MLB MVP Odds & Predictions at All-Star Break: Can Raleigh Steal the Show in AL?
With the second half of the season on the horizon, there's no better time to ponder the MLB MVP odds and predictions at the All-Star break. The betting favorites look like runaways with the Midsummer Classic all wrapped up: Aaron Judge (-600) in the American League, and Shohei Ohtani (-800) in the National League.
But some superstars could make things interesting in the AL MVP odds and NL MVP odds races down the stretch.
Using odds from our best sports betting sites, I've identified one player in each league who can cause a stir.
📈 MLB MVP odds
Here's the full list of odds for both the AL MVP odds and NL MVP odds at our best sports betting apps:
📊 AL MVP odds
📊 NL MVP odds
🎯 Our MLB MVP best bets at All-Star break
⭐️ AL MVP best bet: Cal Raleigh (+370 via DraftKings)
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Not so fast, Judge.
While the New York captain seemingly holds a stranglehold on the AL MVP odds, Raleigh is putting together the best season for a catcher ever. Yes, no other catcher has been able to do what Raleigh did in the first half of this season.
Hell, he was one home run shy of tying Barry Bonds' record for most homers before the All-Star break. I still can't believe the Tigers intentionally walked him in his final at-bat to potentially make some history. But I digress.
We all know about his bat, as he leads baseball in home runs, and his batted ball profile is just a beautiful thing to behold. However, in a close race, it'll be his defense that puts him over the top. Raleigh has led the league in putouts and games caught the last two seasons, and he's also thrown out 12 runners this year - good for fourth in baseball.
While Judge still leads MLB in OPS, average, and slugging, Raleigh's positional difficulty should only help him in the race to be the AL's best in the second half. I love the value we're getting here as part of our best MLB MVP odds and predictions at the All-Star break.
👀 Honorable mention: Tarik Skubal (+9000 via FanDuel)
AL MVP odds: Ticket liability
Here's how bettors are playing the award in the AL, courtesy of BetMGM.
| Category | Player / Value |
|---|---|
| Highest Ticket% | Bobby Witt Jr. – 21.7% |
| Highest Handle% | Cal Raleigh – 32.0% |
| Biggest Liability | Cal Raleigh |
| Odds Leader | Aaron Judge (–1400) |
🔥 NL MVP best bet: Pete Crow-Armstrong (+750 via BetRivers)
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If you're searching for someone other than the unicorn that is Shohei Ohtani, PCA is the next best bet in the NL MVP odds. The Cubs are not only in the thick of the World Series odds, but they lead the NL Central, and Crow-Armstrong is a massive reason why.
Other than accumulating a 5.4 WAR before the break, PCA is putting together a historic season of his own. He's recorded 25 bombs alongside 27 stolen bases, making him just one of three players to hit at least 23 homers and swipe 27 bags before the All-Star break. The last two players to do that were Eric Davis and Bobby Bonds - in 1973.
While Ohtani does it on both sides of the ball, PCA is a dual-threat in his own way, as he can impact the game in the box and on the base paths. If Ohtani wasn't a real-life anomaly, Crow-Armstrong would be firmly in the driver's seat.
Injuries happen in baseball. And if, for some reason, Ohtani were to land on the IL, PCA would close the gap in the NL MVP odds quickly and violently. At +700 betting odds, he's worth the risk.
👀 Honorable mention: Juan Soto (+2000 via BetRivers)
NL MVP odds: Ticket liability
Here's how bettors are playing the award in the NL, courtesy of BetMGM.
| Category | Player / Value |
|---|---|
| Highest Ticket% | Elly De La Cruz – 12.7% |
| Highest Handle% | Shohei Ohtani – 40.6% |
| Biggest Liability | Ronald Acuña Jr. |
| Odds Leader | Shohei Ohtani (–1400) |
❓ MLB MVP FAQs
Who are the MLB MVP favorites?
Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Shohei Ohtani is the favorite in the National League at -800, carrying an implied probability of 88%. Meanwhile, Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees is the front-runner in the American League while getting -600 odds, translating to an implied probability of 85%.
Who won the MLB MVP Awards last year?
Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani won his third MVP award and first in the National League during 2024. In the American League, New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge won for the second time.
When will the MLB MVP Awards be decided?
The winners of the 2024 MLB MVP Awards were announced on Thursday, Nov. 21. We expect a similar timeframe for the announcement of the 2025 awards.
When is the All-Star break?
The All-Star break is from July 14-15. The Home Run Derby is tonight and the All-Star game is on Tuesday.
💰 MLB betting odds pages
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