Super Bowl Odds 2025: Perfect Chiefs Remain Favorites, Texans in Title Mix Ahead of TNF
As NFL fans and bettors celebrate Halloween, there's nothing spookier than seeing the Kansas City Chiefs atop the latest Las Vegas Super Bowl odds heading into Week 9.
To nobody's surprise, the Chiefs remain the 2025 Super Bowl odds favorites across our best Super Bowl betting sites after a perfect 7-0 start through the first eight weeks of the NFL regular season.
They sit just ahead of the Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens, who endured their own horrors in last year's conference championship round but remain in the mix across the best NFL betting sites as we near the halfway point of this season.
Don't sleep on the Houston Texans, who are underdogs tonight by the Thursday Night Football odds to beat the struggling New York Jets - a team trapped in a nightmare season with as many wins (two) as head coaches.
Here's a look at the latest 2025 Super Bowl odds and favorites as we look ahead to the NFL Week 9 odds.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Super Bowl odds from our best sports betting sites; last updated Oct. 31 and subject to change.
Super Bowl favorites
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +400 | 20% | $40 |
| Lions | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Ravens | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| 49ers | +850 | 10.53% | $85 |
| Bills | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Eagles | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Packers | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Texans | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Vikings | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
- Chiefs (+400): Kansas City continues its reign over the NFL with a 27-20 win in Las Vegas to stay unbeaten at 7-0 entering Week 9
- Lions (+650): Don't look now but Detroit is 6-1 after bludgeoning the Titans on Sunday, which came after the Lions ended the Vikings' unbeaten start
- Ravens (+650): Baltimore held onto a share of the second spot at BetMGM after a surprising loss to the division rival Browns to snap a five-game winning streak
- 49ers (+850): San Francisco handled business - and covered - with a 6-point win over the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football but these odds shortened too much for a win over a team with a now-below .500 record
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Super Bowl contenders
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Steelers | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| Falcons | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Bengals | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
| Bears | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Chargers | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Cowboys | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
| Rams | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
- Commanders (+2500): Even with Jayden Daniels (ribs) battling through injury, Washington stunned the Bears as time expired to move to 6-2
- Steelers (+2800): At 6-2 and atop the toughest division in football entering the midpoint of the 2024 season, the Steelers need to be taken seriously, even with their last three wins coming agains the Raiders, Jets, and Giants
- Falcons (+3000): Atlanta bounced back from a blowout loss to the Seahawks by outlasting the rival Buccaneers to take the lead in the NFC South
- Bengals (+4000): Another loss hurt the Bengals' title outlook, but the Ravens' loss keeps Cincinnati's hopes alive in the crowded AFC North
Super Bowl long shots
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Cardinals | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Jets | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Seahawks | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Colts | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Dolphins | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Saints | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Browns | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Jaguars | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Raiders | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Panthers | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Patriots | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Giants | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Titans | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
- Jets (+8000): What started as a season with Super Bowl ambitions has turned into a nightmare for New York, which needs a win to avoid even more internal chaos
- Saints (+30000): Injuries can take their fair share of the blame, but this is not the team that started the season 2-0 as an offensive juggernaut
- Browns (+50000): Cleveland rallied from the Deshaun Watson injury to beat the Ravens, but there's still a long road ahead to the postseason
2025 Super Bowl favorites
Chiefs (+400)
There's a reason I highlighted the Chiefs in my preseason Super Bowl predictions and have continued to express faith in their title outlook all season long: they have so many ways to win.
Kansas City ranks seventh in point differential (+50) through eight weeks, but it still hasn't lost a game in its last 13 tries (including the postseason) and looks to have a stranglehold on the AFC West and potentially the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
It's easy to be disenchanted by the Chiefs' uneven start, but they still look better than they did last season. And we know how that turned out.
You won't win kudos from your friends for betting on Kansas City, but you're still more likely to cash your bet on this group than any other in the NFL. We've seen that ring true each of the last two seasons with a similar cast of characters.
This group isn't as healthy as the last two, especially on offense, but I trust Mahomes to find his safety valve in the postseason and ride that to victory. That's especially true now that the Chiefs added DeAndre Hopkins to an injury-riddled receiving corps.
If they win a third straight Super Bowl, a $10 bet at FanDuel would return a $45 profit.
Best odds: +450 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 18.18%
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Lions (+650)
How's that for a statement win? One week after handing the Vikings their first loss of the season, the Lions trounced the Titans in a 52-14 blowout to move to 6-1.
That came despite Jared Goff - a sneaky dark horse to win MVP - attempting just 15 passes on the afternoon as Detroit's run game, defense, and special teams carried the day for the best team in the NFC.
I still have some concerns about this defense without Aidan Hutchinson, who was the favorite by the NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds before going down with a season-ending injury in Week 6.
Detroit still held the Titans in check on Sunday and did enough to beat Minnesota the week before. Right now, I wouldn't want to bet against this group making another deep run.
Best odds: +650 via bet365 | Implied probability: 12.50%
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Ravens (+650)
I was high on the Ravens entering the season, and I grabbed them at +1000 early on in their five-game winning streak.
So, naturally, I still think this group has title upside even after Sunday's surprising loss to the Browns, who posted 401 yards of total offense in a thrilling 29-24 win.
The Ravens' offense will be fine even after finishing 2-for-10 on third down with multiple near-turnovers from Jackson, who remains the MVP favorite alongside the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds front-runner in Derrick Henry.
The bigger concerns are on the other end, where injuries are piling up in the secondary and along the defensive line.
Still, this group's ceiling is as high as any team in the league, and a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $75 profit if the Ravens win it all.
Best odds: +750 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 11.76%
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My Super Bowl pick to watch
Falcons (+3000)
I've highlighted Atlanta plenty of times already this season, and our best sportsbooks continue to price the Dirty Birds as a relative afterthought even as they lead the NFC South as we approach the halfway point of the season.
Sure, the Falcons don't grade out tremendously well by advanced metrics. But this group has all the pieces on paper to build on this 5-3 start after another win over the Buccaneers - especially with how Kirk Cousins is playing.
At this rate, Atlanta is setting itself up to host a playoff game in January, but it still sits outside the top five in title odds in the NFC.
I've been a believer in the roster talent for the Falcons since before this season began, and I like what I've seen over the first half of the season.
If Raheem Morris can lead this group to a title in Year 1, a $10 bet at Caesars would return a $300 profit in February.
Best odds: +3000 via Caesars | Implied probability: 3.23%
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Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports; last updated Oct. 31.
| Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +390 | 20.41% | $39 |
| Lions | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
| Ravens | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
| Bills | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| 49ers | +875 | 10.26% | $87.50 |
| Packers | +1350 | 6.90% | $135 |
| Eagles | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
| Texans | +1700 | 5.56% | $170 |
| Vikings | +1700 | 5.56% | $170 |
The best sportsbooks in Las Vegas have the same consensus view as the rest of the market: it's Kansas City and then everyone else.
Only nine teams feature betting odds shorter than 20/1 at Circa Sports, and none have better odds than the two-time Super Bowl champions.
The Lions jumped into the second spot after last week's 52-14 statement win over the Titans. They're dealing just ahead of the Ravens, who also lost in last year's conference championship round like Detroit.
AFC championship odds
The Chiefs are still the team to beat in the AFC after an undefeated start. The Ravens are right behind them while the Bills loom amid their own win streak.
(AFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chiefs | +195 |
| Ravens | +325 |
| Bills | +400 |
| Texans | +600 |
| Steelers | +1400 |
| Bengals | +2200 |
| Chargers | +2500 |
| Jets | +4000 |
| Broncos | +5000 |
| Colts | +5000 |
| Dolphins | +8000 |
| Browns | +20000 |
| Jaguars | +25000 |
| Raiders | +50000 |
| Patriots | +50000 |
| Titans | +50000 |
NFC championship odds
The NFC feels wide open after the first two months of the season.
The 49ers are no longer the favorites with a below .500 record, though the Lions aren't quite as mighty after losing Aidan Hutchinson. The Vikings looked like the best team in the NFC after a 5-0 start, but they have since lost two straight.
(NFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Lions | +300 |
| 49ers | +425 |
| Packers | +700 |
| Eagles | +700 |
| Vikings | +900 |
| Commanders | +1100 |
| Falcons | +1400 |
| Bears | +2500 |
| Cowboys | +2500 |
| Buccaneers | +2800 |
| Seahawks | +2800 |
| Rams | +3300 |
| Cardinals | +3500 |
| Saints | +12500 |
| Giants | +50000 |
| Panthers | +50000 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
| 49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
| Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
| Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
| Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
| Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
| Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
| Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
| Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
| Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
| Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
| Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
| Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Past Super Bowl winners
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
| 2022 | Rams | +1200 |
| 2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
| 2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2019 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
| 2017 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2016 | Broncos | +900 |
| 2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| 49ers | 8 | 5 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
| Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 |
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is the Super Bowl favorite?
The Kansas City Chiefs are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with odds as short as +400, which imply a 20% chance they hoist a third straight Lombardi Trophy.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025.
Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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