When the spread doesn't move, follow the money

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  • McRich
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-26-07
    • 961

    #456
    Originally posted by I.R.B
    I like RLM in college sports.. Pros RLM Suck, even tho i won huge on the SF vs Cards MNF game which that game had HUGE RLM.. I usally stay away from Pros RLM and play what i want even tho the line moves i stick to my plays.. If you want the best way to go about readiing line moves you should really think about getting Sports Insights.
    Yeah, I have been thinking about subscribing to Sports Insights. For me, the NFL is tough to cap no matter what my strategy.
    Comment
    • McRich
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-26-07
      • 961

      #457
      Originally posted by I.R.B
      Also i have to say this thread turned out pretty good.. A good thread for alot of Newbies to learn a bit about RLM.
      Yes, I agree.
      Comment
      • McRich
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-26-07
        • 961

        #458
        Originally posted by I.R.B
        Never follow RLM if you dont know which book had the move.. There are some books that do better then some.. Like i said in my other post Pros RLM are pretty much worthless unless you follow the right book.
        I only play with two places. Last night I had a +7 line and a +5 line for S. Alabama at the same time. Well, you know which one I took. S. Alabama won outright.
        Comment
        • McRich
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-26-07
          • 961

          #459
          I am on Auburn +12.5 and Northwestern -2.5 for RLM plays.
          Comment
          • apk2k6
            SBR Sharp
            • 06-09-08
            • 494

            #460
            I made a spreadsheet last night for RLM plays that will keep track of individual sports win % and overall win % using RLM.

            I also use the same "filters" as you. At least 60% bets and at least 1 point movement.

            Tonight I had:

            Heat +4 (NBA)
            Auburn +12.5
            USF +10
            NorthWestern -3
            Fresno +6.5
            North Colorado +5.5
            Cornell +15.5
            Furman +3.5

            It's 5-2 so far tonight with a win % of 71.42 pending Fresno State
            Comment
            • McRich
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-26-07
              • 961

              #461
              Originally posted by apk2k6
              I made a spreadsheet last night for RLM plays that will keep track of individual sports win % and overall win % using RLM.

              I also use the same "filters" as you. At least 60% bets and at least 1 point movement.

              Tonight I had:

              Heat +4 (NBA)
              Auburn +12.5
              USF +10
              NorthWestern -3
              Fresno +6.5
              North Colorado +5.5
              Cornell +15.5
              Furman +3.5

              It's 5-2 so far tonight with a win % of 71.42 pending Fresno State
              Very nice night of wins. Congrats!!!
              Comment
              • McRich
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-26-07
                • 961

                #462
                I went 3-0 in my RLM wagers tonight. All in NCAABB.

                Overall record is 33-21-2.

                The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

                NBA 11-8
                NCAABB 14-7-1
                NCAAF 5-4-1
                NFL 3-2
                Comment
                • apk2k6
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-09-08
                  • 494

                  #463
                  Fresno State a winner too, 6-2 tonight.

                  I'm not playing all of these, just keeping track right now. If after 100 plays or so it's over 60% overall, then I'll play all of the plays.

                  Btw, Louisville is looking good for an NCAAF play tomorrow
                  Comment
                  • McRich
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-26-07
                    • 961

                    #464
                    Originally posted by apk2k6
                    Fresno State a winner too, 6-2 tonight.

                    I'm not playing all of these, just keeping track right now. If after 100 plays or so it's over 60% overall, then I'll play all of the plays.

                    Btw, Louisville is looking good for an NCAAF play tomorrow
                    Good call on the Louisville game. A strong lean that I will probably hit up later today. I have been playing my RLM wagers. This week I have gone 6-1 in basketball wagers using RLM. My bankroll likes it.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #465
                      FYI. I got +340 ML for Louisville. But back on point, if you can get +10.5, do it ASAP.
                      Comment
                      • I.R.B
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-12-08
                        • 3209

                        #466
                        CBB is where to be if yoiu like RLM.. This will be a great CBB season.
                        Comment
                        • yisman
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-01-08
                          • 75682

                          #467
                          Louisville is now +11 on Bodog and Skybook. -110

                          ML +355 on Bookmaker and +352 on Pinnacle
                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                          [/quote]

                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                          Comment
                          • roasthawg
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-09-07
                            • 2990

                            #468
                            The Raiders look like the RLM play in the NFL tonight.
                            Comment
                            • CR22CH
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 11-17-08
                              • 55

                              #469
                              so what about tonight...i like Oakland what does your system say??
                              Comment
                              • McRich
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-26-07
                                • 961

                                #470
                                Originally posted by CR22CH
                                so what about tonight...i like Oakland what does your system say??
                                Yes, the Raiders fit the RLM system. I have them +9 for a play. I am also on Kent State in NCAABB at a pick 'em. I am also on Louisville in NCAAF at +10.5.
                                Comment
                                • roasthawg
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-09-07
                                  • 2990

                                  #471
                                  Originally posted by McRich
                                  Yes, the Raiders fit the RLM system. I have them +9 for a play. I am also on Kent State in NCAABB at a pick 'em. I am also on Louisville in NCAAF at +10.5.
                                  Det and Denver are a couple other rlm plays in the ncaa tonight.
                                  Comment
                                  • McRich
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-26-07
                                    • 961

                                    #472
                                    Originally posted by roasthawg
                                    Det and Denver are a couple other rlm plays in the ncaa tonight.
                                    The number of bets has not hit the numbers I am looking for yet.
                                    Comment
                                    • roasthawg
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-09-07
                                      • 2990

                                      #473
                                      Originally posted by McRich
                                      The number of bets has not hit the numbers I am looking for yet.
                                      Gotcha.
                                      Comment
                                      • spmurph
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 10-24-08
                                        • 32

                                        #474
                                        Surprised no one has mentioned the Eagles this Sunday. 2 point RLM
                                        Comment
                                        • McRich
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-26-07
                                          • 961

                                          #475
                                          Originally posted by spmurph
                                          Surprised no one has mentioned the Eagles this Sunday. 2 point RLM
                                          Good one. I made a play yesterday on the Eagles,
                                          Comment
                                          • roasthawg
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-09-07
                                            • 2990

                                            #476
                                            Originally posted by spmurph
                                            Surprised no one has mentioned the Eagles this Sunday. 2 point RLM
                                            Eagles are always an rlm play.
                                            Comment
                                            • apk2k6
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 06-09-08
                                              • 494

                                              #477
                                              I'm not counting Raiders because they haven't moved a full point at the comparison site I use. Same with Louisville, the line has actually moved up to -12 now. In NCAAB I'm playing Kent State, Denver, Detroit.
                                              Comment
                                              • McRich
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-26-07
                                                • 961

                                                #478
                                                Originally posted by apk2k6
                                                I'm not counting Raiders because they haven't moved a full point at the comparison site I use. Same with Louisville, the line has actually moved up to -12 now. In NCAAB I'm playing Kent State, Denver, Detroit.
                                                Yeah, I noticed the Louisville move. This is one of the first times since I have been using RLM that I have seen the line move back and forth so much.

                                                I am on University of Detroit +4 tonight for an RLM play.
                                                Comment
                                                • roasthawg
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-09-07
                                                  • 2990

                                                  #479
                                                  Originally posted by McRich
                                                  Yeah, I noticed the Louisville move. This is one of the first times since I have been using RLM that I have seen the line move back and forth so much.

                                                  I am on University of Detroit +4 tonight for an RLM play.
                                                  Could be a head fake...smart money might be on Rutgers after all. Who knows, that's what makes RLM betting so difficult.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • apk2k6
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 06-09-08
                                                    • 494

                                                    #480
                                                    Looks like a losing night. Oh well they happen. Long term is what matters
                                                    Comment
                                                    • McRich
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-26-07
                                                      • 961

                                                      #481
                                                      I went 0-4 in my RLM wagers last night. My first really bad night for RLM. Lost one in NFL. Lost one in NCAAF. Lost two in NCABB.

                                                      Overall record is 33-25-2.

                                                      The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

                                                      NBA 11-8
                                                      NCAABB 14-9-1
                                                      NCAAF 5-5-1
                                                      NFL 3-3
                                                      Comment
                                                      • spmurph
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 10-24-08
                                                        • 32

                                                        #482
                                                        Originally posted by roasthawg
                                                        Eagles are always an rlm play.

                                                        Was that supposed to mean something other than the literal interpretation? I can't remember the last game where they were the RLM play. The last game I can remember that they were involved in and had RLM was vs. SEA and SEA was the RLM play (and lost).
                                                        Comment
                                                        • spmurph
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 10-24-08
                                                          • 32

                                                          #483
                                                          Originally posted by McRich
                                                          I went 0-4 in my RLM wagers last night. My first really bad night for RLM. Lost one in NFL. Lost one in NCAAF. Lost two in NCABB.

                                                          Overall record is 33-25-2.

                                                          The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

                                                          NBA 11-8
                                                          NCAABB 14-9-1
                                                          NCAAF 5-5-1
                                                          NFL 3-3
                                                          Do you have a criteria for RLM? I think you might do better, in NFL anyway, if you stick to at least 1 point RL moves.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • yisman
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-01-08
                                                            • 75682

                                                            #484
                                                            there was a little on Thanksgiving. The line didn't actually move, but the Eagles went from -3 (+105) to -3 (-117) despite like 80% of the action being on the Cardinals.
                                                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                            [/quote]

                                                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                            Comment
                                                            • patsfan2727
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-28-07
                                                              • 579

                                                              #485
                                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                              FYI. I got +340 ML for Louisville. But back on point, if you can get +10.5, do it ASAP.
                                                              hope everybody jumped on this advice! not only did you get the crappiest line, but the bet was losing with 10 minutes to go in the FIRST QUARTER.

                                                              From what I can tell "RLM" plays are essentially fading the public and betting on some crappy-ass team in the hopes that they show up and show that you were on the "sharp side".

                                                              Oakland is a "RLM" play every week and they are 5-8 ATS

                                                              Please stop keeping track of these RLM plays, as they are clearly no better than flipping a coin. If you want to bet a Dog, fine, just stop trying to pretend there is reasoning behind the play. "RLM's" got SMOKED last night, both Oakland and Louisville never even had a shot of a backdoor cover.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LT Profits
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-27-06
                                                                • 90963

                                                                #486
                                                                Originally posted by patsfan2727
                                                                hope everybody jumped on this advice! not only did you get the crappiest line, but the bet was losing with 10 minutes to go in the FIRST QUARTER.

                                                                From what I can tell "RLM" plays are essentially fading the public and betting on some crappy-ass team in the hopes that they show up and show that you were on the "sharp side".

                                                                Oakland is a "RLM" play every week and they are 5-8 ATS

                                                                Please stop keeping track of these RLM plays, as they are clearly no better than flipping a coin. If you want to bet a Dog, fine, just stop trying to pretend there is reasoning behind the play. "RLM's" got SMOKED last night, both Oakland and Louisville never even had a shot of a backdoor cover.
                                                                I already provided the stats that this is a winning strategy in every sport. If you choose to ignore the numbers, that is your problem.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • patsfan2727
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-28-07
                                                                  • 579

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                  I already provided the stats that this is a winning strategy in every sport. If you choose to ignore the numbers, that is your problem.
                                                                  no, I will pay attention to the numbers...please give me another RLM play that will lose by 20 points!!! I need a solid fade pick!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gizmo2431
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-11-08
                                                                    • 971

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Originally posted by patsfan2727
                                                                    no, I will pay attention to the numbers...please give me another RLM play that will lose by 20 points!!! I need a solid fade pick!
                                                                    1 play does not justify a history of plays that have previously worked, or in this case... 2 plays vs the entire past...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • FreeFall
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-20-08
                                                                      • 3365

                                                                      #489
                                                                      Man we should have a test and sort posts by the intelligence level of the poster. I'm really tired of seeing over and over the simple idea of a sample size (n=1) making a solid observation for a trend.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • patsfan2727
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-28-07
                                                                        • 579

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Originally posted by gizmo2431
                                                                        1 play does not justify a history of plays that have previously worked, or in this case... 2 plays vs the entire past...
                                                                        come on dude, system goes 0-4 and you want to back it still? the "coin flip" system would have worked better.
                                                                        Comment
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