First Touchdown Scorer Predictions Week 1: Picks & Odds for Sunday
Two games are in the books so all eyes turn to the 13-game Sunday slate.
Anytime touchdown scorers will be plentiful, but here we look at my first touchdown scorer predictions based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites.
It's key to look at games with lopsided spreads and to back star players from favorites for your NFL best bets. It's also a big week for rookie QBs making their first starts, so I have my eyes on the veteran running backs who'll be behind them.
First touchdown scorer predictions Week 1: Sunday
Titans vs. Bears first touchdown scorer prediction: D'Andre Swift, RB, CHI ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +750 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 11.76%
The Chicago Bears are relatively comfortable 3.5-point home favorites against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Our Gary Pearson expects them to cover that number with his Titans vs. Bears prediction.
All eyes on this game will be centered on Bears QB Caleb Williams as the No. 1 pick from the 2024 NFL Draft. While he looked every bit as promised during the preseason, Week 1 is a different story, and the pressure is ratcheted up a few pascals.
As such, I'm expecting Williams and Bears head coach Matt Eberflus to utilize Pro Bowl running back D'Andre Swift should they be the first team to reach the red zone Sunday. Swift set a career high of 1,263 yards from scrimmage on 268 touches as a member of the Philadelphia Eagles last year.
Swift caught all five of his red-zone targets and scored six rushing touchdowns inside of the opponents' 20-yard line while with the Eagles.
A winning $10 bet at +750 would fetch a $75 profit. Placing this wager with BetMGM would get you a second-chance bet matching your stake should Swift score the game's second touchdown rather than the first.
First touchdown scorer predictions Week 1: Sunday Night Football
Rams vs. Lions first touchdown scorer prediction: Sam LaPorta, TE, DET ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +1000 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 9.09%
The Over/Under for Sunday Night Football is set at 52.5, and the Detroit Lions are 4.5-point home favorites at home against the Los Angeles Rams.
That gives the Lions a projected team total of 28 points - four touchdowns.
The Rams struggled mightily against tight ends last season. They allowed 1,001 yards and nine touchdowns to the position across 18 regular-season games.
That'll make second-year Lions tight end Sam LaPorta a top target of QB Jared Goff on Sunday. LaPorta accrued 893 yards from scrimmage and 10 touchdowns while being named a Pro Bowler and finishing third in Offensive Rookie of the Year voting.
LaPorta's anytime touchdown odds are as short as +125, but we can get a 10/1 return via the first touchdown scorer market at BetMGM. Other NFL prop betting sites offer a $1.50 less profit on a winning $10 bet with odds of +850.
- Rams vs. Lions prediction
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