As Super Bowl 56 draws near, we’re diving into betting opportunities beyond standard game lines. This market is the most efficient of the NFL season, so we’ll look to find value in the top Super Bowl player props.
The Los Angeles Rams take on the Cincinnati Bengals in the 2022 Super Bowl, with the peculiar quirk that they will serve as the road team in their home stadium. The Rams are favored on a consensus line of 4.5 points over the Bengals.
After opening at 49.5 points, the total is sitting at 48.5 as sharp bettors have come in early to bet the line down. We should expect that line to tick up closer to game time when the public comes in to bet the Over on Saturday and Sunday.
Here are the top player prop bets for the Rams and Bengals in Super Bowl 56 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale). Rams picks by Brenden Schaeffer, Bengals picks by Jordan Anderson.
SEE ALSO: Rams vs. Bengals Super Bowl Picks
What are Player Prop Bets?
Typically, player props include a specific number with a total, and the bettor must predict whether the prop will land Over or Under the given line. For example, Bengals QB Joe Burrow’s passing yards could be set at 282.5 with odds around -110 on either side.
SEE ALSO: Super Bowl Betting Strategies
Immediately following the conclusion of the AFC and NFC Championship games, bookmakers locked markets and came up with the most elaborate menu of betting markets seen all season.
Bettors can reap the benefits of stalking their mobile app the moment props are released. This is an effective way to get the highest numbers on some of these props prior to their move.
Early wagers, before the odds are adjusted, open the possibility of coming back later in the week and betting on the opposite side to create a middle opportunity.
SEE ALSO: Super Bowl Betting Guide
Rams vs. Bengals Super Bowl Player Props
- Matthew Stafford Over 280.5 passing yards (-125) ★★★★
- Joe Burrow Under 273.5 passing yards (-115) ★★★
- Cam Akers Under 64.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel Sportsbook) ★★★
- Stafford Over 5.5 rushing yards (-110) ★★
- Joe Mixon Under 13.5 longest rush (-120) ★★★★
- Mixon Under 92.5 rushing + receiving yards ★★★★
- Cooper Kupp Over 8.5 receptions (+110) ★★★★
- Odell Beckham Jr. Over 63.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ★★★
- Van Jefferson longest reception Over. 17.5 yards (-120) ★★
- Tee Higgins: Over 5.5 receptions (+105) ★★★★
SEE ALSO: 56 Super Bowl Prop Bets
Super Bowl Passing Prop Bet Picks
Stafford Over 280.5 passing yards (-125)
Stafford cleared this yardage mark 10 times in the regular season and came within three yards of doing so on another two occasions. He has been a volume passer over his last two playoff games, throwing for 366 yards against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 337 yards against the San Francisco 49ers. Against the Arizona Cardinals in the Wild Card Round, Stafford simply wasn’t needed to that degree in a blowout win.
Given the combination of a soft passing defense for the Bengals relative to their sturdy run defense, the Rams will likely rely on Stafford to drop back at a pretty frequent clip in the Super Bowl. Only six teams in football surrendered more passing yards than the Bengals throughout the regular season. Burrow’s ability to push the ball downfield should keep Stafford inclined to continue taking to the air through all four quarters of the Super Bowl, allowing the Rams QB to go Over on this yardage prop. – Schaeffer
Burrow Under 273.5 passing yards (-115)
Burrow finished the regular season hot, throwing for 971 yards and eight touchdowns without an interception in his final two games. However, his stats haven’t been as gaudy in the postseason.
Burrow surpassed 273 yards only once through three playoff games, and that was against a much weaker Tennessee Titans defense.
Now he gets to face the defense that graded out as the best in the league, according to Pro Football Focus. The Rams pass rush also ranked seventh in sacks per game and first in pass rush win rate, led by the duo of Aaron Donald and Von Miller.
I expect Burrow to be under tremendous pressure all game, as his porous offensive line won’t be able to contend with the above. – Anderson
Super Bowl Receiving Prop Bet Picks
Kupp Over 8.5 receptions (+110)
I think Kupp has a massive game in the Super Bowl because why would the Super Bowl be different from literally every other Rams game? Kupp has been absolutely unstoppable since linking up with Matthew Stafford at the beginning of the season, leading the NFL in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns. While I believe he clears the Over on his yardage prop at 106.5 yards, I’m even more fond of the plus money being offered on his receptions prop at Over 8.5.
Kupp cleared 8.5 receptions in 11 of 20 games. including twice in the playoffs. He caught at least seven passes in 17 of 20 games as the definition of a volume target in this Los Angeles offense. It’s pretty simple: in the biggest game of his life, Stafford is going to continue to hyper-target his best receiver, just as he’s done to great amounts of success for the first 20 games. Getting the ball in Kupp’s hands will be a priority for the Rams offense on every drive of the night as he eclipses 8.5 receptions in another productive effort for his team. – Schaeffer
Beckham Over 63.5 receiving yards (-114)
We have to give credit to the Rams for the pursuit of the player, and frankly, to Beckham for his decision to choose Los Angeles over other destinations following his release from the Cleveland Browns in the middle of the season. Beckham has been a revelation for the Rams, especially during the playoffs, as he has integrated into an offense that knows exactly how to use his talents for the betterment of the offense. It has been a match made in heaven, which I admittedly did not expect when the Rams first scooped him up in mid-November.
It took Beckham some time to assimilate, but it’s clear that he has done so now as his production has increased significantly with each subsequent playoff game. He went for 54 yards and a TD on four catches against the Cardinals, followed by a six for 69 outing against the Bucs. Then in the NFC Championship, OBJ was the legitimate 1B to Kupp’s 1A, catching nine of 11 targets for 113 yards. Containing both of these incredibly talented receivers is going to be a chore for the Bengals secondary, and I just don’t think they’re going to be able to do it.
I look for another big game from Beckham to correlate with my selection of Over on the Stafford passing yards prop. The odds difference on Beckham O/U 63.5 receiving yards is negligible, but it’s technically better at FanDuel (-114) than DraftKings (-115). – Schaeffer
SEE ALSO: Top Ja’Marr Chase Prop Bets
Higgins Over 5.5 receptions (+105)
Most of the attention of this receiving corps goes to rookie Ja’Marr Chase, and many public bettors will be rushing to the window to bet the Over on his props after he led their fantasy football teams to a championship.
However, his teammate, Higgins, is also elite and receives his fair share of targets. Consider this: in the last 10 games, Chase has out-targeted Higgins only 78-76 – both seeing well over 20% target share in the passing game.
Higgins has seen seven-plus targets in 10 games this season, and he went Over 5.5 receptions in eight of them.
Chase should be getting shadowed by elite cornerback Jalen Ramsey, who routinely shuts down opposing No. 1 wide receivers – creating more targets for Higgins.
I expect the Rams to win this game and anticipate the Bengals playing catchup. If that’s the case, Higgins will be heavily involved. – Anderson
Jefferson longest reception Over 17.5 yards (-120)
The dawn of the OBJ era in Los Angeles has meant pumping the brakes on Jefferson’s breakout second season. Although he hasn’t seen a ton of usage in recent weeks, he has maintained his role as a field-stretcher for the Rams offense. In that role, Jefferson has seen consistent looks, registering multiple targets in all but one game, and completing at least one catch in every game this season.
Though it will likely be more of a bit-role again for Jefferson in the Super Bowl as Beckham continues to command a larger target share, I predict Rams head coach Sean McVay will draw up at least one deep shot for the talented second-year pro. After averaging 16.0 yards per reception during the regular season, and 15.8 YPR during the playoffs, Jefferson has a good shot to strike for a long ball in the Super Bowl. – Schaeffer
Super Bowl Rushing Prop Bet Picks
Mixon Under 13.5 longest rush (-120)
The Rams run defense has been elite all year, ranking fifth in Football Outsiders’ DVOA. Since Week 11, this run defense gave up only three rushes of 14-plus yards – which doesn’t bode well for Mixon’s chances with his middling 4.1 yards per carry rate from the regular season. That has even dropped to 3.7 yards per attempt in the postseason. – Anderson
Akers Under 64.5 rushing yards (-114)
Since returning from his Achilles surgery, Akers has seen his workload increase as he has overtaken Sony Michel for the lead running back role in the Rams offense. However, Akers was held out of practice during the first week of Super Bowl preparation due to a shoulder injury that he suffered in the NFC Championship. Prior to that, Akers dealt with fumbling issues that nearly cost the Rams their season in a narrow win over the Bucs.
Another element to consider: the Bengals have been much stronger against the run than against the pass this season. Though the Rams will likely attempt to establish that element of their game to keep the ball out of Burrow’s hands as much as possible, I’m skeptical of how successful that endeavor will be. Rams running back Darrell Henderson Jr. is also questionable for this game after being designated for return from the injured reserve; the idea that he could return muddies the waters even further. Those factors combined with the trust that McVay has shown in Michel throughout the season means Akers isn’t a player I’m chasing on Super Bowl props.
DraftKings offers Akers at O/U 63.5 rushing yards (-115), so if you want to play the Under, FanDuel has the better offering. – Schaeffer
Stafford Over 5.5 rushing yards (-110)
Stafford cleared 5.5 rushing yards in only four regular-season games in his first year with the Rams, but we’ve seen a noticeable uptick in his willingness to scamper as the pressures of the playoffs have ramped up. After registering just 32 rushing attempts all season — a good number of which were kneel downs — Stafford has piled up 15 rushing attempts through three playoff games.
The Los Angeles QB has rushed for 22, 6, and 8 yards in his three postseason games, recording two touchdowns on the ground. That’s two more than the, uh, zero rushing TDs he accrued during the regular season. It’s clear Stafford has taken on increased ownership of that element of the offense, willing to do whatever is necessary to win the first championship of his 13-year NFL career.
I like Stafford to pick his spots once again in the Super Bowl as he clears the Over on this yardage mark for the fourth time in these playoffs. – Schaeffer
Mixon Under 92.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)
This play is dependent on the negative game script I expect the Bengals to find themselves in as Mixon cedes passing-down work to Samaje Perine.
Mixon had an outstanding regular season, combining for 1,519 yards from scrimmage. However, he failed to go over 65 yards rushing from Week 13 through the Divisional Round as he showed signs of fatigue and overall inefficiency.
The Rams held the 49ers’ elite backfield of Elijah Mitchell and Deebo Samuel to 46 combined rushing yards in the NFC Championship and should have no problem focusing solely on Mixon. – Anderson
Bengals Player Prop Bets Super Bowl 56
- Joe Burrow Prop Bets
- Ja’Marr Chase Prop Bets
- Joe Mixon Prop Bets
- Tee Higgins Prop Bets
- Tyler Boyd Prop Bets
- C.J. Uzomah Prop Bets
Rams Player Prop Bets Super Bowl 56
Where to Bet on Super Bowl Team Props
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks for betting on the 2022 Super Bowl: