⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Friday, May 15
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Friday (May 15)
We split the board yesterday but hit our two-unit play, pushing our record to 20-9 over the last two weeks - let's fill our pockets before the weekend. Tonight, we’re locking in on the Reds vs. Guardians and Giants vs. Athletics matchups to grab six quick outs. The formula has been working, and we’re looking to stack a handful of zeroes once again.
⚾ Best NRFI bets today: May 15
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ⚾ NRFI pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Reds vs. Guardians NRFI (-130) | 2u → 1.53u | Bibee owns 25% K rate vs. Reds |
| Giants vs. Athletics NRFI (+120) | 1u -> 0.80u | Giants own .188 xBA vs. Civale |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.33 units
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💰 Best NRFI bets today for Friday
Reds vs. Guardians NRFI (-130) - 7:10 p.m. ET
- Andrew Abbott (4.47 ERA) vs. Tanner Bibee (4.17 ERA)
- NRFI records: Reds (22-22) vs. Guardians (25-20)
We have a combined 115 plate appearances between these two pitchers against the respective lineups today, a sample size we absolutely love. Cleveland is hitting just .208 against Abbott, while Bibee is striking out the Reds at a 25% rate - including Elly De La Cruz, who's 1-for-9 lifetime with six strikeouts against the right-hander. Let's lock this in as one of our best NRFI bets today.
🤑 More MLB player props for Friday
Dive into Mike Spector's home run predictions for Friday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Giants vs. Athletics NRFI (+120) - 9:40 p.m. ET
- Tyler Mahle (5.18 ERA) vs. Aaron Civale (2.59)
- NRFI records: Giants (26-18) vs. Athletics (19-24)
A NRFI at +120 - those are odds you just can't pass up. Across 20 plate appearances, the Athletics are hitting just .167 against Mahle, who's striking them out at a 25% clip. I'm not sure if I'm missing anything on that end, but that's pretty solid to me. The Giants own a .250 xwOBA vs. Civale, giving me plenty of reasons to take this bet at this price. Let's ride before the weekend.
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-27 | +6.46 units |
| NRFI picks | 27-25 | +5.01 units |
💡 How I'm betting NRFI picks today (May 15)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
❓ NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
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