⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Thursday, May 14
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Thursday (May 14)
We once again swept the board yesterday, pushing our record to 19-8 over the last two weeks - let's keep the momentum going on Thursday. Tonight, we’re locking in on the Cubs vs. Braves and Royals vs. White Sox matchups to grab six quick outs, leaning on pitchers with high strikeout rates. The formula has been working, and we’re looking to stack a handful of zeroes once again.
⚾ Best NRFI bets today: May 14
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ⚾ NRFI pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Cubs vs. Braves NRFI (-135) | 2u → 1.48u | Cubs own .223 xBA vs. Chris Sale |
| Royals vs. White Sox NRFI (-125) | 1u -> 0.80u | Bubic owns 37% K rate vs. White Sox |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.28 units
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💰 Best NRFI bets today for Thursday
Cubs vs. Braves NRFI (-135) - 7:15 p.m. ET
- Ben Brown (1.82 ERA) vs. Chris Sale (2.20 ERA)
- NRFI records: Cubs (29-14) vs. Braves (19-24)
Brown has been fantastic again this year for the Cubs, allowing just one earned run across his last seven innings. It helps that he's striking this Braves team out at a 50% clip across 20 plate appearances, becoming nearly unhittable against them. I'll take it. We'll ride with a season vet on the other side who's having another fantastic season in Atlanta. The Cubs own just a .223 xBA against Sale, who should make quick work of Chicago in the first frame. Book it.
🤑 More MLB player props for Thursday
Dive into Mike Spector's home run predictions for Thursday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Royals vs. White Sox NRFI (-125) - 7:40 p.m. ET
- Kris Bubic (3.50 ERA) vs. Anthony Kay (4.89 ERA)
- NRFI records: Royals (27-16) vs. White Sox (21-21)
This pick centers around Bubic, who's put up some strong numbers against this White Sox lineup in his career. The top three projected hitters against him are 0-for-11, with Bubic owning a whopping 34.1% whiff rate. We should have an easy day there. Kay is enjoying a revitalized MLB career himself, and has limited this Royals lineup to a .136 AVG across 25 plate appearances. I'm loving what I'm seeing in this matchup, and you should too.
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-26 | +5.78 units |
| NRFI picks | 26-24 | +4.33 units |
💡 How I'm betting NRFI picks today (May 14)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
❓ NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
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