment
            • Bostongambler
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-01-08
              • 35581

              #85371
              Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
              Would you like coffee? Or a fat ass?

              Can I get a medium?
              Comment
              • DiggityDaggityDo
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 11-30-08
                • 81454

                #85372
                Comment
                • DiggityDaggityDo
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-30-08
                  • 81454

                  #85373
                  Comment
                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-30-08
                    • 81454

                    #85374
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #85375
                      Last week there were 37 NCAAF plays between the 5 Funds for -1.3 units.

                      Week 5 NCAAF Week 5 Season to Date
                      Funds # Plays Units # Plays Units
                      Totals 5 0.86 18 -3.34
                      ATS/ML 5 -1.14 31 -4.72
                      UPSET Basket 9 3.31 38 1.88
                      Visiting Dog 9 -1.28 26 -5.03
                      Visiting Dog ML 9 -3.05 23 -4.85
                      Total: 37 -1.3 136 -16.06
                      This week there are 36 NCAAF so far and here they are, with links to each play...

                      Totals Fund...

                      341 5-Oct LIBERTY/N MEX ST OVER 62.5 (-105)
                      367 W MICH/TOLEDO OVER 72.5 (-105)
                      385 AUBURN/FLORIDA OVER 48.5 (-109)
                      ATS/ML Fund, with the Cinci play winning tonight...

                      308 4-Oct CINCI +4 (-108)
                      332 5-Oct T TECH +10 (-109)
                      333 KENT ST +35 (-107)
                      354 SMU -12.5 (-105)
                      362 NEBRASKA -7 (-115)
                      366 NAVY +3.5 (-110)
                      382 GA ST +6.5 (-101)
                      UPSET Basket...

                      321 5-Oct BALL ST +160
                      327 BAYLOR +110
                      343 ARIZONA +135
                      367 W MICHIGAN +115
                      373 TCU +155
                      395 UTSA +105
                      Visiting Dog Fund...

                      325 5-Oct PITT +5 (-107)
                      337 V TECH +13.5 (-105)
                      349 CAL +18 (-105)
                      355 IOWA +4 (-105)
                      359 RICE +8.5 (-105)
                      361 N'WESTERN +7 (-110)
                      373 TCU +4 (-105)
                      391 MICHIGAN ST +20 (-111)
                      Visiting Dog ML Fund, with the N Mex play losing tonight...

                      309 4-Oct N MEXICO +220
                      313 5-Oct BC +160
                      321 BALL ST +184
                      325 PITT +175
                      337 V TECH +415
                      347 OREGON ST +190
                      353 TULSA +370
                      355 IOWA +170
                      357 ILLINOIS +425
                      359 RICE +270
                      361 N'WESTERN +230
                      375 VANDY +225

                      I may add to the Funds in the morning, depending on market activity.

                      Comment
                      • DiggityDaggityDo
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-30-08
                        • 81454

                        #85376
                        KVB, 36 plays is not enough.

                        Need one more.

                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #85377
                          Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                          KVB, 36 plays is not enough.

                          Need one more.

                          How about an UNDER in MLB?...lmao...these never win.

                          The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                          952 MIN/NYY UNDER 9 (+105)

                          They literally never win, we are due.

                          On mobile, good Luck.

                          Comment
                          • DiggityDaggityDo
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-30-08
                            • 81454

                            #85378
                            Look at this dickhead.

                            Comment
                            • DiggityDaggityDo
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-30-08
                              • 81454

                              #85379
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #85380
                                Checking in real quick with ome NFL plays for this week, last week was a good week...

                                460 NYG +5.5 (-105)

                                468 HOU -4 (-105)

                                470 BUF/TENN UNDER 39.5 (-110)



                                Comment
                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-30-08
                                  • 81454

                                  #85381
                                  Thread is slow lately

                                  Comment
                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-30-08
                                    • 81454

                                    #85382
                                    I think thats a UFO in the background

                                    Comment
                                    • Tanko
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-19-09
                                      • 5140

                                      #85383
                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      Checking in real quick with ome NFL plays for this week, last week was a good week...

                                      460 NYG +5.5 (-105)

                                      468 HOU -4 (-105)

                                      470 BUF/TENN UNDER 39.5 (-110)




                                      Thanks KVB
                                      Comment
                                      • Tanko
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-19-09
                                        • 5140

                                        #85384
                                        Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                        I think thats a UFO in the background


                                        Your going to get Ronald to visit more often with these pics Diggity...
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #85385
                                          The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                          956 6-Oct WAS +131
                                          958 STL +111
                                          958 ATL/STL UNDER 8.5 (-115)
                                          I'll just go ahead and mark then all winners, even the UNDER, then I'll go back and edit all my plays and links so that those mistakes I made earlier can get made up for.

                                          Since I didn't post some winning plays, I'll just remove some losing plays to make up for it.

                                          That's what we are doing here at SBR now, right?

                                          Right?

                                          #SBRSITEHASLOSTVALUE



                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #85386
                                            I suppose I have some catching up to do in this thread and summaries too. It's been a busy week.

                                            Actually, how about this.

                                            I made 36 NCAAF plays last week, let's just call it 34-1-1, just in case I did miss a play or got a push.

                                            From here on out I'll be hitting all the MLB plays so that takes care of that tracking.

                                            Ok good.

                                            Glad that's taken care of.

                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #85387
                                              Lines coming out for next week, I try to wait until they are more available, and in doing so the lines are already moving at BOL.

                                              It gets tougher each week as the money catches on and starts hitting the market.

                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #85388
                                                Originally posted by Tanko
                                                Your going to get Ronald to visit more often with these pics Diggity...
                                                Yeah, WTF DDD?

                                                I'm out of the office most of the week and come back to this?

                                                Unreal. You won't believe what else I came back to, all I could do was pray...

                                                Comment
                                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                  • 81454

                                                  #85389
                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  Yeah, WTF DDD?

                                                  I'm out of the office most of the week and come back to this?

                                                  Unreal. You won't believe what else I came back to, all I could do was pray...

                                                  What's going on in the background there?

                                                  Man sex?

                                                  REPORTED
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #85390
                                                    FUK.

                                                    System issues again, this time I caught it earlier, but still fuk.



                                                    Oh well, as far as posting I can just post some unrealistic line then fight with anyone that tries to point it out.

                                                    But that doesn't help my account stuffing here in the office, the real life money making shit.

                                                    Fuk.

                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #85391
                                                      Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                      What's going on in the background there?

                                                      Man sex?

                                                      REPORTED
                                                      No, bro, you got it all wrong.

                                                      There's a man there, yes, but he's mounted my giant gummie bear.

                                                      All I could do was pray for the gummie bear....

                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #85392
                                                        The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has picked up...

                                                        175 6-Oct UNLV +16.5 (-110)
                                                        181 SJST +4 (-110)
                                                        These lines are everywhere from what I bought to 15 and 3, so they are moving.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #85393
                                                          I might have caused the line shift in both of those plays above with my bets.

                                                          Like I've said in the past, I'm fine with sharing my plays, as long as I get my numbers first.

                                                          Let's see what happens with these plays as other money comes in today and this week.

                                                          I am missing some of my rotation again, so I am losing value on plays, I'm sure.

                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #85394
                                                            Fawk, there's going to be a delay in the rest of these early spread bets, again.



                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #85395
                                                              Already eyeing about a dozen moneylines here and that might be just getting started.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #85396
                                                                Originally posted by Ra77er
                                                                KVB what do you use for closing number? Are you taking an average across multiple books? ...
                                                                Notice I usually say it's a crude closing line comparison because I'm not counting, for spreads, key numbers that get crossed.

                                                                Same with moneylines, but I'm not going there, yet...lol.

                                                                SPREAD BETS...

                                                                I used to use Vegas Insider consensus for all spread bets and always checked with the rest of the market to make sure it agreed, they were always consistent and didn't play price games around 1/2 point, like Pinny.

                                                                I don't get into pricing and keep it crude because I don't want to share my exact value for numbers.

                                                                But when sportsbetting became legal in Jersey and Jersey cracked down on unregulated markets, the VI consensus lost all of the online numbers.

                                                                So now for spreads I look for agreement between the rest of the market, the VI consensus and Pinny. Basically we're going with Pinny unless they close with an extreme price but off a 1/2 point from the rest of the market that doesn't copy Pinny.

                                                                Sometimes Pinny doesn't provide a most recent update on the feed, so you have to watch for that. In that case I look for agreement in the market, not an average, because it's crude line, but a main agreement between the VI consensus, books like Book Maker, and other big ones.

                                                                When I just can't find agreement, usually because of reporting issues, or something like that, I may resort to the book that the line originally came from, just comparing to that market itself. I don't think I've had to resort to that comparison yet though.

                                                                One thing about using the VI consensus. I notices in NCAA Hoops that using that spread was stacking the cards in my favor as I almost always beat that line in the discount markets. Remember when I was something like 40-2 vs the close in one of the Hoops Funds last year? I think that's what was happening there.



                                                                MONEYLINES...


                                                                Moneylines are a little more simple and far less crude. I use Pinny and look for general agreement across the market to make sure. Using Vegas just isn't fair because they are always poorly priced compared to the reduced online.

                                                                When there are reporting errors and Pinny is off I go through the same progression but don't think I've gone as far as just using the specific book from which the line came.

                                                                So basically Pinny, vegas, and the rest of the high volume world is used but I think nearly all lines will pass any scrutiny. Nearly everyone agrees, for argument sake, on Pinny. Sometimes it's not right, but everyone still agrees that it is anyway...lol.

                                                                I work hard and make passing scrutiny my goal when posting the comparisons. Notice I focus those closing line comparison posts on a moneyline basket, the UPSET Basket; that's because the comparisons are just more true than the spreads.



                                                                Comment
                                                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                                  • 81454

                                                                  #85397
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 11-30-08
                                                                    • 81454

                                                                    #85398
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 11-30-08
                                                                      • 81454

                                                                      #85399
                                                                      ^^^^^ That's wrong.

                                                                      This one is worse.

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • PittsburghPlayer
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-11-10
                                                                        • 6760

                                                                        #85400
                                                                        love the gash shots when they smack a viewer in the face

                                                                        dig that shit
                                                                        Comment
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