⛳ PGA Championship Picks & Predictions 2026: Best Bets to Win, Top Finishes & Prop Bets For Aronimink
📡 SBR Edge: PGA Championship picks
Major championship season continues as the world’s best golfers descend upon Newtown Square, Pa, for the 108th PGA Championship at the historic Aronimink Golf Club. The golf world turns its attention to a venue with virtually no major championship history for the current field, creating a wide-open betting board and a fresh puzzle for handicappers to solve. Let’s break down my favorite outright winner, sleeper pick, and top-finisher bets for the second major of the year.
💰 PGA Championship picks 2026
Here are our top golf picks for the PGA Championship
| 📊 Market | 💰 Pick | 📈 Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Outright winner | Rory McIlroy | +850 via BetMGM |
| Long shot winner | Shane Lowry | +8000 via FanDuel |
| Top 5 finish | Cameron Young | +270 via DraftKings |
📊 PGA Championship odds, favorites, field
Get everything you need to know for the biggest event of the season with me as I dive deep into the PGA Championship odds.
🏆 PGA Championship pick to win: Rory McIlroy (+850)
Rory has arguably the highest ceiling at Aronimink. His high-launch driving fits this long Par 70 perfectly, and after a warm-up T-19 at the Truist Championship, he's historically thrived on classical northeastern layouts. Not to mention the man is in solid form heading into this week. McIlroy already has four top-25 finishes this year (yes, we all know he's a back-to-back Masters champion to boot) and shot 18-under the last time he played at Aronimink Golf Club in 2017-18 for the BMW Championship. Fire him up.
🎯 PGA Championship sleeper picks
Shane Lowry (+8000)
This is a massive discrepancy price. Lowry is a major champion (2019 Open) who excels in difficult conditions. On a course where the rough is unflinchingly difficult, Lowry's patient scrambling and mid-iron play make him a top-tier sleeper. Lowry has been hovering as a potential breakout candidate with four top-25 finishes and two top-10 finishes - I love him at +8000 this week.
Gary Woodland (+10000)
Don’t look now, but Woodland is quietly piecing together an impressive comeback season at the perfect time heading into Aronimink. While most bettors are focused on the star power near the top of the board, Woodland brings an outstanding statistical fit for this course. He also has valuable experience at Aronimink after posting a T-12 finish at the 2018 BMW Championship, carding four straight rounds of 67 or lower. On a lengthy, challenging parkland setup that rewards major winners capable of navigating thick rough and massive greens, Woodland’s recent form makes him a tremendous value play. Personally, I’d have this long shot priced much closer to +8000 entering the week.
🤑 Looking for more PGA Championship sleeper picks?
Our LJ Blut has you completely covered for the second major of the season with his PGA Championship long shot and sleeper picks.
🔥 My favorite PGA Championship bet
Cameron Young top 5 finish (+270)
You'd have a tough time finding many golfers playing better than Young at the moment. He's recorded seven consecutive top-25 finishes dating back to the Genesis Invitational, making his current odds feel longer than they should be - I expected something closer to +200. Young ranks inside the top 10 in both strokes gained: off the tee and strokes gained: total, a combination that should put him firmly in contention for a top-five finish this week.
🎟️ 2026 PGA Championship ticket information
| Golfer | Odds | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Young | +2500 | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Scottie Scheffler | +1600 | 5.4% | 6.7% |
| Rory McIlroy | +2200 | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Justin Rose | +5000 | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Ludvig Åberg | +3500 | 4.1% | 14.6% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +4000 | 3.7% | 12.4% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | +8000 | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Jon Rahm | +3000 | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +3300 | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Rickie Fowler | +5500 | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Chris Gotterup | +6000 | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Xander Schauffele | +3000 | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +3500 | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Collin Morikawa | +4500 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Austin Smotherman | +17500 | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Spieth | +6000 | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| Nicolai Højgaard | +6000 | 1.7% | 12.6% |
💰 PGA Championship betting history
| Year | Name | Odds (prior to Round 1) | Course |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Scottie Scheffler | +500 | Quail Hollow Club |
| 2024 | Xander Schauffele | +1400 | Valhalla Golf Club |
| 2023 | Brooks Koepka | +2000 | Oak Hill |
| 2022 | Justin Thomas | +1600 | Southern Hills |
| 2021 | Phil Mickelson | +25000 | Kiawah Island |
| 2020 | Collin Morikawa | +3000 | TPC Harding Park |
| 2019 | Brooks Koepka | +1000 | Bethpage Black |
| 2018 | Brooks Koepka | +1800 | Bellerive |
Historical golf odds via SportsOddsHistory.com
⚖️ How I'm handicapping the PGA Championship
While recent PGA Championships have often devolved into bomb-and-gouge contests, the Gil Hanse restoration of Aronimink has narrowed landing zones and reintroduced 174 bunkers that punish sheer aggression. Consequently, I am overweighting strokes gained: approach and strokes gained: total this week.
🏆 2026 PGA Championship info
- When: May 14-17
- Where: Aronomink Golf Club (Newton Square, Pa.)
- Defending champion: Scottie Scheffler
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+480 via FanDuel)
- How to watch: ESPN and CBS
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