When the spread doesn't move, follow the money

[smitch124]

ok McRich I though you were gonna stop posting at 100

[apk2k6]

He hasn't hit 100 plays yet. This works well in NHL as well McRich, I wonder how it will do in MLB......

[McRich]

He hasn't hit 100 plays yet. This works well in NHL as well McRich, I wonder how it will do in MLB......

I need to start and track NHL. LT Profits will probably have some RLM baseball info.

[spmurph]

I love the Seahawks. Down to 3 1/2 now. Even when the line didn't move in reverse I liked them. They play good at home and the Jets play like crap on the West Coast.

Just don't know about the Ravens. RLM strategy says go with it, but Dallas has just been so good lately and Baltimore looks like they are on their way down. I think they have been over achieving all year.

Also, McRich, I think you'd do a lot better if you stick to 1+ RLM moves in the NFL.

[smitch124]

MLB in 2008:

From LT's article:

MLB 2008 518 600 0 46.3% 131.98

[FreeFall]

I've been trying NHL. Not sure if I'm doing it right. All my plays on my spreadsheet.

[McRich]

I love the Seahawks. Down to 3 1/2 now. Even when the line didn't move in reverse I liked them. They play good at home and the Jets play like crap on the West Coast.

Just don't know about the Ravens. RLM strategy says go with it, but Dallas has just been so good lately and Baltimore looks like they are on their way down. I think they have been over achieving all year.

Also, McRich, I think you'd do a lot better if you stick to 1+ RLM moves in the NFL.

I think most of my RLM plays have been one point moves. Overall, with or without RLM, I find the NFL very difficult to cap.

[McRich]

MLB in 2008:

From LT's article:

MLB 2008 518 600 0 46.3% 131.98

The unit profit for MLB looks great to me.

[apk2k6]

The unit profit for MLB looks great to me.

Ya I saw the % and almost decided not to do it, then I saw the units. Must be a lot of dogs played.

[FreeFall]

This looks weird but are the detroit red wings a play at -309

[spmurph]

I think most of my RLM plays have been one point moves. Overall, with or without RLM, I find the NFL very difficult to cap.

I'd be interested to see what your NFL record looks like when you take out the .5 point RLM plays. I'm too lazy to tear apart this thread..

So for the rest of this week, the only NFL plays you are taking are BAL and SEA, right?

[Capybara]

Wofford +11.5 (or 12 on SIA) looks like an RLM play... you boys concur?

[Capybara]

I'm on Wofford +12 and Columbia +15 for some Saturday-afternoon college hoops RLM action!

[McRich]

I'd be interested to see what your NFL record looks like when you take out the .5 point RLM plays. I'm too lazy to tear apart this thread..

So for the rest of this week, the only NFL plays you are taking are BAL and SEA, right?

Yes, the only two plays in the NFL for me right now are Ravens and Seahawks.

[apk2k6]

This looks weird but are the detroit red wings a play at -309

No, 74% of the bets are on the Red Wings. Dallas Stars are a play though.

[Capybara]

2-0 in college hoops RLM so far today! Going for three with BYU +3.5!

[McRich]

2-0 in college hoops RLM so far today! Going for three with BYU +3.5!

Way to go Capybara!!! I was out earlier today and couldn't hit those games.

[McRich]

I am wagering on Northwestern +5 and Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 for RLM plays.

[smitch124]

2-0 in college hoops RLM so far today! Going for three with BYU +3.5!

Very nice Capy!

[FreeFall]

No, 74% of the bets are on the Red Wings. Dallas Stars are a play though.

ya I had the stars earlier, but if you look now they aren't a play. That still means its RLM though right.

[yisman]

I'm on BYU +3.5 as well

[McRich]

THE END OF THE 100 RLM EXPERIMENT.

Went 1-2 in RLM plays on Sat. 0-1 in NBA, 0-1 in NCAABB, and 1-0 in NFL.

Overall record is 56-40-4.

The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport:

NBA 21-13-1
NCAABB 23-17-2
NCAAF 7-5-1
NFL 5-5

So after 100 posted wagers using RLM I have come to the conclusion that me and my bankroll like using this angle.

In the big picture this is a small sampling, but it does show profits in three out of the four sports that I wagered on. A 58% win rate overall.

I will not post all my RLM wagers here. I would like to continue to discuss RLM angles with the other active posters that have been participating in this thread.

I will be keeping track of my RLM plays myself and I will update the stats here in this thread every 25 plays.

Let's keep cashing!!!

[Chi_archie]

good stuff mcrich.... get back to us after 1000 games..

[Capybara]

Fantastic Sunday for RLM!! Who else took advantage?

I went 4-0 with Rams, Seahawks, Bills, and Clemson!!!!

[McRich]

Fantastic Sunday for RLM!! Who else took advantage?

I went 4-0 with Rams, Seahawks, Bills, and Clemson!!!!

I had the same games as you did plus a loss on the Knicks. 4-1 for the day.

[apk2k6]

The bills were only a half point move, how are you guys doing on those?

[McRich]

The bills were only a half point move, how are you guys doing on those?

I have not wagered on a lot a half point moves. The reason I wagered on the Bills was the half point move and the fact that I think Denver is a team that chokes a lot. So generally, the half point move in the NFL will not be a RLM play for me.

[hhsilver]

If it makes sense to play a 1 pt rlm game when the % is 60-40, to me, it seems logical that a 0 pt move should also be a play if the % is 80-20 or maybe even 70-30. Looks like the same reasoning applies to both cases.

I'm curious to hear your thoughts.

good thread, guys

[McRich]

If it makes sense to play a 1 pt rlm game when the % is 60-40, to me, it seems logical that a 0 pt move should also be a play if the % is 80-20 or maybe even 70-30. Looks like the same reasoning applies to both cases.

I'm curious to hear your thoughts.

good thread, guys

If you look at the beginning of this thread, I think LT Profits writes about the scenario you are suggesting.

[apk2k6]

If you look at the beginning of this thread, I think LT Profits writes about the scenario you are suggesting.

What do you guys think about the Packers? It opened at -6 at bookmaker and is now -4 for the bears, with 69% of the bets on them. However, the line is only a half point move at just about every other book. (Opened at -4.5 at a lot of places)

[yisman]

doesn't look like a RLM play.

[McRich]

What do you guys think about the Packers? It opened at -6 at bookmaker and is now -4 for the bears, with 69% of the bets on them. However, the line is only a half point move at just about every other book. (Opened at -4.5 at a lot of places)

I think the Packers is worthy of small play. I am wagering a 1/2 unit on the Packers.

[FreeFall]

I won't play it. But there are three or four ncaab plays.

[apk2k6]

I won't play it. But there are three or four ncaab plays.

Here's what I have so far for NCAAB:


NC State +1
East Carolina +9
Cornell +9
Long Beach State +5.5

Leans(needs more bets)

New Orleans U +2.5
Middle Tenn St +3.5
Fresno State +12

[FreeFall]

Here's what I have so far for NCAAB:


NC State +1
East Carolina +9
Cornell +9
Long Beach State +5.5

Leans(needs more bets)

New Orleans U +2.5
Middle Tenn St +3.5
Fresno State +12

I got all your top ones, but lost a point on NC to pk and cornell to +8.5. Good work