When the spread doesn't move, follow the money

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  • McRich
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-26-07
    • 961

    #316
    Originally posted by yisman
    Dude, are you for real? RIF.

    1)I didn't say the guy was stupid. I said it was a stupid post. It was the first post of his that I've read.

    2)Where did I say that I base my picks completely on RLM? I just stated a fact; that one will make money if he follows RLM closely and makes plays based off of that. Maybe 5% of my plays have anything to do with line movement. I don't follow it nearly as closely as LT Profits. However, I have seen the evidence, and it is convincing. Using RLM will make you money. Of course, true RLM games are not that common and a big key is actually beating the line, which isn't that easy.

    I use RLM right now like Yisman explains above. 5-10% of my play are RLM right now. RLM has helped me see some games with a different perspective. I have had a habit of betting the favorites a lot. The RLM has let me "see" some games from the other side. It has helped me become a better capper. I am using the RLM as another tool to cap.
    Comment
    • McRich
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-26-07
      • 961

      #317
      I am on Kent St. +2.5 for a RLM play for one unit.
      Comment
      • Robust
        SBR MVP
        • 09-13-08
        • 3254

        #318
        so am i .. at +3!

        as part of a parlay..

        Robust
        Comment
        • McRich
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-26-07
          • 961

          #319
          Went 2-1 on the RLM today.
          Winner Pacers -3 NBA
          Loser Kent St. +2.5 in college football
          Winner Richmond +16.5 college bball - I was not able to post this play here, but I did play it.

          2-1 RLM so far. We shall see how this plays out for me.
          Comment
          • patsfan2727
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-28-07
            • 579

            #320
            go pacers!
            I owe McRich and yisman an essay of 10 pages on how I will play RLM in the future.
            Comment
            • Robust
              SBR MVP
              • 09-13-08
              • 3254

              #321
              Originally posted by patsfan2727
              go pacers!
              I owe McRich and yisman an essay of 10 pages on how I will play RLM in the future.
              LMAO!!

              I am glad you got some to hit bro.. best of luck in the future..

              Robust
              Comment
              • McRich
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-26-07
                • 961

                #322
                Here are a couple of RLM wagers this evening.

                Wizards -7 and Niagra +16.5
                Comment
                • smitch124
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-19-08
                  • 12566

                  #323
                  No Spurs?
                  Comment
                  • McRich
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-26-07
                    • 961

                    #324
                    Originally posted by smitch124
                    No Spurs?
                    Not yet, I am waiting for a number of bets to hit the game before I jump on it. But I will probably be playing the Spurs.
                    Comment
                    • McRich
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-26-07
                      • 961

                      #325
                      Adding Spurs pick 'em for RLM one unit.
                      Comment
                      • McRich
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-26-07
                        • 961

                        #326
                        Went 2-1 on the RLM today.

                        4-2 RLM so far.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #327
                          McRich is an excelllent student.
                          Comment
                          • McRich
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-26-07
                            • 961

                            #328
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            McRich is an excelllent student.
                            And LT is the professor!!!
                            Comment
                            • McRich
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-26-07
                              • 961

                              #329
                              Now the next step in my education from LT is how to cap hockey. According to LT, "If you don't bet Hockey, you must not like money!". Well, I don't bet hockey, but I love money!!!
                              Comment
                              • McRich
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-26-07
                                • 961

                                #330
                                The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:
                                NBA 2-1
                                NCABB 2-0
                                NCAAF 0-1
                                Comment
                                • McRich
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-26-07
                                  • 961

                                  #331
                                  I placed a RLM wager on the Dolphins pick 'em.
                                  Comment
                                  • patsfan2727
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-28-07
                                    • 579

                                    #332
                                    "when the spread moves follow the money" this strategy seems stronger than the RLM strategy. am i right about this? also, it seems many more games apply to the first strategy than RLM. last night the line didn't move but BSU +7 was even and CMU +7 was down to -125 at one point. CMU +7 didn't win , but it was winning all game till it pushed...
                                    Comment
                                    • smitch124
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 05-19-08
                                      • 12566

                                      #333
                                      Originally posted by McRich
                                      I placed a RLM wager on the Dolphins pick 'em.
                                      I'm showing 86% NE and 14 % Mia and Mia going from -2.5 to -1.

                                      Thats movement in the direction of the # of bets.

                                      Are you seeing different numbers McRich?
                                      Comment
                                      • roasthawg
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-09-07
                                        • 2990

                                        #334
                                        The Cards are the huge rlm this week.
                                        Comment
                                        • yisman
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-01-08
                                          • 75682

                                          #335
                                          I'm going in on the Cards anyway, so sounds good to me!
                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                          [/quote]

                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                          Comment
                                          • McRich
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-26-07
                                            • 961

                                            #336
                                            I am going with a RLM wager on the Wolverines +8.5 for this thread. I actually went ahead and placed and earlier wager for the Wolverines +11 before the proper circumstances were in place for the RLM. I will use the +8.5 for my example though.

                                            I have been busy today, so this is my only play today.
                                            Comment
                                            • McRich
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-26-07
                                              • 961

                                              #337
                                              Originally posted by smitch124
                                              I'm showing 86% NE and 14 % Mia and Mia going from -2.5 to -1.

                                              Thats movement in the direction of the # of bets.

                                              Are you seeing different numbers McRich?
                                              Yes, you are correct. I did not read this line correctly. My mistake. I will toss this game out (except for my real wager - lol - oops). I am still learning this RLM. It may cost me with my stupid reads, so keep me in check if you see an error.
                                              Comment
                                              • McRich
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-26-07
                                                • 961

                                                #338
                                                I had one RLM play today. Wolverines +8.5 in basketball. Winner.
                                                Overall record is 5-2.


                                                The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:
                                                NBA 2-1
                                                NCABB 3-0
                                                NCAAF 0-1
                                                Comment
                                                • jon13009
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-22-07
                                                  • 1258

                                                  #339
                                                  Here is another free RLM tracker - an informal survey though:



                                                  Seems last week was a bit rough for RLMs in the NCAA and NFL:

                                                  Comment
                                                  • McRich
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-26-07
                                                    • 961

                                                    #340
                                                    Originally posted by jon13009
                                                    Here is another free RLM tracker - an informal survey though:



                                                    Seems last week was a bit rough for RLMs in the NCAA and NFL:

                                                    http://www.nflindex.com/rlm11.html
                                                    Thanks for the info. I only see NCAAF and NFL. I am using RLM on NCAAB and NBA also. I hope the overall RLM on all these sports helps me.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • joe blow
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 05-09-06
                                                      • 775

                                                      #341
                                                      Originally posted by yisman
                                                      57% isn't significant enough anyway.
                                                      u hitting over 57% yisman?
                                                      I would love to sign up for 57% for the rest of my life!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • yisman
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-01-08
                                                        • 75682

                                                        #342
                                                        57% of the people betting isn't a significant enough number.

                                                        Not 57% correct picks.
                                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                        [/quote]

                                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #343
                                                          yisman is right, majority must be at least 60% for RLM to take effect.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • louisvillekid
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-14-07
                                                            • 9268

                                                            #344
                                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                            yisman is right, majority must be at least 60% for RLM to take effect.
                                                            hey LT, i know you addressed this before about the ML % not factoring in as much cause not as many people play ML's, but my question is do you pay for any of those services that show bets and %'s, i just sign up and get whatever free stuff they list.
                                                            what i'm curious about is say SI shows a total of 8342 bets for the books they monitor, for me, i'll see say 74% on team A for the spread and 26% on team B, but i'll also see 92% on team A ML and 8% on team B ML, out of those 8342 bets i don't know if just 280 are ML plays and the rest are for the spread, plus they also could be part of exotic bets also.

                                                            so if i pay for the premium service from places such as SI, will they break down the number of bets for spread,ML,exotics and such?

                                                            and i don't know if any of this made sense, but anyway just curious.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • McRich
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-26-07
                                                              • 961

                                                              #345
                                                              I have been busy today. I couldn't post earlier. Here are a couple of RLM wagers. NCAAF-Buffalo -4 and NBA Bulls +3.5

                                                              I posted the wrong football team wager. I wagered Bowling Green +4, not Buffalo -4. This is a loss.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • McRich
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-26-07
                                                                • 961

                                                                #346
                                                                I am on Oklahoma -7 for an RLM wager.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • McRich
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-26-07
                                                                  • 961

                                                                  #347
                                                                  I had two RLM plays on 11/21. NCAAF Bowling Green -4(loss) and NBA Bulls +3.5(win).

                                                                  Overall record is 6-3.

                                                                  The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

                                                                  NBA 3-1
                                                                  NCAABB 3-0
                                                                  NCAAF 0-2
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • l7ustin
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-09-08
                                                                    • 3914

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Thanks Rich
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LT Profits
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                                      • 90963

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Originally posted by McRich
                                                                      I am on Oklahoma -7 for an RLM wager.
                                                                      Check out Cincinnati and Indiana too. Probably missed the boat on Cincy though, they should have been played at -5.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • McRich
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-26-07
                                                                        • 961

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                        Check out Cincinnati and Indiana too. Probably missed the boat on Cincy though, they should have been played at -5.
                                                                        Yeah, I am on Cincy -5.5 and Indiana +11.
                                                                        Comment
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