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Wide receiver Kadarius Toney of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts after scoring a touchdown against the Las Vegas Raiders.
Wide receiver Kadarius Toney of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts after scoring a touchdown against the Las Vegas Raiders. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Getty Images via AFP.

The spread in the AFC Championship Game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs continues to move, and the No. 1 seed Chiefs are back to being a home favorite. Here’s our analysis of all the NFL odds and lines for the AFC and NFC Conference Championships.

Following Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ full participation in Wednesday’s practice, the Chiefs are back to being the betting favorite through all five of our best sportsbooks as of Thursday morning.

The case for the Bengals was clear, and Cincinnati was quickly bet from an underdog to favorite.

Buyback on the Chiefs began late Tuesday evening, and as of Thursday morning the chalk has been erased and rewritten for a second time ahead of Sunday’s AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium.

Betting splits might suggest there’s more support for Cincy, but it’s clear there has also been respected money come in on the KC side.

Here are the spread and Over/Under lines for the NFL Conference Championships, and how we think they'll move throughout the week (odds via FanDuel SportsbookBetMGMDraftKings SportsbookPointsBet, and Caesars Sportsbook).

Check out our NFL Against the Spread Power Rankings for the Conference Championships.

NFL Conference Championships odds and lines

49ers vs. Eagles Odds

Spread: Eagles -2.5

There hasn’t been a significant move to this spread. Most sportsbooks opened with the Philadelphia Eagles trading as 2.5-point home favorites, and all five of our best sportsbooks have that number as of Thursday morning. It’s worth noting that BetMGM did test the San Francisco 49ers as 3-point road underdogs early this week, but that line is no longer available. Additionally, PointsBet is the only shop with an even vig on both sides of this spread. Most sportsbooks have a higher price attached to the Philly side. I still think there’s potential for this line to move to Eagles -3 again, but it appears more and more unlikely that we’ll see San Francisco receive the hook as +3.5 road underdogs.

Total: 46.5

This total remains above the key range of 43-44 and well below the key number of 51 as of Wednesday morning. There has been a slight climb from the 45.5 available Monday. DraftKings and FanDuel have the total trading at 46.5 on Wednesday, and our other three top shops are also hanging that number as of Thursday morning. Based on the early betting action, I’m not expecting a huge shift in this total leading into Sunday.

Check out our 2023 Super Bowl odds, Super Bowl MVP odds, and our 2024 Super Bowl odds.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds

Spread: Chiefs -1

Even with this spread on a yo-yo, the movement has been somewhat predictable. I didn’t expect Mahomes to be a full participant in practice Wednesday, but he was, and a second wave of KC betting support followed. This spread nearly moved as far as Cincinnati -3 earlier this week, and it opened with the Chiefs a -2.5 or -3 favorite depending on the sportsbook. The goal posts have been established, so considering all the early fluctuation to this number, I expect similar slight adjustments right up to Sunday’s kickoff.

Total: 47.5

This total was quickly bet down – or adjusted – to a consensus 47.5 as of Monday afternoon. Even with the injury concerns surrounding Mahomes, the number only dipped slightly, and FanDuel remained at 47.5. Interestingly, there wasn’t a major adjustment following the release of the KC practice report on Wednesday, either. Caesars and DraftKings still have the number at 47, but I expect the Over to remain the more popular side and for this total to creep up across the board leading into Sunday. 

Super Bowl 2023

Here's a look at some of the more popular Super Bowl prop bets across all of the best sportsbooks to help you get ready for The Big Game after the Conference Championships:

Need help keeping track of your Super Bowl prop bets? Use our printable Super Bowl prop bet sheet (available once the Super Bowl matchup is set)!

Check out our best NFL betting sites:

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