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Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys is featured in our NFL Thanksgiving Day player props.
Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys looks to throw a pass in the game against the Carolina Panthers during the third quarter at Bank of America Stadium on November 19, 2023 in Charlotte, North Carolina. Photo by Eakin Howard/Getty Images via AFP.

The Washington Commanders visit the Dallas Cowboys in the second game of the NFL's Thanksgiving Day tripleheader, and we have you covered with our best Dak Prescott NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.

In Thursday's Thanksgiving action, Dak Prescott, ranking ninth in the NFL in passing yards and tied for third in passing touchdowns, has thrown for more than 300 yards in three of his last four games. Additionally, he has recorded at least two touchdown passes in four consecutive games.

On Thanksgiving, he confronts the third-worst pass defense in football, with the Commanders also allowing the most points per game in the league at 27.7 per game.

Check out our NFL Thanksgiving predictions and Commanders vs. Cowboys predictions, along with our best Dak Prescott NFL player prop predictions for the Commanders vs. Cowboys Thanksgiving matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Dak Prescott NFL player prop predictions for Thanksgiving

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Dak Prescott player props

Dak Prescott Over 275.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Prescott’s performance last week served as a reminder that the Cowboys can decimate their opponents without him having a huge game. The Cowboys won by 23 points, and Prescott threw for just 189 yards and his lowest yards per completion total of the season.

But before that performance, Prescott had thrown for 300 or more yards in three consecutive games, and he’d thrown for at least 250 yards in all but one game where the Cowboys won by at least 20 points.

Last week, the Commanders were torched by Tommy DeVito and the New York Giants. Even if the Cowboys win this game by 20 or more points, Prescott will have over 200 yards at halftime and do enough in the second half to go over this number.

FanDuel is the only one of our best sports betting apps with this number listed lower than 278.5. Considering the price is barely worse than the -110 offered by bet365 for 278.5, we recommend playing at FanDuel.

We also discuss this and other wagers in our Commanders vs. Cowboys NFL player props.

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Dak Prescott Under 35.5 pass attempts (-106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Prescott isn’t going to need to attempt very many passes to throw for 300 yards in this game. In two of the three games where he’s thrown for over 300 yards this season, he’s attempted fewer than 36 passes. He’s averaging 33.8 attempts per game, and he has three games with 30 or fewer passing attempts.

The Commanders are allowing a whopping 11.5 yards per completion this season. Last week, they allowed 11.2 yards per completion to DeVito and the struggling Giants’ offense. Without much of a pass rush, the Commanders aren’t going to be able to get to Prescott and he’s going to pick up chunk plays throughout the entire game. With the Cowboys destined to dominate this contest, Prescott won’t need to throw late, which will keep him under this number.

Make sure you shop around at our best sports betting sites before wagering. While every sportsbook has the number listed at 35.5, the price for the under varies greatly from sportsbook to sportsbook. DraftKings and BetMGM are asking -130 for the under, while bet365 is asking -125. Caesars is asking -109, but the price is still better at FanDuel for now.

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Dak Prescott 3+ passing touchdowns (+210 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

The Commanders are allowing 2.7 touchdowns per game, 2.2 of which have been through the air. And remember, those numbers include every game with Montez Sweat and Chase Young on the roster. Without them, the Commanders have allowed five passing touchdowns in their past two tilts.

Prescott has thrown three or more touchdown passes in three of his last four games after throwing two or fewer in each of his first six contests. The Cowboys have scored at least 33 points in three of their last four games, and there is no reason to expect them to score less than 30 against the Commanders. Therefore, the only thing keeping Prescott from hitting this is the Cowboys’ electing to use Tony Pollard more around the goal line. Yet, with the Cowboys averaging over three passing touchdowns in their last four games, Pollard could score once in this game and Prescott would still meet the mark.

The price for Prescott to throw two touchdowns is expensive across our best sportsbooks. The biggest bargain as of Wednesday afternoon is -190. Therefore, we recommend playing this alt line for a great price in a game where the Cowboys should score plenty. bet365 is offering the best price right now but FanDuel isn’t far behind, as they’re asking +205.

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Dak Prescott player prop picks made 11/22/2023 at 12:48 p.m. ET.

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