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Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills attempts a pass as part of our Week 12 NFL predictions for Bills vs. Eagles
Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills throws a pass in the second quarter against the New York Jets at Highmark Stadium on November 19, 2023 in Orchard Park, New York. Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images/AFP

The Philadelphia Eagles host the Buffalo Bills as we make our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds at our best NFL prop betting sites

In Week 11, Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen accumulated 275 passing yards in the Bills’ 32-6 victory over the New York Jets. Despite extending his interception streak to seven games, Allen executed a very clean game, with his only miscue occurring on a Hail Mary attempt at the end of the half.

This week, Allen takes on the Philadelphia Eagles and their fifth-worst passing defense in the NFL. Will he post back-to-back huge weeks?

Check out our NFL Week 12 predictions and NFL Week 12 player props to accompany our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions for the Buffalo Bills vs. Philadelphia Eagles Week 12 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions for Week 12

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Josh Allen player props

Josh Allen Over 256.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Eagles’ secondary held Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes to just 177 passing yards last week. However, a lot of Mahomes’ lack of success was because his receivers couldn’t catch the ball, not because the Eagles’ defense was playing outstanding football.

Allen has thrown for at least 258 yards in seven of his 11 games this season and in four of his last five. Last week, against the sixth-best pass defense in football, he passed the ball with relative ease. The Eagles are allowing 248.1 passing yards per game. Their offense should be able to take advantage of an average Bills’ defense. That will keep Allen throwing the ball for all four quarters. Not only can Allen hit this number, he may throw for 300 or more yards.

FanDuel is the only one of our best sportsbooks offering this number listed lower than 258.5. While bet365 offers 258.5 for -110, we recommend taking the lower number at FanDuel for a slightly worse price.

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Josh Allen anytime touchdown scorer (+200 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐

Bills quarterback Josh Allen has rushed for a touchdown in four of his last five games and seven of his last nine. Even in games where the Bills score fewer than 24 points, Allen has successfully used his legs to score.

The Eagles only allow 0.3 rushing touchdowns per game, which is also why we expect the Bills to drop back to pass when they get in the red zone. If Allen sees an opportunity on a broken play, he will take off and have a chance to score.

The odds are the main reason why this is a good play. While DraftKings has this price all the way down at +135, FanDuel is offering +200. None of our best sports betting apps offers odds of better than +174. For someone who has rushed for a touchdown in over 60% of his games, two-to-one odds are too good to pass up.

Josh Allen Over 1.5 touchdown passes (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Allen has thrown at least two touchdown passes in seven games this season. He rushed for one touchdown in three of the four games where he threw one. Therefore, not only is this a good play based on Allen’s history, but it’s also a perfect hedge to his anytime touchdown scorer prop.

The Eagles have allowed the second most passing touchdowns per game this season. They’re allowing 2.1 per game, and they’ve allowed nine in their last three contests. The Bills have the fifth-best scoring defense in the league, but we expect the Eagles’ fifth-ranked scoring offense to get the better of that matchup. We love getting this prop at 1.5 instead of the Over 2.5 prop offered at some of our NFL prop betting sites in what should be a high-scoring game.

The price for this can get pretty expensive. Caesars has the Over listed with a price of -154. While you’re paying a bit no matter where you play, the -130 being offered by bet365 offers the most valuable option.

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Josh Allen player prop picks made 11/25/2023 at 8:57 a.m. ET.

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