Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

[turtledoves]

great posts with the charts

thanks for dropping the knowledge bra, very good explanations

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability_theory)

have more thinking to do

[turtledoves]

a few happy people around here

[KVB]

The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has added...

361

19-Oct

TOLEDO +110

Here are the other pending plays in that Fund so far...

317	19-Oct	DUKE +160
331		FLORIDA ST +125
383	19-Oct	S MISS +105
389	19-Oct	BAYLOR +130
395		TULANE +165

[RangeFinder]

Good luck K!!

I have the Under in the Toledo Ball St.

[KVB]

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

919

17-Oct

HOU +124

Like the last play, I can't help but think this triggered play loses...lol.

Last play lost, let's see if it goes the other way...for once.

I'll check in later, having keyboard issues and new one should arrive today.

[PittsburghPlayer]

Love women with pubic hair like the one above!

and when the new keyboards arrive, Eddie Jobson and UK if you please

[KVB]

Love women with pubic hair like the one above!

and when the new keyboards arrive, Eddie Jobson and UK if you please

Nice call Pitt, you need to make more music requests.

Expect some more down the pipeline here, but I've been putting music in the music thread lately and not here.

That's probably changing though.

[KVB]

It's already Friday, lol, that's how late I got out the week before's NCAAF results. Funny thing is, the results were ready to post on Saturday night, I was way ahead. Looks like the only real story continuing between the weeks was in the UPSET Basket, which behaved just about as I was predicting.

Independent? lol

Damn it Doves, you didn't do your homework, did you?

You didn't track regions like I said, did you? If you had, you wouldn't have posted that link. Well, maybe you would have but it's ok, it's my fault for not being in contact.

I can make a less presumptive case, add that to the list of things I'm trying to get to here in the thread.

Just not liking SBR much anymore, there's nothing to read anymore and it's just a bunch of drama everywhere.

There's no accountability, at all, even among the mods.

Besides, if we get into these next topics, a public space may not be the best place to discuss them.

First, let me get my thinking cap on...

[KVB]

Went inexpensive for now but love the bigger "marshmallow" like keys.

Been working on the flat stock HP keyboard, I never did like those.

Like it so far, it may encourage me to put out a good post or two, lol...

[DiggityDaggityDo]

First, let me get my thinking cap on...

[turtledoves]

don't take the independence link the wrong way. was thinking about how incorrect, unproven assumptions can be made about the independence of events. been positioning the data to enable that type of analysis. in a way, it is related to one of the systems from last year that i resurrected. can't work at full speed anymore, having problems with the CPU. gonna put together all my power, all my skills for nba this year.

[turtledoves]

[KVB]

don't take the independence link the wrong way. was thinking about how incorrect, unproven assumptions can be made about the independence of events. been positioning the data to enable that type of analysis. in a way, it is related to one of the systems from last year that i resurrected. can't work at full speed anymore, having problems with the CPU. gonna put together all my power, all my skills for nba this year...

NBA tough animal, it really has it's cycles and streaks. I remember one playoffs where the favorite won like 2 weeks in a row, I about got killed.

Yeah, just giving you a hard time about the link, it's definitely worth discussion. I think you are right about assumptions being wrong.

At the very least it's about stats from one week driving bettor decisions the next week.

At the most, it goes back to viewing the market through different lenses. Some of those lenses force the dependence of the action.

I'm purposely vague obviously.

Back to NBA...One of the purposes of the these market tracking strategies like the MLB Contrarian Fund is to show the patience required and boy does the NBA require patience.

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 673 plays, 16 of which are the playoffs...

909	14-Oct	STL +116	-1
919	17-Oct	HOU +124	1.24
		Playoffs Wk 3	0.24
		Regular Season 2019	3.69
		Playoffs Wk 1	-0.65
		Playoffs Wk 2	3.08
		Total	6.36

The NBA Contrarian Fund, and the NBA itself, will give us dips and loops that make the MLB Contrarian Fund look like a kiddie ride...

[KVB]

The OMEN keyboard makes a crazy loud clicking sound, it's the reason I didn't get it. That keyboard in the vid sounds like it clicks too.

Love the swoosh sound effect at 2:58.



It's nice to not have to worry about pasting plays and summaries in other threads anymore.

They recommend you don't walk down the side of highways, actually it's not legal, but if you must walk down the side of a highway make sure you "Walk This Way"...

[KVB]

The KVB NCAAF Totals Fund has picked up...

331		19-Oct	FLORIDA ST/WAKE OVER 68 (-110)
372			COLORADA/WASH ST UNDER 71 (-115)
416			RICE/UTSA UNDER 42.5 (-105)

[KVB]

The KVB NCAAF ATS/ML Fund has picked...

311		18-Oct	PITT -3.5 (-115)
328		19-Oct	MD +6 (-102)
346			OHIO -7.5 (-105)
356			BYU +7 (+100)
362			BALL ST -2 (-105)
374			SC +5.5 (-107)
392			ARKANSAS +19.5 (-102)

Notice that the Ball St play conflicts with the market function of Toledo +110 in the UPSET Basket.

Can't get both here.

[KVB]

The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has added...

411

19-Oct

CHARLOTTE +9 (-102)

Here are the other pending plays in that Fund...

317		19-Oct	DUKE +4 (-105)
319			G TECH +18 (-105)
333			COAST CAR +7 (-125)
339			TULSA +17.5 (-105)
353			NEVADA +21.5 (-105)
359			ARIZONA ST +13.5 (-105)
365			OREGON ST +11.5 (-105)
375			KENTUCKY +25 (-105)
385			ODU +16 (-105)
421			MICHIGAN +9 (-107)

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Totals Fund after week 7 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.

This Fund was 2-2, -.12 units this week. When comparing the closers, Vegas seemed, for the most part, to be off from the rest of the world and I went with the rest of the world and the more common lines.

Season to date the Totals Fund is 9-15-1 with a record of 1-5 against the OVERs and the one OVER win was the most recent settled play in that night swing game of Wyoming.

				1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC
	Record	Date	NCAAF Totals Fund	per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
136	0-1	29-Aug	G TECH/CLEMSON UNDER 61.5 (-105)	-1	60.5	Y	1
158	0-2	30-Aug	PURDUE/NEVADA UNDER 58.5 (-105)	-1	58.5	PUSH	0
181	0-3	31-Aug	SC/NC OVER 63 (-105)	-1	62	N	-1
216	0-3-1	1-Sep	HOU/OK UNDER 80 (-105)	0	80.5	N	-0.5
312	1-3-1	7-Sep	ARMY/MICH UNDER 48 (-105)	0.95	48	PUSH	0
376	1-4-1		NEVADA/OREGON UNDER 61.5 (-105)	-1	62	N	-0.5
392	2-4-1		ORE ST/HAWAII UNDER 77.5 (-105)	0.95	78	N	-0.5
106	2-5-1	13-Sep	KANSAS/BC UNDER 51 (-105)	-1	51	PUSH	0
108	3-5-1		WASH ST/HOU UNDER 74.5 (-105)	0.95	74	Y	0.5
128	4-5-1	14-Sep	SDSU/N MEX ST UNDER 51 (-105)	0.95	51	PUSH	0
138	4-6-1		ALABAMA/SC UNDER 61.5 (-105)	-1	59.5	Y	2
314	4-7-1	21-Sep	MIA (OH)/OHIO ST UNDER 56.5 (-105)	-1	56.5	PUSH	0
398	4-8-1		UCLA/WASH ST UNDER 58.5 (-105)	-1	59.5	N	-1
116	5-8-1	28-Sep	WAKE/BC UNDER 69.5 (-108)	0.93	69.5	PUSH	0
134	5-9-1		AKRON/UMASS UNDER 62.5 (-108)	-1	60.5	Y	2
142	6-9-1		M TENN ST/IOWA UNDER 52 (-102)	0.98	51	Y	1
146	7-9-1		WASH ST/UTAH UNDER 57 (-105)	0.95	57	PUSH	0
170	7-10-1		T TECH/OKLAHOMA UNDER 70.5 (-110)	-1	69	Y	1.5
341	7-11-1	5-Oct	LIBERTY/N MEX ST OVER 62.5 (-105)	-1	63.5	Y	1
367	7-12-1		W MICH/TOLEDO OVER 72.5 (-105)	-1	73.5	Y	1
385	7-13-1		AUBURN/FLORIDA OVER 48.5 (-109)	-1	48.5	PUSH	0
109	7-14-1	11-Oct	VA/MIA OVER 43 (-105)	-1	43.5	Y	0.5
168	8-14-1	12-Oct	MIA (OH)/W MICH UNDER 57 (-105)	0.95	57.5	Y	0.5
196	8-15-1		MASS/LOUIS TECH UNDER 63 (-105)	-1	64	Y	1
205	9-15-1		WYOMING/SDSU OVER 38 (-107)	0.93	37.5	N	-0.5
	9-15-1		Total	-6.46		11-6-8	0.320

Last year the NCAAF Totals Fund had some adversity, but it was above water. This year we're seeing adversity early, despite the Fund making a comeback against the closing line...







Here we go again with the closing line comparison moving opposite the units. Not really worried yet about this Fund as it tends to sharpen as the season progresses. Remember this is not "market function" it's my Total plays. We track the plays but these plays aren't tracking, say, a contrarian Totals market, like the MLB Fund could be considered doing.

That said, let's wrap some prospective around this negative start. Like I said, any recovery that this Fund needed after adversity last year occurred almost exclusively above water. This year has seen us give back most of last year's gains...





This Fund also maintains a longer term crude average here of more than half a point. We're watching that average closely, we want to see it stay above half a point, regardless of the units gained or lost this year.

Last year we see a drop of about 7 units and this year we get the same. So far this year any test of a level has broke downward and we are coming off a little double bottom. While this Fund doesn't track the contrarian Totals market or any market, it does have it's own form of give and take given the adjustments that can be market based in the triggers.

In this sense, we can read the chart a little bit and form expectations but let's hold off and be patient there.

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF ATS/ML Fund after week 7 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.

This Fund was 3-3, -.17 units this week. The closing line against Akron is graded a PUSH even though it beat the Vegas line as I went with the online world which even agreed with the likes of Fan Duel...

	Record	Date	NCAAF ATS/ML Fund	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ATS
	ATS			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
141	1-0	29-Aug	KENT ST +24.5 (-105)	0.95	24.5	PUSH	0
144	1-1		BYU +6.5 (-105)	-1	5	Y	1.5
235	2-1		S DAKOTA ST +15.5 (-110)	0.91	14.5	Y	1
150	2-2	30-Aug	S FLORIDA +10.5 (-105)	-1	10	Y	0.5
161	3-2	31-Aug	FAU +27.5 (-105)	0.95	28	N	-0.5
183	3-3		Duke +33.5 (-105)	-1	33.5	PUSH	0
204	3-4		PIT +2.5 (+100)	-1	2.5	PUSH	0
319	3-5	7-Sep	WV +14 (-107)	-1	13.5	Y	0.5
334	3-6		CLEMSON -16.5 (-105)	-1	16	N	-0.5
349	4-6		SDSU +9 (-105)	0.95	7.5	Y	1.5
360	4-7		FAU +10.5 (-102)	-1	13.5	N	-3
364	4-8		KANSAS -7 (-110)	-1	7	PUSH	0
389	4-8-1		MINNESOTA -3 (-110)	0	3	PUSH	0
110	4-9-1	14-Sep	INDIANA +18 (-105)	-1	17.5	Y	0.5
114	5-9-1		WV +7 (-105)	0.95	7	PUSH	0
116	6-9-1		TEMPLE +7 (-105)	0.95	5	Y	2
121	7-9-1		E MICHIGAN +7 (+100)	1	7	PUSH	0
150	7-10-1		TULSA +14 (-103)	-1	14	PUSH	0
164	7-11-1		BGSU +12 (-105)	-1	12.5	N	-0.5
306	8-11-1	20-Sep	USC +3.5 (-105)	0.95	3.5	PUSH	0
307	8-12-1		FL INT +7.5 (-112)	-1	7	Y	0.5
347	9-12-1	21-Sep	N MEX ST +4.5 (-105)	0.95	4	Y	0.5
362	10-12-1		MISS ST -6 (-105)	0.95	6	PUSH	0
370	10-13-1		TULSA -3.5 (-105)	-1	5.5	Y	2
394	11-13-1		FLORIDA ST -6.5 (-110)	0.91	6.5	PUSH	0
396	11-14-1		UTEP +14.5 (-112)	-1	14	Y	0.5
108	11-15-1	27-Sep	MD +6.5 (-109)	-1	6.5	PUSH	0
113	12-15-1	28-Sep	N'WESTERN +24.5 (-105)	0.95	23	Y	1.5
125	12-16-1		G TECH +8.5 (-102)	-1	9	N	-0.5
172	12-17-1		CHARLOTTE -1 (-105)	-1	1	N	-2
192	13-17-1		W KENTUCKY +3.5 (-110)	0.91	3	Y	0.5
308	14-17-1	4-Oct	CINCI +4 (-108)	0.93	3.5	Y	0.5
332	15-17-1	5-Oct	T TECH +10 (-109)	0.92	9.5	Y	0.5
333	15-18-1		KENT ST +35 (-107)	-1	35	PUSH	0
354	15-19-1		SMU -12.5 (-105)	-1	12	N	-0.5
362	15-20-1		NEBRASKA -7 (-115)	-1	7.5	Y	0.5
366	16-20-1		NAVY +3.5 (-110)	0.91	3	Y	0.5
382	17-20-1		GA ST +6.5 (-101)	0.99	6.5	PUSH	0
124	17-21-1	12-Oct	TULSA +1.5 (-108)	-1	-1	Y	2.5
136	18-21-1		PURDUE +3.5 (-110)	0.91	4	N	-0.5
160	18-22-1		AKRON +14.5 (-105)	-1	14.5	PUSH	0
170	19-22-1		S FLORIDA +5 (-103)	0.97	4.5	Y	0.5
177	19-23-1		MICHIGAN ST +10.5 (-105)	-1	8	Y	2.5
190	20-23-1		S MISS -3 (-105)	0.95	3	PUSH	0
	20-23-1		Total	-4.14		20-8-16	0.284

This Fund spent the first half of last year under water and like the Totals Fund we expect this Fund to get sharper as the season goes on. Instead of posting this year's charts, we get a better feel for direction with the overall charts, especially with the closing comparison...





During the rise in units last year we didn't exactly see a rise in the closing line comparison and that running average trended downward. It's really kept doing the same and seems to now be leveling off.

Again, this has market based adjustments so some chart reading is useful but this is not a "market function."

No matter the strategy it's always good to keep an eye on that closer and we really would like to see this Fund averaging closer to if not at half a point, like the Totals, but not quite as successful.

They've always said Totals are softer markets than spreads in NCAAF and just going back a year with these two Funds with that crude closing comparison may provide evidence of that.

So while we want that Totals Fund to average better than .5, say .55 with .6 being great, we want to see that ATS/ML Fund push that .5 level, with .47 ok and .55 being fantastic. With the crude comparison, a solid half point is what we would like to see.

Let's move on to the functions.

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket after week 7 with links to each play and a closing line comparison.

This Fund had 8 plays for -1.63 units in week 7 and behaved, for the most part, as predicted last week...

	Date	NCAAF UPSET Basket	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
133	29-Aug	UCLA +140	-1	116	Y	0.25
137		FL INT +135	-1	128	Y	0.07
147	30-Aug	UTAH ST +150	-1	174	N	-0.24
175	31-Aug	MISSISSIPPI +145	-1	139	Y	0.06
193		SMU +140	1.4	105	Y	0.35
281		ILLINOIS ST +155	-1	220	N	-0.65
305	7-Sep	OHIO +160	-1	161	N	-0.01
317		SYRACUSE +115	-1	102	Y	0.13
343		ARKANSAS ST +115	1.15	-106	Y	0.21
355		N TEXAS +160	-1	152	Y	0.08
357		BYU +145	1.45	134	Y	0.11
385		STANFORD +135	-1	146	N	-0.11
401		KENNESAW ST -110	-1	165	N	-0.75
409		S ILLINOIS +145	1.45	190	N	-0.45
103	13-Sep	NC +150	-1	132	Y	0.18
125	14-Sep	AIR FORCE +155	1.55	130	Y	0.25
133		AKRON +140	-1	119	Y	0.21
153		IOWA -125	0.8	-123	N	-0.02
167		S MISS +130	1.3	130	PUSH	0.00
185		TCU +105	1.05	-155	Y	0.60
303	19-Sep	HOUSTON +155	-1	162	N	-0.07
321	21-Sep	UL LAFAYETTE +145	1.45	132	Y	0.13
343		MICHIGAN +150	-1	145	Y	0.05
347		N MEX ST +167	-1	159	Y	0.08
353		CAL -103	0.97	126	Y	0.29
357		GEORGIA ST +120	-1	119	Y	0.01
365		APP ST +140	1.4	109	Y	0.31
367		AUBURN +160	1.6	156	Y	0.04
369		WYOMING +135	-1	188	N	-0.53
105	27-Sep	DUKE +115	1.15	124	N	-0.09
123	28-Sep	BUFFALO +115	-1	-124	Y	0.39
137		MINNESOTA -110	0.91	108	N	-0.18
149		HAWAII +115	1.15	111	N	-0.04
157		KENTUCKY +110	-1	148	N	-0.38
165		K STATE +160	-1	165	N	-0.05
171		FAU -103	0.97	-126	Y	0.23
179		E CAROLNA -102	0.98	136	N	-0.38
197		HOUSTON +115	1.15	256	N	-1.41
321	5-Oct	BALL ST +160	1.6	152	Y	0.08
327		BAYLOR +110	1.1	-114	Y	0.24
343		ARIZONA +135	1.35	120	Y	0.15
367		W MICHIGAN +115	-1	106	Y	0.09
373		TCU +155	-1	137	Y	0.18
395		UTSA +105	1.05	-110	Y	0.15
101	9-Oct	APP ST +130	1.3	118	Y	0.12
107	10-Oct	SYRACUSE +155	-1	159	N	-0.04
109	11-Oct	VIRGINIA -103	-1	122	N	-0.25
123	12-Oct	NAVY +105	1.05	102	Y	0.03
141		BALL ST +102	1.02	102	PUSH	0.00
147		WASH ST +130	-1	-136	Y	0.66
181		SJST +125	-1	121	Y	0.04
197		FRESNO ST +155	-1	124	Y	0.31
		Total	3.35		32-18-2	0.008

Here's the running average vs. the closer for this season and overall. We've been over the outliers and the overall average right now is about .10. We want that to be closer to .15 and the outliers do get us closer. As it stands, the running average is leveling out overall and has turned positive for the season...





Let's look at the units.

[KVB]

Let's look at the UPSET Basket Units.

Last week I made the case that the UPSET Basket could go sideways or down with a series of posts starting here...

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/saloon/2399514-fly-me-3-resurrection-sports-talk-good-tunes-great-times-anything-goes-p2443.html#post28965113

Here are the graphs from then, just before week 7 and then up to Friday night...







Now here we after week 7 and the UNITS chart hit a third top in sideways movement before dropping back a bit...



Here's the overall chart with the technical analysis...



Those moving averages haven't crossed, but remember what tends to happen when they do. We get some extra "legs" in whatever direction where moving, this chart is also from last week...



Here's the UPSET Basket pending for this week, let's hope we've ween enough sideways for this month get a rise out of the charts...

317	19-Oct	DUKE +160
331		FLORIDA ST +125
361		TOLEDO +110
383		S MISS +105
389		BAYLOR +130
395		TULANE +165

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund after week 7 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.

This Fund went 6-2, +3.54 units in week 7 and was 7-1 against the closing line...

				1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC
	Record	Date	NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund	per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
385	0-1	7-Sep	STANFORD +3.5 (-115)	-1	3	Y	0.5
387	1-1		CAL +14 (-110)	0.91	13.5	Y	0.5
401	1-2		KENNESAW ST +1.5 (-120)	-1	3.5	N	-2
423	1-3		G WEBB +28 (-120)	-1	31	N	-3
425	2-3		MAINE +10.5 (-120)	0.83	7.5	Y	3
427	2-4		NC A&T +29.5 (-120)	-1	27.5	Y	2
117	2-5	14-Sep	MIA (OH) +16 (-105)	-1	17	N	-1
133	2-6		AKRON +6 (-105)	-1	2.5	Y	3.5
147	3-6		UNLV +20 (-105)	0.95	18.5	Y	1.5
171	4-6		OHIO +5.5 (-105)	0.95	4	Y	1.5
225	5-6		WEBER ST +10 (-120)	0.83	7.5	Y	2.5
233	5-7		MISSOURI ST +29 (-120)	-1	31.5	N	-2.5
339	5-8	21-Sep	W MICHIGAN +5.5 (-110)	-1	3.5	Y	2
343	5-9		MICHIGAN +3 (+100)	-1	3	PUSH	0
361	5-10		KENTUCKY +6 (-102)	-1	6	PUSH	0
367	6-10		AUBURN +4 (-105)	0.95	4	PUSH	0
411	7-10		S ILLINOIS +21.5 (-120)	0.83	23	N	-1.5
111	8-10	27-Sep	ARIZONA ST +5.5 (-105)	0.95	4	Y	1.5
113	9-10	28-Sep	N' WESTERN +24 (-105)	0.95	23	Y	1
123	9-11		BUFFALO +2 (-110)	-1	2.5	N	-0.5
135	9-12		RUTGERS +27.5 (-110)	-1	27.5	PUSH	0
143	9-13		UNLV +9.5 (-105)	-1	8	Y	1.5
153	10-13		INDIANA +14.5 (-110)	0.91	14	Y	0.5
163	10-14		KANSAS +16 (-105)	-1	14.5	Y	1.5
167	10-15		MISS ST +11 (-105)	-1	7.5	Y	3.5
187	11-15		UTEP +25.5 (-110)	0.91	26	N	-0.5
325	12-15	5-Oct	PITT +5 (-107)	0.93	3.5	Y	1.5
337	13-15		V TECH +13.5 (-105)	0.95	14	N	-0.5
349	14-15		CAL +18 (-105)	0.95	21	N	-3
355	14-16		IOWA +4 (-105)	-1	4	PUSH	0
359	14-17		RICE +8.5 (-105)	-1	10	N	-1.5
361	15-17		N'WESTERN +7 (-110)	0.91	7.5	N	-0.5
373	15-18		TCU +4 (-105)	-1	3	Y	1
391	15-19		MICHIGAN ST +20 (-111)	-1	20	PUSH	0
109	15-20	11-Oct	VIRGINIA +3 (-115)	-1	2.5	Y	0.5
131	16-20	12-Oct	GTECH +18.5 (-105)	0.95	18	Y	0.5
143	17-20		ODU +14.5 (-110)	0.91	16.5	N	-2
163	18-20		ARKANSAS +7.5 (-110)	0.91	3.5	Y	4
175	19-20		UNLV +16.5 (-110)	0.91	15	Y	1.5
177	19-21		MICHIGAN ST +10.5 (-110)	-1	8	Y	2.5
181	20-21		SJST +4 (-110)	0.91	3	Y	1
205	21-21		WYOMING +4.5 (-105)	0.95	3.5	Y	1
	21-21		Total	-1.75		24-12-6	0.512

The Visiting Dog Fund is another Fund, this time a market function, that also had little adversity last year and spent that above water. After a rise last year the Fund went sideways for about 40 plays before rising again.

Ending last season on a rise, the Fund has pretty much gone sideways this year, through it's first 42 plays...



Once again we want to keep that closing line running average, especially the crude one, over .5 points and this Fund has enjoyed a pretty sizable edge as we've come to expect more like .6 points as the running average. This year it's been closer to .5 points but we've seen a stark uptrend in the difference with this last week and things seem to be picking up in this Fund...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog ML Fund after week 7 with links to each play and a closing line comparison.

This Fund had 15 plays for -5.6 units for week 7 and was 7-8 against the closing line, beating it by .10. This Fund continues to stay close to flat against the close, despite the large moneylines.

The Fund is -8.81 units but has lost 9 straight bets in rotation order...

	Date	NCAAF Visting Dog ML	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
361	7-Sep	W KENTUCKY +265	2.65	262	Y	0.03
373		ARKANSAS +230	-1	194	Y	0.36
387		CAL +415	4.15	447	Y	0.32
133	14-Sep	AKRON +195	-1	119	Y	0.21
139		E CAROLINA +235	-1	237	N	-0.02
189		FLORIDA ST +240	-1	241	N	-0.01
307	20-Sep	FL INT +275	-1	222	Y	0.53
309		AIR FORCE +260	-1	274	N	-0.14
351	21-Sep	COLORADO +240	2.4	260	N	-0.20
361		KENTUCKY +230	-1	196	Y	0.34
371		S CAROLINA +290	-1	308	N	-0.18
375		OK ST +170	-1	241	N	-0.71
377		BGSU +290	-1	328	N	-0.38
393		LOUISVILLE +265	-1	205	Y	0.60
103	26-Sep	NAVY +320	-1	326	N	-0.06
111	27-Sep	ARIZONA ST +180	1.8	173	Y	0.07
127	28-Sep	NC ST +160	-1	212	N	-0.52
143		UNLV +310	-1	281	Y	0.29
145		WASH ST +210	-1	188	Y	0.22
167		MISS ST +325	-1	258	Y	0.67
183		ARKANSAS ST +215	2.15	215	PUSH	0.00
201		USC +315	-1	380	N	-0.65
203		UCLA +245	-1	138	Y	1.07
309	4-Oct	N MEXICO +220	-1	211	Y	0.09
313	5-Oct	BC +160	-1	156	Y	0.04
321		BALL ST +184	1.84	152	Y	0.32
325		PITT +175	1.75	151	Y	0.24
337		V TECH +415	4.15	447	N	-0.32
347		OREGON ST +190	1.9	163	Y	0.27
353		TULSA +370	-1	351	Y	0.19
355		IOWA +170	-1	174	N	-0.04
357		ILLINOIS +425	-1	427	N	-0.02
359		RICE +270	-1	318	N	-0.48
361		N'WESTERN +230	-1	258	N	-0.28
375		VANDY +225	-1	214	Y	0.11
121	12-Oct	LOUISVILLE +210	2.1	216	N	-0.06
129		NEBRASKA +230	-1	244	N	-0.14
133		GA ST +220	2.2	143	Y	0.77
139		HAWAII +340	-1	356	N	-0.16
153		MISSISSIPPI +340	-1	369	N	-0.29
161		N ILLINOIS +210	2.1	177	Y	0.33
163		ARKANSAS +240	-1	168	Y	0.72
165		T TECH +310	-1	314	N	-0.04
167		MIA (OH) +415	-1	376	Y	0.39
177		MICH ST +310	-1	296	Y	0.14
179		FLORIDA +400	-1	450	N	-0.50
185		M TENN ST +345	-1	353	N	-0.08
189		N TEXAS +170	-1	123	Y	0.47
193		CHARLOTTE +180	-1	195	N	-0.15
205		WYOMING +165	-1	154	Y	0.11
		Total	-8.81		26-23-1	0.069

Week 7 had a couple of close calls with Arkansas +240 and TTech +210 playing close ones and the swing game of Wyoming also coming down to the last possession.

Here are this year's charts, after week 7...





I know this Fund wasn't posted last year but to provide context here's last year to the present...



It's looking like this function is pushing another limit and remember this has dropped significantly in the last two years, with a drop of 30 units since the high of 2018.

Remember, this Fund will go on droughts before hitting some plays with higher payouts and we can expect some money back in this Fund soon.

That said, at this writing this Fund has gained 4.7 units on Thursday and Friday of week 8.

One of these weeks, when the dogs bark, this Fund should pull it's weight.

[KVB]

Here's the Summary of Summaries for the KVB NCAAF Family of Funds after week 7.

There were 41 plays for -3.98 units in week 7 and it's worth noting that the haymaker fund, the Visiting Dog ML Fund, was -5.6 of those units and lost it's last 9 plays in rotation order...

NCAAF	Week 7		Season	to Date
Funds	# Plays	Units	# Plays	Units
Totals	4	-0.12	25	-6.46
ATS/ML	6	-0.17	44	-4.14
UPSET Basket	8	-1.63	52	3.35
Visiting Dog	8	3.54	42	-1.75
Visiting Dog ML	15	-5.6	50	-8.81
Total:	41	-3.98	213	-17.81

[KVB]

NCAAF Funds...Win/Loss Records

Here are the win/loss records for the Funds that have Spreads and Totals through week 7 this season and combined with last year...

2019...

NCAAF	Season	to Date		ATS and Totals Records			Win %	% + Tie
Funds	# Plays	Units		W	L	P
Totals	25	-6.46		9	15	1	0.375	0.360
ATS/ML	44	-4.14		20	23	1	0.465	0.455
UPSET Basket	52	3.35
Visiting Dog	42	-1.75		21	21		0.500	0.500
Visiting Dog ML	50	-8.81
Total:	213	-17.81		50	59	2	0.459	0.450

These percentages are up from last week...

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/saloon/2399514-fly-me-3-resurrection-sports-talk-good-tunes-great-times-anything-goes-p2442.html#post28962664

Here are the records of the current Funds going back to last year...

2018-Present...

2018-Present	ATS and Totals Records			Win %	% + Tie
NCAAF Funds	W	L	P
Totals	83	77	2	0.519	0.512
ATS/ML	72	56	3	0.563	0.550
UPSET Basket
Visiting Dog	73	51	1	0.589	0.584
Visiting Dog ML
Total:	228	184	6	0.553	0.545

[KVB]

Here are this weeks plays so far for the KVB NCAAF Family of Funds, there are 41 pending plays...

Totals Fund...

331	19-Oct	FLORIDA ST/WAKE OVER 68 (-110)
372		COLORADA/WASH ST UNDER 71 (-115)
416		RICE/UTSA UNDER 42.5 (-105)

ATS/ML Fund...

311	18-Oct	PITT -3.5 (-115)	0.87
328	19-Oct	MD +6 (-102)
346		OHIO -7.5 (-105)
356		BYU +7 (+100)
362		BALL ST -2 (-105)
374		SC +5.5 (-107)
392		ARKANSAS +19.5 (-102)

UPSET Basket...

317	19-Oct	DUKE +160
331		FLORIDA ST +125
361		TOLEDO +110
383		S MISS +105
389		BAYLOR +130
395		TULANE +165

Visiting Dog Fund...

317	19-Oct	DUKE +4 (-105)
319		G TECH +18 (-105)
333		COAST CAR +7 (-125)
339		TULSA +17.5 (-105)
353		NEVADA +21.5 (-105)
359		ARIZONA ST +13.5 (-105)
365		OREGON ST +11.5 (-105)
375		KENTUCKY +25 (-105)
385		ODU +16 (-105)
411		CHARLOTTE +9 (-102)
421		MICHIGAN +9 (-107)

Visiting Dog ML Fund...

307	17-Oct	UCLA +290	2.9
309	18-Oct	MARSHALL +180	1.8
315		UNLV +425
333	19-Oct	COAST CAR +195
345		KENT +240
359		ARIZONA ST +415
365		OREGON ST +340
369		ARIZONA +275
371		COLORADO +415
403	19-Oct	S FLORIDA +370
411		CHARLOTTE +320
413	19-Oct	M TENN ST +275
417		TEMPLE +220
421		MICHIGAN +240

[KVB]

I think that's it, maybe we'll find another play laying around here somewhere by tomorrow...

[darrell74]

KVB, how come you don't start your own plays thread?

[turtledoves]

[KVB]

Fuk, forgot to post Purdue +17.5 to the Visiting Dog Fund this morning. I made the play but didn't realize I hadn't posted it.

[KVB]

My bad with the Purdue play, now I have a mismatch in my graphs from the actual Fund and the results.

I hate that but we'll get over it, I suppose.

My bad, it was a winner I didn't post.

[KVB]

Fuk for the 3rd post in a row, I can't believe I didn't post a market function play.

It doesn't even matter if it wins or loses, it should have been in the record.

Man that is going to annoy me.

[turtledoves]

shit looks dope

[KVB]

NFL Plays.

I did say I would sum these up and track so I will go back and do just that.

But first, for tomorrow...

462	20-Oct	CIN +4.5 (-105)
466		SF/WAS UNDER 40 (-105)
470		SEA -3 (+105)

[KVB]

shit looks dope