Broncos vs. Chiefs Same-Game Parlay: Week 1 SGP Picks & Odds for Monday Night Football
My Broncos vs. Chiefs same-game parlay for Monday Night Football in Week 1 doesn’t anticipate a breakout game for new Kansas City running back Kenneth Walker III in a difficult matchup. Patrick Mahomes, though? I have a feeling he’ll want to show off the new knee tonight.
The Chiefs are a 2.5-point betting favorite, with kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC).
🏈 Broncos vs. Chiefs same-game parlay: Week 1
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Parlay leg | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker Under 61.5 rushing yards | -113 |
| Patrick Mahomes Over 14.5 rushing yards | -118 |
| Broncos +2.5 | -110 |
Best SGP odds: +395 via DraftKings | Bet size: 1 unit
🚀 Broncos vs. Chiefs parlay picks
Kenneth Walker Under 61.5 rushing yards (-113)
The Chiefs brought in Kenneth Walker this off-season to revitalize their offense after his Super Bowl MVP showing with Seattle. But his first matchup in Kansas City isn’t conducive to much success on the ground, as the Broncos allowed the second-fewest yards in 2025.
DraftKings has Walker’s rushing line at 61.5 yards, so that’s our preference for an Under bet compared to the line at 59.5 yards from FanDuel.
Patrick Mahomes Over 14.5 rushing yards (-118)
Meanwhile, quarterbacks were more often successful on the ground against Denver than running backs, with Denver ranking 16th in the league in defending the quarterback run last season.
Most expect Mahomes to ease into his rushing workload after his ACL recovery. I don’t see it that way. He’ll want to prove his knee is good to go, so I expect enough scrambling to clear a rushing line that he surpassed in 10 of 14 games in 2025.
Broncos +2.5 (-110)
Though moderate success on the ground for Mahomes would be a welcome sign of his recovery for the Chiefs, I’m not sure Kansas City can blow Denver out without significant contributions from Walker.
So, a quiet Walker game would seem to correlate with the Broncos staying competitive. Denver was an NFL-best 5-0-1 ATS as an underdog last season,
🎟️ Most-bet Broncos vs. Chiefs player props
Betting insights via BetMGM, updated as of 6:09 p.m. ET.
| Player | Team | Bet |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | Broncos | Over 16.5 rushing yards |
| Pat Bryant | Broncos | Over 24.5 receiving yards |
| Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | Over 14.5 rushing yards |
| Travis Kelce | Chiefs | Over 41.5 receiving yards |
| Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | Over 1.5 passing touchdowns |
💡 More Monday Night Football expert picks
Wrap up Week 1 of the NFL with the best plays on the board.
- Broncos vs. Chiefs expert picks
- Broncos vs. Chiefs prediction
- Broncos vs. Chiefs touchdown pick
- Broncos vs. Chiefs same-game parlay
📺 How to watch Broncos vs. Chiefs: Week 1
- Date: Monday, Sept. 14
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
- TV: ESPN, ABC
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