🎯 PGA Championship Long Shots & Sleeper Picks: 3 Outright Bets Longer Than +3500
Leading the 2026 PGA Championship odds as the pre-tournament favorite is none other than Scottie Scheffler, who once again enters the event with massive expectations and +480 odds to win. Our PGA Championship long shots & sleeper picks are searching for value outside of the heavy hitters.
Last year, Scottie Scheffler captured the Wanamaker Trophy with a brilliant performance to win his first PGA Championship. A $10 wager on our best bet pays out $450. Of note, Bryson DeChambeau finished runner-up last year after entering the tournament with odds of +2200. The PGA Championship will take place from May 14–17 at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square.
🎯 PGA Championship long-shot picks
Here are our best long-shot golf picks for PGA Championship based on the odds from our best golf betting sites;
| Pick | Best odds | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Rose | +4500 via FanDuel | .1 units to win 4.5 |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | +5000 via DraftKings | .1 units to win 5 |
| Collin Morikawa | +4000 via FanDuel | .1 units to win 4 |
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
💰 Best PGA Championship sleeper bet
Justin Rose (+4500)
Justin Rose has the experience and all-around game to make a serious run at the PGA Championship this week. Rose continues to thrive in major championships because of his elite iron play, steady putting, and ability to stay composed under pressure. He showed at the Masters that he can still contend against the best players in the world, and his accuracy off the tee should be a major advantage on a demanding setup.
Rose has always been one of golf’s smartest course managers, and if the conditions get difficult, that veteran experience could separate him from the field over four rounds this week. PGA Championship picks & predictions.
🏌️♂️ Additional PGA Championship picks:
Our Dustin Saracini gave out his top picks in his PGA Championship picks & predictions.
🐎 PGA Championship dark horse picks
Nicolai Hojgaard (+5000)
Nicolai Hojgaard has the talent and upside to break through and win the PGA Championship this week. The young Dane is one of the longest hitters in the field, and his aggressive style fits perfectly for a major championship setup that rewards elite ball-striking. Hojgaard has already shown he can compete against the world’s best players, posting strong finishes in massive events and proving he is not intimidated by pressure moments.
His combination of distance off the tee and improved iron play gives him a chance to create scoring opportunities on difficult holes. If his putter heats up for four rounds, Hojgaard has the firepower to outduel the favorites and capture his first major title. At longer odds, he offers tremendous value compared to some of the bigger names near the top of the betting board this week.
Collin Morikawa (+4000)
Collin Morikawa has all the tools needed to win the PGA Championship and add another major trophy to his resume. Few players in the world strike their irons as consistently as Morikawa, and that elite accuracy becomes even more valuable on a demanding championship setup. He already knows what it takes to win this event after capturing the PGA Championship earlier in his career, so the pressure of a major Sunday will not faze him.
Morikawa’s ability to keep the ball in position and avoid costly mistakes gives him a major advantage over more aggressive players. If his putter performs at an average level, his ball-striking alone can carry him into contention. Against a loaded field, Morikawa’s consistency and experience make him one of the safest and most dangerous outright picks on the board this week.
💵 My betting record for golf picks
All golf picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | -.6 units ❌ | 54.55% ❌ |
| Long shots (+4500 or higher) | 0-12 | -1.2 units ❌ | 0% ❌ |
💡 How I'm handicapping PGA Championship
I’m handicapping the PGA Championship by focusing heavily on elite ball-striking, driving distance, and recent form heading into the week. Major championships demand players who can consistently gain strokes tee-to-green while avoiding big mistakes under pressure. I’m also looking closely at golfers with strong histories in difficult scoring conditions and players who have proven they can contend in majors before. Aronimink Golf Club should reward players who can attack with long irons while staying accurate off the tee. Around-the-green play and putting always matter, but I believe the winner this week will separate himself with elite approach play and composure throughout the weekend.
💰 PGA Championship betting history
| Year | Name | Odds (prior to Round 1) | Course |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Scottie Scheffler | +500 | Quail Hollow Club |
| 2024 | Xander Schauffele | +1400 | Valhalla Golf Club |
| 2023 | Brooks Koepka | +2000 | Oak Hill |
| 2022 | Justin Thomas | +1600 | Southern Hills |
| 2021 | Phil Mickelson | +25000 | Kiawah Island |
| 2020 | Collin Morikawa | +3000 | TPC Harding Park |
| 2019 | Brooks Koepka | +1000 | Bethpage Black |
| 2018 | Brooks Koepka | +1800 | Bellerive |
Historical golf odds via SportsOddsHistory.com
🎟️ 2026 PGA Championship ticket information
| Golfer | Odds | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Young | +2500 | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Scottie Scheffler | +1600 | 5.4% | 6.7% |
| Rory McIlroy | +2200 | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Justin Rose | +5000 | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Ludvig Åberg | +3500 | 4.1% | 14.6% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +4000 | 3.7% | 12.4% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | +8000 | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Jon Rahm | +3000 | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +3300 | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Rickie Fowler | +5500 | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Chris Gotterup | +6000 | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Xander Schauffele | +3000 | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +3500 | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Collin Morikawa | +4500 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Austin Smotherman | +17500 | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Spieth | +6000 | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| Nicolai Højgaard | +6000 | 1.7% | 12.6% |
⛳ PGA Championship tournament info 2026
- Where: Aronimink Golf Club (Newtown Square, PA)
- When: Thursday, May 14 - Sunday, May 17
- Field: 156
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+480 via FanDuel)
- Defending champion: Scottie Scheffler
- Purse: $19 million
- FedEx Cup points: 750
📊 PGA Championship full-field odds
Here are the odds to win for everyone in the PGA Championship field:
Related Articles
