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DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85366Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85367Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85368The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...
921 WAS +1.5 (-145)
On mobile.
Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85369Would you like coffee? Or a fat ass?
Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85372Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85373Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85374Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85375Last week there were 37 NCAAF plays between the 5 Funds for -1.3 units.
This week there are 36 NCAAF so far and here they are, with links to each play...Week 5 NCAAF Week 5 Season to Date Funds # Plays Units # Plays Units Totals 5 0.86 18 -3.34 ATS/ML 5 -1.14 31 -4.72 UPSET Basket 9 3.31 38 1.88 Visiting Dog 9 -1.28 26 -5.03 Visiting Dog ML 9 -3.05 23 -4.85 Total: 37 -1.3 136 -16.06
Totals Fund...
ATS/ML Fund, with the Cinci play winning tonight...341 5-Oct LIBERTY/N MEX ST OVER 62.5 (-105) 367 W MICH/TOLEDO OVER 72.5 (-105) 385 AUBURN/FLORIDA OVER 48.5 (-109)
UPSET Basket...308 4-Oct CINCI +4 (-108) 332 5-Oct T TECH +10 (-109) 333 KENT ST +35 (-107) 354 SMU -12.5 (-105) 362 NEBRASKA -7 (-115) 366 NAVY +3.5 (-110) 382 GA ST +6.5 (-101)
Visiting Dog Fund...321 5-Oct BALL ST +160 327 BAYLOR +110 343 ARIZONA +135 367 W MICHIGAN +115 373 TCU +155 395 UTSA +105
Visiting Dog ML Fund, with the N Mex play losing tonight...325 5-Oct PITT +5 (-107) 337 V TECH +13.5 (-105) 349 CAL +18 (-105) 355 IOWA +4 (-105) 359 RICE +8.5 (-105) 361 N'WESTERN +7 (-110) 373 TCU +4 (-105) 391 MICHIGAN ST +20 (-111)
309 4-Oct N MEXICO +220 313 5-Oct BC +160 321 BALL ST +184 325 PITT +175 337 V TECH +415 347 OREGON ST +190 353 TULSA +370 355 IOWA +170 357 ILLINOIS +425 359 RICE +270 361 N'WESTERN +230 375 VANDY +225
I may add to the Funds in the morning, depending on market activity.
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DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85376KVB, 36 plays is not enough.
Need one more.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
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DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85378Look at this dickhead.
Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85379Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85380Checking in real quick with ome NFL plays for this week, last week was a good week...
460 NYG +5.5 (-105)
468 HOU -4 (-105)
470 BUF/TENN UNDER 39.5 (-110)
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DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85381Thread is slow lately
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DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85382I think thats a UFO in the background
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85385The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...
I'll just go ahead and mark then all winners, even the UNDER, then I'll go back and edit all my plays and links so that those mistakes I made earlier can get made up for.956 6-Oct WAS +131 958 STL +111 958 ATL/STL UNDER 8.5 (-115)
Since I didn't post some winning plays, I'll just remove some losing plays to make up for it.
That's what we are doing here at SBR now, right?
Right?
#SBRSITEHASLOSTVALUE
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85386I suppose I have some catching up to do in this thread and summaries too. It's been a busy week.
Actually, how about this.
I made 36 NCAAF plays last week, let's just call it 34-1-1, just in case I did miss a play or got a push.
From here on out I'll be hitting all the MLB plays so that takes care of that tracking.
Ok good.
Glad that's taken care of.
Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85387Lines coming out for next week, I try to wait until they are more available, and in doing so the lines are already moving at BOL.
It gets tougher each week as the money catches on and starts hitting the market.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
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DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85390FUK.
System issues again, this time I caught it earlier, but still fuk.
Oh well, as far as posting I can just post some unrealistic line then fight with anyone that tries to point it out.
But that doesn't help my account stuffing here in the office, the real life money making shit.
Fuk.
Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85392The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has picked up...
These lines are everywhere from what I bought to 15 and 3, so they are moving.175 6-Oct UNLV +16.5 (-110) 181 SJST +4 (-110)
Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85393I might have caused the line shift in both of those plays above with my bets.
Like I've said in the past, I'm fine with sharing my plays, as long as I get my numbers first.
Let's see what happens with these plays as other money comes in today and this week.
I am missing some of my rotation again, so I am losing value on plays, I'm sure.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85394Fawk, there's going to be a delay in the rest of these early spread bets, again.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85395Already eyeing about a dozen moneylines here and that might be just getting started.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#85396
Same with moneylines, but I'm not going there, yet...lol.
SPREAD BETS...
I used to use Vegas Insider consensus for all spread bets and always checked with the rest of the market to make sure it agreed, they were always consistent and didn't play price games around 1/2 point, like Pinny.
I don't get into pricing and keep it crude because I don't want to share my exact value for numbers.
But when sportsbetting became legal in Jersey and Jersey cracked down on unregulated markets, the VI consensus lost all of the online numbers.
So now for spreads I look for agreement between the rest of the market, the VI consensus and Pinny. Basically we're going with Pinny unless they close with an extreme price but off a 1/2 point from the rest of the market that doesn't copy Pinny.
Sometimes Pinny doesn't provide a most recent update on the feed, so you have to watch for that. In that case I look for agreement in the market, not an average, because it's crude line, but a main agreement between the VI consensus, books like Book Maker, and other big ones.
When I just can't find agreement, usually because of reporting issues, or something like that, I may resort to the book that the line originally came from, just comparing to that market itself. I don't think I've had to resort to that comparison yet though.
One thing about using the VI consensus. I notices in NCAA Hoops that using that spread was stacking the cards in my favor as I almost always beat that line in the discount markets. Remember when I was something like 40-2 vs the close in one of the Hoops Funds last year? I think that's what was happening there.
MONEYLINES...
Moneylines are a little more simple and far less crude. I use Pinny and look for general agreement across the market to make sure. Using Vegas just isn't fair because they are always poorly priced compared to the reduced online.
When there are reporting errors and Pinny is off I go through the same progression but don't think I've gone as far as just using the specific book from which the line came.
So basically Pinny, vegas, and the rest of the high volume world is used but I think nearly all lines will pass any scrutiny. Nearly everyone agrees, for argument sake, on Pinny. Sometimes it's not right, but everyone still agrees that it is anyway...lol.
I work hard and make passing scrutiny my goal when posting the comparisons. Notice I focus those closing line comparison posts on a moneyline basket, the UPSET Basket; that's because the comparisons are just more true than the spreads.
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DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85397Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85398Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#85399^^^^^ That's wrong.
This one is worse.
Comment -
PittsburghPlayerSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-11-10
- 6760
#85400love the gash shots when they smack a viewer in the face
dig that shitComment
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