When the spread doesn't move, follow the money

[McRich]

well just for tracking purposes the Canucks were a play at about +150

Go ahead and post the plays here ahead of time.

[Capybara]

Halftime of OK/Orlando... should I jump onto OK, they're +6.5, so essentially +12.5 for the game?

[Robust]

Halftime of OK/Orlando... should I jump onto OK, they're +6.5, so essentially +12.5 for the game?

i would go for it!

but follow your own thoughts bro..

Robust

[McRich]

Halftime of OK/Orlando... should I jump onto OK, they're +6.5, so essentially +12.5 for the game?

I have not been placing half time RLM wagers.

[Capybara]

Congrats on Okie, Boys! (I went in at halftime.)

Now let's go, Sixers!

[McRich]

Congrats on Okie, Boys! (I went in at halftime.)

Now let's go, Sixers!

Good halftime play. Now the crucial second win of the night.

[Robust]

congrats on a 3-0 night capybara.. and 2-0 for you mcrich...

but of course, this is just an unexplainable event as RLM is bogus..

LOL

Robust

[Capybara]

Cha-ching!! A 2-0 RLM night!

[Robust]

Cha-ching!! A 2-0 RLM night!

oh.. thought you had ok at the beggining.. oh well.. money is money

CONGRATS!!!

Robust

[Capybara]

congrats on a 3-0 night capybara.. and 2-0 for you mcrich...

but of course, this is just an unexplainable event as RLM is bogus..

LOL

Robust

Yeah, Robust, LOL!

(How'd you know I went 3-0? I had the Celts too in a non-RLM'er... and speaking of that, here's a new strategy that's paying dividends. It's called bet the Celtics EVERY. SINGLE. GAME. )

[McRich]

Went 2-0 in RLM tonight. 2-0 in NBA.

Overall record is 35-25-2.

The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

NBA 13-8
NCAABB 14-9-1
NCAAF 5-5-1
NFL 3-3

[McRich]

congrats on a 3-0 night capybara.. and 2-0 for you mcrich...

but of course, this is just an unexplainable event as RLM is bogus..

LOL

Robust

Congrats to the both of you also. Let's see if we can get some RLM wins this weekend.

[apk2k6]

Went 2-0 in RLM tonight. 2-0 in NBA.

Overall record is 35-25-2.

The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

NBA 13-8
NCAABB 14-9-1
NCAAF 5-5-1
NFL 3-3

58% over 60 games, I like! And it's so easy too.

[Robust]

58% over 60 games, I like! And it's so easy too.

i dunno where you got your numers.. this is ALL BULLSHIT.. or some have posted.. LOL

wonder if they will chime in on a 3-0 night and say it was a big discrepancy..

LOL!!!

Robust

[I.R.B]

CBB RLM is doing pretty good.

[McRich]

58% over 60 games, I like! And it's so easy too.

I am not complaining.

[McRich]

CBB RLM is doing pretty good.

You are right. I am hoping to find some gems today!!!

[I.R.B]

But knowing the team helps out alot.

[I.R.B]

Betting on a team you never heard of or with out a little research is retarted.

[spmurph]

Surprised no one has mentioned the Eagles this Sunday. 2 point RLM

More bets are in on the Giants and yet another 1/2 point RLM. 2 1/2 total now. I don't think I've seen a 2 1/2 point RLM in the NFL all season.

[McRich]

More bets are in on the Giants and yet another 1/2 point RLM. 2 1/2 total now. I don't think I've seen a 2 1/2 point RLM in the NFL all season.

I agree, that is a big movement. I have had a hard time finding a one point movement the last few weeks in the NFL.

[LT Profits]

More bets are in on the Giants and yet another 1/2 point RLM. 2 1/2 total now. I don't think I've seen a 2 1/2 point RLM in the NFL all season.

I wouldn't be too happy about that unless you jumped on Eagles +7.5. Waiting TOO long causes the dog to lose value.

People that wait until game day are now in a position where if the Giants win by 7 (a key number), they lose at +6.5 while the RLM should be graded as a win, since grading should be based on when bet is placed.

[I.R.B]

Lt what did West Virgina close at the other night in CBB? If you recall... I think they opened at +1 and closed at -2.5.. Late grabers got scrwed with a .6 point loss.. if im correct about it closing at -2.5..

[LT Profits]

Lt what did West Virgina close at the other night in CBB? If you recall... I think they opened at +1 and closed at -2.5.. Late grabers got scrwed with a .6 point loss.. if im correct about it closing at -2.5..

Correct.

West Virginia 80 - Mississippi 78 12/3/2008 NSS 561
Opening Line: MISSISSIPPI -1 Opening O/U: 140.5o-105
Final Line: WEST VIRGINIA -2.5 Final O/U: 145

Spread Bets: 70% V 30% H Parlay Bets: 77% V 23% H Over/Under Bets: 45% O 55% U

[LT Profits]

But that was not an RLM since move matched the money

[patsfan2727]

I love how you post Canucks play at like 8:45 pm then stroke each other off after it wins. I'll make my BC/VTech play at the end of the 3rd quarter today!

[McRich]

I wouldn't be too happy about that unless you jumped on Eagles +7.5. Waiting TOO long causes the dog to lose value.

People that wait until game day are now in a position where if the Giants win by 7 (a key number), they lose at +6.5 while the RLM should be graded as a win, since grading should be based on when bet is placed.

I got the Eagles at +7 a couple of days ago. I am trying to get the best value. The other day in an NCAABB game I played a game using RLM and my local did not have an adjusted line and I received two more points in my favor. That is what I call value. The underdog I had won outright though.

[patsfan2727]

RLM went 3-0 last night woohoo!
so if it goes 0-4, I can't judge a system based on one night.
but if it goes 3-0 it is a rock solid system?
you guys crack me up. that's really not a strong argument.
still 3-4 over the last 2 days. robust do you ever log off SBR?
loser. just found the BLOCK feature, what a sweet tool!

[LT Profits]

RLM went 3-0 last night woohoo!
so if it goes 0-4, I can't judge a system based on one night.
but if it goes 3-0 it is a rock solid system?
you guys crack me up. that's really not a strong argument.
still 3-4 over the last 2 days. robust do you ever log off SBR?
loser. just found the BLOCK feature, what a sweet tool!

No, the system is based on long-term results, just as any angle should be.

It has won in every sport the last two seasons and is winning this year.

[McRich]

I am on NC State +8 for an RLM wager.

[McRich]

East Carolina +12.5 in NCAAF for an RLM play.

[McRich]

Virginia Tech in NCAAF pick 'em for RLM.

[losturmarbles]

mcrich, can we chill out with all the rlm plays?

im not saying to stop posting picks, but my thoughts are the more people that are aware of rlm, the less impact it will actually have or occur.
you will just have steam on a side, and line makers will account more for sharps than they do the squares. which will lead to sharper opening lines.
you have rlm because the line maker over estimated the public money. (or underestimated the sharp money)

if the public becomes aware then you are killing the golden goose.

please just post your pick and if anyone asks say you have a system and leave it at that.

[McRich]

mcrich, can we chill out with all the rlm plays?

im not saying to stop posting picks, but my thoughts are the more people that are aware of rlm, the less impact it will actually have or occur.
you will just have steam on a side, and line makers will account more for sharps than they do the squares. which will lead to sharper opening lines.
you have rlm because the line maker over estimated the public money. (or underestimated the sharp money)

if the public becomes aware then you are killing the golden goose.

please just post your pick and if anyone asks say you have a system and leave it at that.

Dude, do you really think that my posts are going to impact Vegas? Yeah right.

I am trying to live this experience here on this message board.
For all I know, this could turn ugly. I am enjoying this, let me be.

This system is not mine. It was posted by LT on the SBR home page as an article. I had a hard time understanding the process and LT and others really helped my looked at this angle.

There are all kinds of angles that are discussed on this site and many more.

[Bake]

I would disagree with you lost. First, there are only 15,000 people on this board, who knows how many of them actually follow SBR on a regular basis. Millions of people participate in sports capping (and that is generous, probably in the 10's of millions). Even if every member of SBR, and even outsiders who aren't registered, know about RLM it would still be largely unaffected. I would venture a guess that most bettors are not going to take the time to nail down a system of their own (which may or may not even consider RLM) and therefore RLM will remain esoteric.

To be sure, I would look at RLM trends past, present, and future. If more and more individuals are playing RLM, we should expect to see larger discrepencies open to close. If you see large changes, past to present, then maybe you should draw concern. Until then, I am sticking with my theory.

The whole point of this board, after all, is to get insights that other cappers, fans, etc. have that you might not have. Prohibiting certain topics is undermining what this board is all about. After all, this isn't communist China!