Canada vs. Brazil Predictions, Picks & Odds: FIBA World Cup
In FIBA World Cup second-round action, Canada matches up with Brazil on Friday. Here are our best Canada vs. Brazil predictions based on the best FIBA World Cup odds.
Canada's journey through the FIBA World Cup has been a masterclass in defying expectations and embracing excellence. Its triumphs were not just victories; they were symphonies composed with every dribble, every pass, and every triumphant dunk. And at the heart of this opus stood Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
However, Canada still has work to do in its quest for a FIBA World Cup championship and a berth in the 2024 Olympics.
Can Canada continue its impressive streak by overpowering its fourth straight opponent, or are we backing Brazil to cover the point spread in Friday's matchup?
Here is our best Canada vs. Brazil prediction for Friday's FIBA World Cup matchup (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Canada vs. Brazil predictions: FIBA World Cup
Brazil +19.5 (-112 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Heading into the first round of the FIBA World Cup, Group H, which featured Canada, France, and Latvia, was perceived as the toughest group in the FIBA World Cup. Canada utterly dominated the group, winning their three games by 30, 55, and 26 points, propelling them into the second round with the best point differential in the entire tournament.
While everything I mentioned in the first paragraph might lead you to consider taking Canada -19.5 against Brazil, given their impressive performance, I'm going to present some numbers to explain why I believe betting on Brazil is the better option.
After the conclusion of the first round, which included a game between Spain and Iran, all of our best sports betting sites rushed to be the first to post the spreads for their second round games. This has resulted in varying odds across our best sportsbooks for this matchup, and one particular set of odds stands out.
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Pinnacle initially listed Canada as a 17.5-point favorite with increased juice on their side of the spread (-124), while Brazil traded at 17.5 (+102). Based on Pinnacle's opening line, they believe Brazil +19.5 should be trading closer to -137, yet BetRivers is offering it at -112.
BetRivers has set a rogue price, creating an edge in this line, which is why I'm betting on Brazil. Just take a look at FanDuel's line as another example: Brazil +18.5 (-118). BetRivers offers a full additional point while charging six cents less in juice.
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Canada vs. Brazil best odds
BetRivers (-112)
| BetRivers | bet365 | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil +19.5 | Brazil +19 | Brazil +19.5 | Brazil +18.5 | Brazil +18.5 |
| -112 | -110 | -120 | -118 | -112 |
BetRivers is by far offering the best price here, and it's not even close. FanDuel offers one less point on Brazil and higher juice, while DraftKings offers the same juice but one less point. The market hasn't yet settled on where it wants to trade this game, but we should expect BetRivers to adjust its price sooner rather than later to align more closely with what we're seeing across our other best NBA betting sites.
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Canada vs. Brazil odds analysis
Following the conclusion of the first round of the FIBA World Cup, all of our best sports betting apps began posting the lines for the second round, and there are some significant disparities in how each sportsbook is trading Canada on the spread against Brazil. We're witnessing spreads anywhere from Canada -17.5 to -19.5, and it's not surprising, as the sportsbooks need to make adjustments to their power rating after Canada's performance in the first round of the FIBA World Cup.
While the sportsbooks haven't come to a consensus on what spread to set for Canada, we've seen more agreement regarding the total for this matchup. All of our best sportsbooks have set the total in the range of 178.5 to 179.5.
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Canada vs. Brazil game info
- When: Friday, Sep. 1, 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Where: Indonesia Arena, Jakarta, Indonesia
- How to watch: Sportsnet
Canada-Brazil pick made 08/30/2023 at 12:20 p.m. ET.
NBA betting odds pages
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