Buccaneers vs. Bears Player Props: Week 9 SNF Picks & Best Bets (Nov. 8)

Our Buccaneers vs. Bears player prop picks include Baker Mayfield's completions market. We break down the matchup behind that play and others we're backing.
Chicago Bears running back D'Andre Swift (4) reacts after scoring a touchdown as we offer our Buccaneers vs. Bears player props.
Pictured: Chicago Bears running back D'Andre Swift (4) reacts after scoring a touchdown as we offer our Buccaneers vs. Bears player props. Photo by Joe Nicholson (Imagn Images) via Reuters Connect.
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My best Buccaneers vs. Bears player props target Baker Mayfield, D'Andre Swift, and Colston Loveland for their Week 9 Sunday Night Football matchup.

Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago (NBC/Peacock), with the Bears priced as a 6.5-point home betting favorite.


Buccaneers vs. Bears player props: Week 9 SNF

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

Player Prop bet Odds Wager
Baker Mayfield, QB, Buccaneers Under 18.5 completions -105 via BetMGM 0.5 units to profit 0.48 units
D'Andre Swift, RB, Bears Over 65.5 rushing yards -114 via FanDuel 0.5 units to profit 0.44 units
Colston Loveland, TE, Bears Over 52.5 receiving yards -114 via FanDuel 0.5 units to profit 0.44 units

Picks submitted: Nov. 6 at 2 p.m. ET. Odds subject to change.

Total wagered: 1.5 units | Profit if all picks win: 1.36 units

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Buccaneers vs. Bears best prop bet: Baker Mayfield Under 18.5 completions (-105)

Follow all of our NFL analysis and betting advice for the 2026 NFL season.

Baker Mayfield will have a hard time exceeding 18.5 completions against a Bears defense that allows the third-fewest completions per game (17.9). A big reason for that is Chicago keeps its defense off the field with the NFL's best average time of possession on offense.

Even when the Bucs do possess the football, this offense now runs through Bucky Irving. I wouldn't expect Mayfield to suddenly have a prolific night throwing the football after completing just seven passes total across the last two weeks.

I like this bet for a half-unit at -105, but there's value up to -116.

📡 SBR Edge: Baker taking a backseat

Mayfield is averaging a career-low 13.6 completions per game this season.


More Buccaneers vs. Bears prop picks

D'Andre Swift Over 65.5 rushing yards (-114)

I anticipate another heavy-usage game for Bears' bell-cow D'Andre Swift, especially with backfield mate Kyle Monangai likely out again.

Swift has averaged 18.5 carries in the last four games without Monangai, by far the lion's share of carries for Chicago and one of the highest averages in the league.

That's why I'm backing Swift to exceed his rushing yards prop, especially in what profiles as a Bears victory as Chicago looks to run out the clock late. I also love combining this play with a Swift anytime TD at FanDuel for a 2-leg parlay at +184 odds.

Play to: 67.5 rushing yards (-104)

💰️ Buccaneers vs. Bears SNF prediction

I broke down this week's Sunday Night Football matchup in further detail in my Buccaneers vs. Bears prediction, including providing best bets on the point spread and total.

Colston Loveland Over 52.5 receiving yards (-114)

After a slow start to the campaign, Bears tight end Colston Loveland has looked more like what we expected following his impressive 2025 rookie season.

Loveland has gone Over this number in three of his last four games. That includes averaging more than 66 receiving yards per game since Caleb Williams returned to the lineup.

He'll also continue to receive even more snaps after Cole Kmet was lost for the season. I bet a half-unit on Loveland to finish with Over 52.5 receiving yards at FanDuel, which offers the best line and odds on this player prop.

Play to: Over 54.5 receiving yards (-112)


Live Buccaneers vs. Bears odds

See the latest odds movement and more on our Buccaneers vs. Bears page.


Buccaneers vs. Bears weather

It's projected to be a brisk Sunday night in Chicago (50 °F at kickoff), with light wind and no rain.


Latest Buccaneers vs. Bears injuries


How to watch Buccaneers vs. Bears: Week 9

  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 8
  • Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Location: Soldier Field (Chicago)
  • TV/Streaming: NBC/Peacock