Panthers vs. Lions NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

Check out our top Panthers vs. Lions NFL player props for their Week 5 matchup based on the best NFL odds.

Philip Wood

Last Updated: October 8, 2023 11:04 AM EDT • 5 minute read

The Carolina Panthers and rookie quarterback Bryce Young head to Ford Field to play the Detroit Lions in Week 5, and we have you covered for the expected mismatch with our top Panthers vs. Lions NFL player props based on the NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.

This is the first 0-4 start for the Carolina Panthers since 2010, and rookie quarterback Bryce Young has joined Jimmy Clausen as the only Panthers QB to lose each of his first three career starts. Carolina fans definitely hope the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft won’t struggle to an 0-7 start like Clausen did during that same 2010 season.

Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions are climbing the Super Bowl odds lists and are one of six NFC teams with a 3-1 or better record. Detroit is first in the NFC North, and the Lions are also a sizable home favorite on Sunday.

Here are our best Panthers vs. Lions NFL player props for Week 5 (NFL odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Panthers vs. Lions NFL player props: Week 5

David Montgomery Over 69.5 rushing yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Carolina has allowed at least 130 rushing yards in all four games this season, and if Detroit exceeds that total, the production will come from its running backs, as Jared Goff has just 12 rushing yards on the season.

The Panthers’ defensive weakness feeds exactly into the Lions’ strengths, as Detroit has dropped back to pass on 50.6% of its plays (second lowest), including a 57.3% rate through the first three quarters when games are more competitive (fifth lowest), per Sharp Football Analysis. Carolina has faced 27.5 pass attempts per game (fourth fewest) as its run defense cannot stop anyone. So, David Montgomery, who is coming off a 121-yard performance against Green Bay, should be the biggest beneficiary.

With Montgomery’s O/U as high as 73.5 at FanDuel, we are taking advantage of the lower number at DraftKings, even if it requires paying up slightly.

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Bryce Young longest completion Under 33.5 yards (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Panthers have reportedly been seeking a trade partner for a No. 1 wide receiver, as their offense has not been explosive yet under rookie Bryce Young. Carolina is consistently facing long yardage on second and third downs, as it is averaging 4.0 yards per play on early downs (second worst). In addition, the Panthers rank 31st in yards per passing play (4.3).

In three Bryce Young starts, the longest completions have been 22 yards (Adam Thielen vs. Minnesota), 22 yards (Jonathan Mingo vs. New Orleans), and 14 yards (Hayden Hurst and Laviska Shenault Jr. vs. Atlanta). Through Young’s first two starts, he was one of two quarterbacks (Geno Smith was the other) who was pressured on at least 33% of dropbacks in each of the first two games. In those games, he went 6-for-19 for 30 yards and took six sacks when pressured. Thus, this is a four-star play, as we expect Detroit to confuse and pressure the young quarterback relentlessly, which will limit his ability to find receivers deep downfield.

bet365 charges a slightly higher price (-115) to back the Under, which makes DraftKings our preferred shop.

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Eddy Pineiro Under 5.5 kicking points (-135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Carolina has a team total O/U of 16.5 points, and the Over on its total touchdowns (1.5) is juiced to -160. Thus, Pineiro is not likely to go over this projected total by kicking field goals (his O/U of 1.5 field goals made is juiced to -195 for the Under). This math has us backing the Under on his total kicking points as a three-star play.

Carolina has the league’s 24th-ranked scoring offense. And as one of two teams on the Week 5 slate that is a double-digit underdog, we would expect head coach Frank Reich to be more aggressive when the team has scoring opportunities and eschew field goals in an attempt to keep up with Detroit’s high-scoring offense. While Pineiro has gone over this projected total in three consecutive games, Carolina lost by one score in two of those contests, and we expect a bigger margin of victory for Detroit this week.

We are getting a slightly better price on this number at bet365, as DraftKings has the Under juiced to -140.

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Panthers-Lions player props made 10/6/2023 at 6:09 a.m. ET

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Written by:
Philip Wood

Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.