The final game of the NFL Week 12 slate features the Minnesota Vikings playing host to the division rival Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football, and we're locked in on our best Josh Dobbs NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.
Since joining the Minnesota Vikings ahead of Week 9, Josh Dobbs has thrown for over 200 yards in two of his three games and posted a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 4:1. He has also completed at least 20 passes in each contest, helping lead the Vikings to a 2-1 record.
Additionally, Dobbs has contributed 131 yards and three touchdowns on the ground since his arrival in Minnesota. How will he perform against the Bears on Monday?
To complement our Bears-Vikings prediction, Bears-Vikings prop picks, and Justin Fields prop picks, here are our best Josh Dobbs NFL player prop predictions ahead of the Bears-Vikings matchup to conclude Week 12 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Josh Dobbs NFL player prop predictions for Week 12
- Josh Dobbs Under 236.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Dobbs Over 6.5 rushing attempts (+102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Dobbs anytime touchdown scorer (+200 via bet365) ⭐⭐
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Josh Dobbs player props
Josh Dobbs Under 236.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Bears trot out one of the NFL's worst pass defenses, but the unit has been better in recent weeks. It's allowing just 202 passing yards per game over that stretch, including holding Jared Goff to just 236 yards in Week 11.
Dobbs has gone over this total one time since arriving in Minnesota. He’s also thrown for more than 236 yards just twice throughout the entire season. The Bears’ defense has been far from great. Nonetheless, expecting Dobbs to go 35 yards above his season average seems unrealistic.
Our best sportsbooks are in disagreement over what the total should for this prop. FanDuel is featuring it at 227.5, while bet365 is offering it at 228.5. DraftKings and Caesars are both listing the total at 231.5, with each favoring the Under.
BetMGM is a serious outlier right now, especially since it isn't heavily leaning toward the Under. Therefore, we recommend pouncing on that price.
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Josh Dobbs Over 6.5 rushing attempts (+102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
FanDuel is along among our best live betting sites while offering this prop, but there's no reason to wait for another sportsbook to release odds. Dobbs has run the ball at least seven times in all three of his games with the Vikings. He's also recorded seven-plus carries in six of his eight games since Week 4. He still ran six times in the long exception during that span.
The Bears field the league's top-ranked rush defense, but whether Dobbs hits this Over is tied more to their pass defense. The Bears have given up a lot of passing yards in 2023 (245.9 per game, ranking 25th). While many would blame the secondary, the issue actually lies with the defensive line.
That group is averaging 1.4 sacks per game, the NFL's lowest mark. Dobbs will therefore get plenty of time to survey the field on Monday. If he feels that the coverage is too good, the athletic signal-caller will take off and run.
He’s done that in almost every game during 2023, and there’s no reason to think Dobbs will stop on Monday.
Josh Dobbs anytime touchdown scorer (+200 via bet365) ⭐⭐
You’d think that Dobbs scoring a rushing touchdown is a rarity with the way this prop is being priced at our best sports betting sites. But he's reached pay dirt in five consecutive games. Though he had only logged one rushing touchdown prior to his current streak, getting a price of +200 for someone to stretch a streak to six games is great value.
The Bears are allowing just 0.5 rushing touchdowns per game in 2023. But those numbers can go out the window when it comes to mobile quarterbacks. The Vikings have produced only the 27th-most rushing yards in the NFL during 2023. So with the absence of any serious rushing threat aside from him, Dobbs becomes the best option for Minnesota no matter where the team is on the field.
The price for this prop varies greatly. BetMGM is listing it all the down at +120. That’s far too low to play. Meanwhile, Caesars is offering +140 odds. While we’d consider playing this prop for that price, instead sprint to the far better odds at bet365.
Josh Dobbs player prop picks made 11/27/2023 at 9:24 a.m. ET
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