1. #84316
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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  2. #84317
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    barely made it to the gas station

    seems 2016 was the year of the unders for ncaaf...
    I think you are off a line or a digit.

    I think you mean to say 2017, or 2006.

    Amirite?

    Last edited by KVB; 09-03-19 at 01:10 AM.

  3. #84318
    Da Manster!
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The NCAAF UPSET Basket has added...

    385 7-Sep STANFORD +135


    I guess it all comes down to whose 2nd string QB is better...Stanford's or USC?...I know USC QB
    JT Daniels tore his ACL and is done for the year...Is KJ Costello out this week for the Cardinal?

  4. #84319
    turtledoves
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I think you are off a line or a digit.

    I think you mean to say 2017, or 2006.

    Amirite?

    might have something to do with the 55,000 point totals in my db. only big Daddy can get lines that good

    The query was around the ratio of lines dropping to lines rising. 2016 showed 55-57%

    was working on sanitizing the data. loop over all the intraday odds and compare them to the median. any difference of > 15 is bad data. didn't see any 15 point movement at first glance. will have to have different checks depending on the sport and type of line. might have to manually correct a few that are close to the threshold.

    comparing to other books would be best, first check can eliminate the obvious errors

  5. #84320
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    959 3-Sep SD +142
    971 DET +137
    973 LAA +159
    978 MIL +139




  6. #84321
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has pickedup...

    975 3-Sep TOR +1.5 (+100)
    978 MIL +1.5 (-115)



  7. #84322
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    I guess it all comes down to whose 2nd string QB is better...Stanford's or USC?...I know USC QB
    JT Daniels tore his ACL and is done for the year...Is KJ Costello out this week for the Cardinal?
    Costello is still questionable, not sure if you saw the hit, it looked a bit dirty, with no penalty called...

    Good bit on it here...

    https://watchstadium.com/news/stanfo...ll-09-01-2019/

    I'm all over Stanford plus money here, especially with the USC QB out. This game should have been a pick em and the line has already dropped to and then off of 3.

    The Funds made the right calls here.

    As far as the Stanford QB, it doesn't look like he was concussed, or he would be out on protocol. Instead, he's listed as questionable.

    He might play. Liking both the Stanford moneyline and spread bets here.

    Nomination(s):
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  8. #84323
    KVB
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    The NCAAF UPSET Basket has added its 7th plays this week...

    317 3-Sep SYRACUSE +115

    Cuse was favored here but that line moved the other way, it could hit 3 and the ml could get better, but the +115 will be acceptable for the UPSET Basket. Who knows, it might even drop when the limits raise and some groups come in against the public betting.

    It's tough sometimes, the way these lines bounce around...


  9. #84324
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 587 plays...

    915 2-Sep BAL +251 -1
    Mon -1
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Weeks 16-20 6.19
    Week 21 4.49
    Week 22 0.58
    Week 23 -10.25
    Total -7.44

    The Fund has lost 4 straight plays and 5 of the last six. While all units are tracked one unit per bet, I have capitalized on the increasing units when the Fund was down about -12 units, around play 400 (a double bottom) and pulled back when we were up around 2 units.

    After the non volatile sideways action following the run from the bottom, anyone paying attention could have seen this drop coming.



    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 105 plays...

    911 2-Sep TEX +1.5 (+100) 1
    919 TOR +1.5 (+125) -1
    Week 24 0
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
    Weeks 11-15 4.86
    Weeks 16-20 -4.55
    Week 21 -1.13
    Week 22 3.21
    Week 23 -5.85
    Total -12.97



    ^^^^^^^ Hot Diggity Dog!!!

    You guys see that ass??????

  10. #84325
    Bostongambler
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    It’s scrumptious!!!! 🤭🤭🤭

  11. #84326
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 09-03-19 at 09:22 PM.

  12. #84327
    Bostongambler
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    Best of luck turtlesoup

  13. #84328
    KVB
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    Was waiting for the next page, so I could post this...



    Did you see it^^^^?

  14. #84329
    Bostongambler
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    Yup ....

  15. #84330
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    Yup ....
    How about this one...



    Did you see it ^^^^?

  16. #84331
    Bostongambler
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    No, I didn’t see it on that one. 😞

  17. #84332
    Bostongambler
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    I see something but can’t freeze it

  18. #84333
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    I see something but can’t freeze it
    Well, then.

    Here's a double shot to make up for it...


  19. #84334
    Bostongambler
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    Yes, but I’ll need to have a closer look in person. Could you arrange that ? Please & thank you.

  20. #84335
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    I saw them all.

  21. #84336
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    Yes, but I’ll need to have a closer look in person. Could you arrange that ? Please & thank you.
    Go right ahead. Pardon the plastic, I don't know where your hands have been...


  22. #84337
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Go right ahead. Pardon the plastic, I don't know where your hands have been...

    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave DiggityDaggityDo 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  23. #84338
    Bostongambler
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    WTF Earl?????
    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave Bostongambler 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  24. #84339
    KVB
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    Just in case you might miss this ass, I went ahead and covered it in purple glitter...



    Let me know if you saw it. You know, that ass ^^^^.

  25. #84340
    KVB
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    She knows how to get it in the hole...


  26. #84341
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  27. #84342
    turtledoves
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    why didn't the cow place her bet?

    she was waiting for the line moovement
    Last edited by turtledoves; 09-03-19 at 10:17 PM.

  28. #84343
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    why didn't the cow place his bet?

    he was waiting for the line moovement
    How much was he looking to steak?

  29. #84344
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    She knows how to get it in the hole...

    I want to get into HER hole.

    Her butthole.

  30. #84345
    turtledoves
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    How much was he looking to steak?
    whatever she could milk together

    cows are female

  31. #84346
    turtledoves
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    I want to get into HER hole.

    Her butthole.
    rectal exam?

    all jokes aside, remember to get regular colonoscopies

  32. #84347
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    whatever she could milk together

    cows are female
    I call bull shit

  33. #84348
    KVB
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    Making a case that it's better than a coin flip...

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post28868534


  34. #84349
    KVB
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    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after 591 plays and I can't help but think about the 5 units in mistakes earlier in the season and then 3 more two weeks a go...

    959 3-Sep SD +142 -1
    971 DET +137 -1
    973 LAA +159 -1
    978 MIL +139 1.39
    Tue -1.61
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Weeks 16-20 6.19
    Week 21 4.49
    Week 22 0.58
    Week 23 -10.25
    Mon -1
    Total -9.05

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund after 107 plays, having an even week...

    911 2-Sep TEX +1.5 (+100) 1
    919 TOR +1.5 (+125) -1
    975 3-Sep TOR +1.5 (+100) -1
    978 MIL +1.5 (-115) 0.87
    Week 24 -0.13
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
    Weeks 11-15 4.86
    Weeks 16-20 -4.55
    Week 21 -1.13
    Week 22 3.21
    Week 23 -5.85
    Total -13.1


  35. #84350
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Making a case that it's better than a coin flip...

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post28868534

    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave DiggityDaggityDo 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


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