Texans vs. Cowboys Parlay Picks & Predictions: MNF SGP Odds

We're expecting a slugfest on Monday Night football while putting together a +750 parlay ahead of the Texans vs. Cowboys clash.

Brenden Schaeffer

Last updated: November 18, 2024 1:40 PM EST • 5 min read

Dallas Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle runs the ball in the first quarter against Washington Commanders as we look at our Texans vs. Cowboys parlay picks. — Dallas Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle runs the ball in the first quarter against Washington Commanders. Photo by Tim Heitman/Imagn Images.

The first version of the Cooper Rush experience was unpleasant for the Dallas Cowboys. Could feeding Rico Dowdle be the key to avoiding another blowout loss?

Our Texans vs. Cowboys MNF parlay picks based on the best Monday Night Football odds envision Dallas leaning on its running back to take the pressure off Rush. Could more measured possessions lead to less scoring overall on Monday night?

The Cowboys host the Houston Texans (-7) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX tonight at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). The Texans come in as a long shot in the Super Bowl odds, and the same is true for pass-rusher Will Anderson Jr. in the NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds.

Texans vs. Cowboys parlay predictions: Monday Night Football

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

Under 41 (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Joe Mixon Over 87.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Rico Dowdle Over 52.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: +750 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 11.76%

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SGP predictions for Texans vs. Cowboys

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Under 41 (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Though five of nine Cowboys games have gone Over the total this season, it’s a completely different ballgame with Cooper Rush at quarterback. That's especially true when facing a Houston team that's been an Under factory.

Games involving Houston are 2-8 on Overs, the lowest rate in the NFL this season
Houston has scored 23 or fewer points in four straight games
The Cowboys-Eagles total went Under during Rush's lone start this season, with Dallas producing just six points

Only FanDuel lists the total at 41.5 among our NFL prop betting sites, providing an edge for Under bettors compared to the total of 41 at other shops.

Our Mike Spector is also projecting a low-scoring affair in his C.J. Stroud MNF player prop bets.

Joe Mixon Over 87.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The combination of Joe Mixon’s consistent workload and the Cowboys’ recent inefficient rush defense should produce ideal conditions for the veteran Houston running back on Monday night.

Mixon has garnered 24-plus rushing attempts in four straight games
Dallas has allowed 4.5 yards per carry or better to opposing lead running backs in four straight games
The Cowboys allow 152.5 rushing yards per game (31st in the NFL), and they've given up 170.0 rushing yards per outing over their last three contests

BetMGM is posting the best standalone value on Mixon’s rushing total at 85.5 yards. But DraftKings' offering is still solid at 87.5 yards compared to Caesars (88.5) and FanDuel (89.5).

Spector is also eyeing Mixon in his Texans vs. Cowboys prediction, as is Phil Wood as part of his Texans vs. Cowboys MNF player props.

Rico Dowdle Over 53.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

With Mike McCarthy pounding the table this week for Rico Dowdle as the lead back in Dallas, I expect to see some fire behind that smoke on Monday night as the Cowboys look to control the tempo to avoid another blowout loss.

Dowdle is averaging 4.5 yards per carry this season and 4.0 in seven straight games
Even before McCarthy’s public vote of confidence, Dowdle had reached 53-plus rushing yards in three of his last four games
While the Texans allow a respectable 113.3 rushing yards per game (11th in the NFL), that number has increased to 122.7 yards per matchup over their last three contests

Elsewhere, Wood is taking another Cowboys skill-position player to rack up some rushing yards in his CeeDee Lamb MNF player prop bets.

Though the temptation to play this parlay at FanDuel was strong due to the hook of 41.5 on the total, the SGP odds only amounted to +597. With +750 odds, DraftKings offers enough additional value to take our chances on their 41-point game total.

A winning $10 wager at DraftKings would lead to a $75 profit as part of your NFL Week 11 predictions.

Texans vs. Cowboys odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Monday Night Football game info

Matchup: Texans vs. Cowboys
Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
How to watch: ESPN
Weather: Indoors
Favorite: Texans -7 (-115 via BetMGM)

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Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer

Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.