Jaguars vs. Dolphins Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks: NFL Preseason Week 3

The Jaguars are coming off a disappointing tie at New Orleans, and will finish the preseason in state at Miami.

Matt Jacob

Last Updated: August 22, 2025 12:00 PM EDT • 4 minute read

Jaguars vs. Dolphins Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks: NFL Preseason Week 3 — Pictured: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is expected to play significant time in the preseason finale vs. Jacksonville on Saturday. Photo by Sam Navarro / Imagn Images.

Starters for both teams are expected to be on the field Saturday when Jacksonville travels to Miami at 7 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium (NFL Network, NFL+), and we’ve got your wagering covered with our Jaguars vs. Dolphins predictions.

After sweeping all six of their games the past two preseasons, the Jaguars (0-1-1) are still looking for their first victory this summer. And they come into this contest as a consensus 6-point underdog. How do we see this game playing out? Read on, and be sure to check out all of our NFL preseason Week 3 predictions.

🏈 Jaguars vs. Dolphins prediction & expert picks

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✅ Against the spread pick: Dolphins -6 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
✅ My best bet: Over 38.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Jaguars vs. Dolphins odds

Live updated odds from our best live betting sites. Follow the latest NFL scores for line history and matchup info.

🪧 Jaguars vs. Dolphins opening odds

Jaguars: -2.5 (-110)
Dolphins: +2.5 (-110)

🔮 Jaguars vs. Dolphins ATS prediction

🐬 Dolphins -6 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)
🔢 Implied probability: 52.38%

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No doubt, this is a hefty point spread for a preseason game. But if there’s one thing we know about the Miami Dolphins it’s that when they win preseason games, they tend to win them convincingly.

Last week’s 24-17 upset win at Detroit was the third straight time the Dolphins won a preseason game by exactly a touchdown. Throw in a 28-3 rout of Houston in Week 2 of the 2023 preseason and a 48-10 rout of Philadelphia in the 2022 finale, and Miami’s last five exhibition victories have been by at least seven points.

Dial things back to the final dress rehearsal game in 2018, and the Dolphins are 7-1 ATS as a preseason favorite. On top of all that, reports are that Miami’s starters are expected to see significantly more action Saturday than Jacksonville’s - hence this large point spread.

📖 Check out our 2025 NFL preseason betting guide for the best betting strategies and full NFL preseason schedule.

💰 Jaguars vs. Dolphins best bet

⬆️ Over 38.5 ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)
🔢 Implied probability: 52.38%

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The answer: 2019. The question: When was the last time the Under cashed in a Miami Dolphins preseason finale.

That’s right, Miami has topped the total in four consecutive late-August contests (the 2020 preseason was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic). Not only that, but going back to 2017, the Over is 6-1 in Miami’s preseason cappers.

This year, Miami has put up 24 points in each of its two games against the Bears (24-24 tie) and Lions (24-17 win) — even though starting quarterback Tau Tagovailoa has thrown a total of six passes.

Jacksonville’s offense also has been productive this summer, tallying 25 points in a loss to Pittsburgh and 17 points (all in the first half) in last week’s 17-17 tie at New Orleans.

Trevor Lawerence and the rest of the Jaguars’ starters played just a couple of series in the first two games. First-year Jacksonville coach Liam Coen may not deviate from that plan in Miami. But if the Jags’ first-string defense only sees limited action, that doesn’t mean these teams can’t clear 38.5 points when all is said and done.

After all, Miami’s reserve offense has accounted for all 48 points the team has tallied this month.

🚑 Jaguars vs. Dolphins injuries

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Written by:
Matt Jacob

Matt Jacob is a freelance writer and editor with more than three decades of professional experience working for an array of print and digital employers and clients. He first dove into the sports betting space in 2005 as a full-time handicapper and content producer. In addition to picking games 363 days a year, Matt wrote daily betting previews for all major professional and college sports, with those previews published (unbylined) on Yahoo’s website. He has since produced sports betting-related articles and picks pieces for outlets such as Forbes and the Philadelphia Inquirer. While Matt also has vast TV, radio and webcast experience, he is perhaps the only individual in the sports betting ecosystem without a podcast (for now, anyway). Instead, Matt’s opinions and borderline unhealthy fascination with betting trends can be found on Twitter @MattRJacob. As for actual wagering, Matt believes strongly in a longstanding principle: Only bet what you can afford to lose. Because in an industry where even the best of the best succeed less than 60% of the time, you’re going to lose … a lot. And the graduate of San Diego State University - aka “The Harvard of the West” - has shoeboxes full of losing tickets to prove it.