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Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals celebrates his touchdown run with Joe Mixon during the first quarter against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images via AFP.
Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals celebrates his touchdown run with Joe Mixon during the first quarter against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images via AFP.

Patrick Mahomes' status has significantly impacted the odds for the Kansas City Chiefs' game against the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. Here is our NFL odds analysis for the AFC Championship Game.

The Cincinnati Bengals (14-4) have had the number of the Kansas City Chiefs (15-3) during recent matchups, with Cincinnati getting a home win over Kansas City earlier this season. There was also last year’s AFC Championship Game, when the Bengals vaulted into the Super Bowl.

As part of our NFL Conference Championships odds analysis we also break down the 49ers vs. Eagles NFC Championship odds.

The Chiefs were the class of the AFC in 2022-23, boasting the best winning percentage in the conference. But Patrick Mahomes' ankle injury has seemingly opened the door for a letdown in Kansas City.

Here are the best NFL odds for the AFC Championship round matchup featuring the Bengals and Chiefs via our best sportsbooks.

Check out our NFL best bets and Best NFL Betting Sites.

Bengals vs. Chiefs odds

Check out our Super Bowl odds and Super Bowl MVP odds.

Bengals vs. Chiefs moneyline

Kansas City opened at -120 on the moneyline before moving to being a slight underdog. Plus-money odds are no longer available for the Chiefs, and the friendliest number across our best sportsbooks for Kansas City is -120 via DraftKings Sportsbook as of Saturday afternoon.

Bengals backers will want to head to FanDuel Sportsbook, as it is offering Cincinnati at +108. 

Bengals vs. Chiefs spread

The spread has flipped twice this week. The Chiefs opened as a -3 favorite at a few sportsbooks on Sunday, but there was enough betting support for the Bengals to move this line all the way to Cincy -2.5 as of Tuesday morning.

The number adjusted again after Mahomes was a full participant in Wednesday’s practice, and the Chiefs are listed as a near consensus -1.5 favorite as of Saturday afternoon. PointsBet is the outlier with Kansas City trading at -1.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Over/Under

The consensus total on Monday afternoon was 47.5 points, and there has not been a significant change despite Mahomes practicing throughout the week. All of our best sportsbooks now have a total of 48. 

Bengals vs. Chiefs trends

Arrowhead Stadium hasn't been as tough of a place to play in 2022-23 as one might expect, at least relative to performance against the spread. The Chiefs have produced the NFL's third-worst home cover rate (2-6-1).

The Bengals have been among the league’s best performers from a betting perspective while going 13-5 ATS, which includes an NFL-best 8-2 road ATS record. Cincinnati has covered during five out of seven opportunities as an away favorite in 2022-23.

Bengals vs. Chiefs game info

Who is favored to win between Bengals and Chiefs?

The Chiefs are favored (-1.5) across our affiliated sportsbooks.

What is the betting line for Bengals vs. Chiefs?

The Bengals can be found anywhere from +108 (FanDuel) to +100 (DraftKings) on the moneyline across our recommended sportsbooks. The Chiefs range from -120 (DraftKings) to -126 (FanDuel) on the moneyline.

How to bet on Bengals vs. Chiefs

We recommend heading to DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, or PointsBet to wager on the game. Check out our promotional links at the bottom of this article.

How to watch Bengals vs. Chiefs

The AFC Championship Game takes place Sunday, Jan. 29, 2023 at 6:30 p.m. ET. The game is airing on CBS.

Super Bowl 2023

Here's a look at some of the more popular Super Bowl prop bets across all of the best sportsbooks to help you get ready for The Big Game after the Conference Championships:

Need help keeping track of your Super Bowl prop bets? Use our printable Super Bowl prop bet sheet (available once the Super Bowl matchup is set)!

Check out our best NFL betting sites:

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