Colts vs. Vikings Early Picks, Predictions & Odds for SNF Week 9

The Indianapolis Colts are road 'dogs heading into Minnesota against the Vikings, but can they keep it close like they have all season?

Mike Spector

Last updated: October 29, 2024 8:14 AM EDT • 4 min read

Minnesota Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell reacts as we make our Colts vs. Vikings early picks for Week 9 SNF. — Minnesota Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell reacts against the Los Angeles Rams in the first half at SoFi Stadium. Photo by: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images.

The Indianapolis Colts and Minnesota Vikings each look to rebound from losses as they head into Week 9 Sunday Night Football matchup from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

Indianapolis is coming off its first loss at the Houston Texans since 2019
Minnesota is seeing its odds to win the NFC North slip as it has lost two straight games following a 5-0 start
The Vikings have led after the first quarter in every game this season, including double-digit leads in four of the seven games at the end of the first quarter

Minnesota has lost back-to-back games as favorites, and as part of our Week 9 NFL predictions, we make our Colts vs. Vikings early picks and odds expect it to struggle again as a 6-point home favorite. Kickoff for SNF is set for 8:20 p.m. ET, airing on NBC and Peacock.

My early Colts vs. Vikings prediction: Colts +6

NFL picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Colts +6

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Six points is considered a big spread between any two NFL teams, and it becomes even more eye-popping when considering how competitive each Colts game has been this season.

Indianapolis is the first team in NFL history to have its first eight games decided by six or fewer points. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s offense will be compromised until it can find a suitable replacement for standout left tackle Christian Darrisaw, who the team lost to season-ending knee surgery last week.

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Colts vs. Vikings live odds

See the NFL odds from our best NFL betting sites for every Week 9 game.

Moneyline

Vikings best odds: -250 via Caesars | Implied probability: 71.43%
Colts best odds: +265 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 27.40%

As recently as Monday morning, Minnesota had as high as a 77.78% implied probability based on BetMGM’s -350 odds. Certain trends support its case of winning outright, as Indianapolis has lost seven consecutive games outright as underdogs to NFC opponents.

The Vikings are just 2-2 SU as favorites this season, but it will be interesting to see if the line movement continues to go in the Colts’ favor, as this is the Vikings’ first game that they have been more than -150 moneyline favorites.

Spread

Vikings best odds: -5.5 (-110) via Caesars
Colts best odds: +6 (-110) via BetMGM

Over the last 24 hours, this line made significant movement off the key number of seven with heavy support on the underdogs.

Both teams rank in the top six of most profitable ATS teams. Indianapolis has covered a league-best seven of its eight games, while Minnesota is 5-2 ATS.

Given that the Colts’ four losses have been by a combined 14 total points, I am grabbing all the +6’s I can find before sharps continue to pound the underdogs.

Over/Under

Over best odds: Over 45 (-120) via BetMGM
Under best odds: Under 45.5 (-105) via FanDuel

BetMGM is the only one of our top sports betting sites offering an O/U of 45, while FanDuel is the only one charging less than the standard -110 juice to back the Under.

Minnesota is coming off season lows in points (20) and rushing yards (64). And without its left tackle, I would expect the Under to be the more popular side of the total, with the game more likely kicking off at 45 or lower than 45.5 or higher.

How to watch Colts vs. Vikings

When: Sunday, Nov. 3
Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis)
How to watch: NBC/Peacock
Weather: Indoors
Favorite: Vikings -6 (-110 via BetMGM)

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Written By:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”