When the spread doesn't move, follow the money

[LT Profits]

Only consider the movement of the team you are looking to play on. So if you want 20-cent movement, Florida would NOT qualify with an 18-cent move. The fact that the more popular team (the opponent) moved over 20 cents is irrelevant.

[Richkas]

Flip a coin

GL and God Bless

[smitch124]

Only consider the movement of the team you are looking to play on. So if you want 20-cent movement, Florida would NOT qualify with an 18-cent move. The fact that the more popular team (the opponent) moved over 20 cents is irrelevant.

I have a hard time deciding what book to use to decide how far the line has moved. It seems to me that Pinnacle always starts the dogs a little higher than the other books for the NHL. Have you found that to be true LT?

[FreeFall]

Only consider the movement of the team you are looking to play on. So if you want 20-cent movement, Florida would NOT qualify with an 18-cent move. The fact that the more popular team (the opponent) moved over 20 cents is irrelevant.

That makes Tampa Bay Lightening a play then right?

Thanks again for the help!

[LT Profits]

That makes Tampa Bay Lightening a play then right?

Thanks again for the help!

Well I see exactly 10 cent move on TB (+195 to +185 at Pinny), so I would want one more cent.

[FreeFall]

Well I see exactly 10 cent move on TB (+195 to +185 at Pinny), so I would want one more cent.

Thanks a lot LT. This also helps prepare me for MLB. You have been the most helpful person here with sharing knowledge and insight.

[yisman]

do you mean exactly 19 cents?

[Capybara]

Hey Guys, look what's back -- the RLM thread!! Some will surely be delighted, others annoyed.

Anyway, I wanted to summon the old RLM braintrust to discuss baseball... MLB wasn't going on when we started this discussion I think, so I wanted people's thoughts on how useful it is for MLB, and how to best use it.

Let's hear from y'all... LT, others, step to the plate... Thanks.

-Capy

[yisman]

never used it. I'm sure LT does, though!

[dmolition]

Been tracking RLM but its not doing so hot this first 3 weeks of MLB, mostly dog plays and visitors so that maybe why (eg OAKLAND against NYY is one case). Would like to hear anyone else experience trying it on MLB so far.

[xyzky]

Is anybody having any luck with it during this baseball season?

[mathdotcom]

Why don't you guys just pick winners?

[yisman]

huge movement on Cheats/Jets:

09/13 20:11 -6½ +100 / +6½ -108
09/13 20:27 -6½ -104 / +6½ -104
09/14 00:11 -6½ +100 / +6½ -108
09/14 00:36 -6½ +107 / +6½ -116
09/14 09:20 -6 +102 / +6 -110
09/15 07:02 -5 -104 / +5 -104
09/15 15:26 -5 -102 / +5 -106
09/15 16:45 -5 +103 / +5 -111
09/15 16:55 -4 +102 / +4 -110
09/15 17:00 -4 +100 / +4 -108
09/15 17:30 -4 +102 / +4 -110
09/15 17:45 -4 -102 / +4 -106
09/15 17:50 -4 +104 / +4 -113
09/15 20:56 -3½ +100 / +3½ -108
09/15 22:16 -3½ -102 / +3½ -106
09/17 10:46 -3½ -104 / +3½ -104
09/17 12:26 -3½ +102 / +3½ -110
09/17 13:11 -3½ +106 / +3½ -115
09/17 13:41 -3½ +104 / +3½ -113
09/17 14:01 -3½ +106 / +3½ -115

[Robust]

biggest movers i see on bettracker:

bets - Team - Percent - Line Open - Line Now
6576 - NYJ - 28% - +6.5 - +3.5
8490 - SF - 33% +1 - -1

RLM moves.. not yet good enough to bet on.. though they are more than 1 point moves the WRONG way (hence rlm), they don't have the required 10,000 bets minimum to take a shot.. there are other RLMs, but have 1/2 point moves as of now (and some have OVER 10,000 bets.. fyi)

just keep them in mind people..

Robust

[Robust]

huge movement on Cheats/Jets:

09/13 20:11 -6½ +100 / +6½ -108
09/13 20:27 -6½ -104 / +6½ -104
09/14 00:11 -6½ +100 / +6½ -108
09/14 00:36 -6½ +107 / +6½ -116
09/14 09:20 -6 +102 / +6 -110
09/15 07:02 -5 -104 / +5 -104
09/15 15:26 -5 -102 / +5 -106
09/15 16:45 -5 +103 / +5 -111
09/15 16:55 -4 +102 / +4 -110
09/15 17:00 -4 +100 / +4 -108
09/15 17:30 -4 +102 / +4 -110
09/15 17:45 -4 -102 / +4 -106
09/15 17:50 -4 +104 / +4 -113
09/15 20:56 -3½ +100 / +3½ -108
09/15 22:16 -3½ -102 / +3½ -106
09/17 10:46 -3½ -104 / +3½ -104
09/17 12:26 -3½ +102 / +3½ -110
09/17 13:11 -3½ +106 / +3½ -115
09/17 13:41 -3½ +104 / +3½ -113
09/17 14:01 -3½ +106 / +3½ -115

seems it is headed toward the +3.. -115 at 3.5 should get hit hard.. I am guessing it is a good time to take a small shot on this, before the +3.. whatcha think?

oh.. and thanks for finding this thread bro.. but DeluxeLiner started a fresh one for this season.. though having both is prolly better.. one for the plays.,.. one for the ????'s..

Robust

[yisman]

seems good to stick to this one.

It's huge movement, even though it doesn't meet the threshold. Clear RLM.

[Robust]

for new readers..

i used to point out lines from sports dot com here.. since then, they have changed the way they post the lines to HIDE rlm.. obviously, they have people reading here and adjusted to fvck as many newbies as possible..

goto two minute warning (all one word)
dot
com
/
bettracker.htm

(board is *** out the link.. retry.. guess sbrodds is preffered )

to see the line moves, and screw sports dot ***!

Robust

[Robust]

since sbr works hard to maintain their sbrodds page, i decided to give ya an example on how to search for RLM using them..

in the pic, the circled parts are where the line started, what percent of bets were placed, and where the line is now.. clear rlm.. just a bit more confusing to me than bet tracker (games are packed together and hard to stay on the same line for me).. but easily figured out with some concentration..

Robust

[GiveMeaBJ]

You guys need to get a line service. The percentages on sites like covers and sbr are just so unreliable.

[losturmarbles]

huge movement on Cheats/Jets:

09/13 20:11 -6½ +100 / +6½ -108
09/13 20:27 -6½ -104 / +6½ -104
09/14 00:11 -6½ +100 / +6½ -108
09/14 00:36 -6½ +107 / +6½ -116
09/14 09:20 -6 +102 / +6 -110
09/15 07:02 -5 -104 / +5 -104
09/15 15:26 -5 -102 / +5 -106
09/15 16:45 -5 +103 / +5 -111
09/15 16:55 -4 +102 / +4 -110
09/15 17:00 -4 +100 / +4 -108
09/15 17:30 -4 +102 / +4 -110
09/15 17:45 -4 -102 / +4 -106
09/15 17:50 -4 +104 / +4 -113
09/15 20:56 -3½ +100 / +3½ -108
09/15 22:16 -3½ -102 / +3½ -106
09/17 10:46 -3½ -104 / +3½ -104
09/17 12:26 -3½ +102 / +3½ -110
09/17 13:11 -3½ +106 / +3½ -115
09/17 13:41 -3½ +104 / +3½ -113
09/17 14:01 -3½ +106 / +3½ -115

line was adjusted a point because of the pats performance monday night.

line has moved since then but you should really look at it in 2 different timelines,

before mnf
09/13 20:11 -6½ +100 / +6½ -108
09/13 20:27 -6½ -104 / +6½ -104
09/14 00:11 -6½ +100 / +6½ -108
09/14 00:36 -6½ +107 / +6½ -116
09/14 09:20 -6 +102 / +6 -110

and after mnf
09/15 07:02 -5 -104 / +5 -104
09/15 15:26 -5 -102 / +5 -106
09/15 16:45 -5 +103 / +5 -111
09/15 16:55 -4 +102 / +4 -110
09/15 17:00 -4 +100 / +4 -108
09/15 17:30 -4 +102 / +4 -110
09/15 17:45 -4 -102 / +4 -106
09/15 17:50 -4 +104 / +4 -113
09/15 20:56 -3½ +100 / +3½ -108
09/15 22:16 -3½ -102 / +3½ -106
09/17 10:46 -3½ -104 / +3½ -104
09/17 12:26 -3½ +102 / +3½ -110
09/17 13:11 -3½ +106 / +3½ -115
09/17 13:41 -3½ +104 / +3½ -113
09/17 14:01 -3½ +106 / +3½ -115

that being said the original expectation before mnf was new england winning by a td. and they probably will.
sharp bettors already bet jets+6.5 and will bet pats -2.5 if the market reaches 3. it won't get any lower than 3.

if you wanting to bet the jets, wait until sunday you should be able to get them at +4.5 at least.

[yisman]

I agree. I'd expect the line to head back up after bottoming out.

[ctu3308]

what book does bettracker use for the the lines?

[Robust]

bumped this for people still wondering how RLM works.. read the WHOLE thing.. some very good info in this thread..

Robust

[Robust]

bump again..

READ PEOPLE!!

Robust

[DeluxeLiner]

good times friend