Bills vs. Rams Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction

How much can Josh Allen pad his MVP resume when the Bills visit the Rams in Week 14 NFL action?

Philip Wood

Last Updated: December 8, 2024 8:31 AM EST • 5 minute read

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is interviewed after winning a game as we make our best Bills vs. Rams NFL player prop bets & touchdown predictions. — Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is interviewed after winning a game to clinch the AFC East title at Highmark Stadium. Photo by Mark Konezny / Imagn Images.

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The Buffalo Bills look to extend the AFC’s longest winning streak to eight games when they visit the Los Angeles Rams as road favorites on Sunday afternoon.

Bills QB Josh Allen became the first quarterback in NFL history with a passing, rushing, and receiving touchdown in the same game last week
Allen is currently the favorite by the NFL MVP odds
Matthew Stafford is 3-15 SU in his last 18 starts as an underdog

Buffalo is a 3.5-point road favorite in a game with an O/U of 49.5 points, and we use that as a backdrop to make our Bills vs. Rams player prop picks as we continue our Week 14 NFL predictions.

Kickoff from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., is set for 4:25 p.m. ET airing on FOX.

Bills vs. Rams NFL player prop picks: Sunday

Odds as of Saturday and subject to change.

Amari Cooper touchdown prediction: Cooper anytime touchdown scorer (+220 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
Kyren Williams longest rush Over 15.5 yards (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-115 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Bills vs. Rams touchdown prediction

Amari Cooper anytime touchdown scorer (+220) ⭐⭐

Best odds: +220 via Caesars | Implied probability: 31.25%

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The Bills are one of the most difficult teams to figure out from an anytime touchdown scorer perspective, as 12 different players have scored this season (tied for the most with the Super Bowl odds contender Kansas City Chiefs entering last week).

However, Los Angeles has allowed 15 touchdown receptions to wide receivers this year, which is tied for the third-most in the NFL, and several of Buffalo’s receivers have enticing anytime touchdown value as a result.

Cooper has scored just once in four games since joining the Buffalo, but he has averaged a 19% target share per route run.

Los Angeles is tougher on slot receivers than perimeter receivers, which has us looking past Khalil Shakir’s anytime touchdown odds. The Rams allow the 14th-fewest yards per game to slot receivers since Week 7, and rank 16th in that same metric to perimeter receivers.

Cooper’s anytime touchdown odds are as high as +165 (carrying a 37.74% implied probability) at DraftKings and BetMGM. So the best value is at Caesars, where a $10 winning wager would net $22 in profits.

Best Bills vs. Rams prop picks

Kyren Williams longest rush Over 15.5 yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 54.55%

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Williams is the only player to score all of his team’s rushing touchdowns this season, but his -175 anytime touchdown odds were too steep and had us looking for other value plays for the Rams running back.

Buffalo ranks in the bottom four of the league in most rushing yards, receptions, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, and explosive yards allowed to running backs.

The Bills also entered last week with the third-most yards per carry allowed, so Williams is a solid bet to break at least one 16-yard carry for the fourth straight game.

BetMGM has the over juiced to -125 for this same wager, so the slightly better value is at DraftKings.

Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.49%

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The Bills have scored 30-plus points in six consecutive games, the longest streak in the NFL this season. Yet, based on these odds, it seems that oddsmakers think Buffalo will run for as many or more touchdowns as it will throw for.

When pressured this season, Allen ranks first in QBR (85), passing touchdowns(10) , and yards per dropback (6.1). Thus, it should not bother Allen much that the Rams defense ranks fifth in the NFL with a 35% pressure percentage.

Allen has thrown for multiple touchdowns in five of the last seven games, including in last week’s blizzard against the San Francisco 49ers. Thus, there is no reason to think he will not do it again in a controlled-weather environment indoors.

Allen’s implied probability to throw multiple touchdown passes is as high as 56.52% based on DraftKings’ and BetMGM’s -130 odds, so I am taking advantage of the best number at FanDuel.

Bills vs. Rams game info

When: Sunday, Dec. 8
Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
Where: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
How to watch: FOX
Weather: Indoors
Favorite: Bills -3.5 (-115 via BetMGM)

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Written by:
Philip Wood

Phil has covered sports betting since 2016 and has been sharing his NFL experience with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.