Horse Racing questions and answers

[batt33]

by army mule ..friday oak R7 #2 airborne elite (15-1) @ 4:56

imo one of the most interesting AM pp's we've looked at..one thing sticks out right away which you'll see immediately but I see a few others besides ..come back more to it later or tomorrow





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Just sat down to look and noticed he was scratched.

[JBEX]

by army mule ..friday oak R7 #2 airborne elite (15-1) @ 4:56

imo one of the most interesting AM pp's we've looked at..one thing sticks out right away which you'll see immediately but I see a few others besides ..come back more to it later or tomorrow





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would have quote boxed you also batt

" Thanks! hopefully I will have time to delve a litter deeper! "

but still can't do multiples


popular at the claim box ..last 3 and 1 other time in only 8 starts..even effort in debut as a 3yo fine and I think the slow break from the rail/even effort (towards the back) vs the tough msw turf sprint at churchill set him up nice for the dominant mcl win at kee in start 3 .. then close to the front at quarter, falls back and comes again in the stretch to finish 3rd

off for almost a year .. can understand the winter but guess must have been some issue(s) ? starting at 2nd layoff all good efforts..close 3rd,2nd and slow start troubled trip in his last .. still ran a respectable mid- pack race in spite of this

this is a talented, lightly raced horse who is in the hands of a very solid trainer and don't think he's overmatched here .. under the race conditions he's not up for sale and off his dominant performance at kee last year think there's a good chance he'll be running there in his next start
..that meet opens 2 weeks from today

[batt33]

Hope this comes through...
Louisiana Derby Video Preview

https://cdnb-media.myracehorse.com/blog/video/LouisianaDerbyRacePreview_1742486227080/MP4/LouisianaDerbyRacePreview_1742486227080.mp4

Nick Hines, Joe Moran and Brian DiDonato sat down earlier this week to take a closer look at Saturday’s G2 Louisiana Derby. They discuss Caldera in depth, plus go through the rest of the field horse by horse.

[batt33]

Isle Blue Update



Isle Blue received the green light to start back up in training at Two Springs in Ocala after receiving 60 days from her surgery. She is in her first week of jogging and hopefully it will be smooth sailing from here on out for your daughter of Speightstown.

[batt33]

some updates on my other horses... boy I sure do miss early training hours watching horses grow up STR.....
Munny Problem Update



Munny Problem continues to progress in his training at Wavertree Stables and is expected to breeze in the coming days. We had the opportunity to check in on your colt this past week while in Ocala for the OBS March sale. He’s a big, strong colt that carries plenty of flesh, which is common for offspring of Munnings. With additional training, he should continue to shape up physically.

We will hopefully have video of his breeze this week and will follow up with that content later this week.

https://cdnb-media.myracehorse.com/blog/video/MyMovie178_1742508155914/MP4/MyMovie178_1742508155914.mp4

[batt33]

by army mule ..friday oak R7 #2 airborne elite (15-1) @ 4:56

imo one of the most interesting AM pp's we've looked at..one thing sticks out right away which you'll see immediately but I see a few others besides ..come back more to it later or tomorrow





.

Thanks! hopefully I will have time to delve a litter deeper!

[JBEX]

by army mule ..friday oak R7 #2 airborne elite (15-1) @ 4:56

imo one of the most interesting AM pp's we've looked at..one thing sticks out right away which you'll see immediately but I see a few others besides ..come back more to it later or tomorrow





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[batt33]

yup..well one of the advantages of following is you look at things more closely afterwards ..what's interesting about a sire at AM stage (which I've never done before) is you'll get a wide sampling of runners but at the same time not enough to be an overwhelming task to keep track of ..this sire's offspring you'll always give at minimum a few shots to see if the horse is a runner

For sure!

[JBEX]

I agree , By just looking at the charts you would have thought he ran even
around the track.

yup..well one of the advantages of following is you look at things more closely afterwards ..what's interesting about a sire at AM stage is you'll get a wide sampling of runners but at the same time not enough to be an overwhelming task to keep track of ..this sire's offspring you'll always give at minimum a few shots to see if the horse is a runner

[batt33]

maybe from a betting perspective this is actually a good thing .. we like the sire so displaying a trace of potential in debut is enough to stay interested for at least a few more starts

I agree , By just looking at the charts you would have thought he ran even
around the track.

[JBEX]

so there were some signs of life and of course must factor in the break..I liked the speed pedigree on the bottom but the trainer isn't good first out and works were not exactly fast .. possibly needed one and a good follow up horse as surely be some value to be had next out



.

maybe from a betting perspective this is actually a good thing .. we like the sire so displaying a trace of potential in debut is enough to stay interested for at least a few more starts

[JBEX]

After missing the start he was making a nice midrace move and took up hard, but still re engaged and just got tired at the end.

I wish I could have seen the head on shot to see what the Jockey was trying to do...

so there were some signs of life and of course must factor in the break..I liked the speed pedigree on the bottom but the trainer isn't good first out and works were not exactly fast .. possibly needed one and a good follow up horse as surely be some value to be had next out



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[batt33]

by army mule..fairgrounds R3 #1 flick (6-1)
@ 2:45

first time starter..
army mule and the dam's sire both speed influences..rail at fairgrounds is very good and a very unexceptional field imo



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After missing the start he was making a nice midrace move and took up hard, but still re engaged and just got tired at the end.

I wish I could have seen the head on shot to see what the Jockey was trying to do...

[JBEX]

as for the by army mule , california burrito (#3 @ 7-2) in the jeff ruby stakes at turfway on saturday (their final derby prep race) I have no opinion and will just be rooting..be really nice to have one running in the ky derby for the first time..even a 3rd place finish would probably give him enough points but in that scenario might depend on the type of race he runs




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[batt33]

by army mule..fairgrounds R3 #1 flick (6-1)
@ 2:45

first time starter..
army mule and the dam's sire both speed influences..rail at fairgrounds is very good and a very unexceptional field imo



.

will take a look!

[JBEX]

by army mule..fairgrounds R3 #1 flick (6-1)
@ 2:45

first time starter..
army mule and the dam's sire both speed influences..rail at fairgrounds is very good and a very unexceptional field imo



.

[JBEX]

Figuring how to add multiple quotes and reply... asked Andy in the "new forum feedback thread"

testing

[JBEX]

Figuring how to add multiple quotes and reply... asked Andy in the "new forum feedback thread"

you did better than me.. I read the instructions and still can't figure it out ..have to work on it

[batt33]

I like his chances here batt..hopefully birdie rose and take shape hook up and you sit a nice trip .. the way he ran in that sprint 2 back is a nice set up for stretching out imo so I give that one extra credit vs just needing a race off the layoff ..love the sire/ dam sire combo for artificial because both of them can get a really good horse on turf or dirt

I think she is live in there as well Batt. Agree with getting an honest pace early and allowing her to settle and finish.
I would like to see the 2 AE’s not draw in.

Figuring how to add multiple quotes and reply... asked Andy in the "new forum feedback thread"

[batt33]

I think she is live in there as well Batt. Agree with getting an honest pace early and allowing her to settle and finish.
I would like to see the 2 AE’s not draw in.

[batt33]

I like his chances here batt..hopefully birdie rose and take shape hook up and you sit a nice trip .. the way he ran in that sprint 2 back is a nice set up for stretching out imo so I give that one extra credit vs just needing a race off the layoff ..love the sire/ dam sire combo for artificial because both of them can get a really good horse on turf or dirt

[str]

I think she is live in there as well Batt. Agree with getting an honest pace early and allowing her to settle and finish.
I would like to see the 2 AE’s not draw in.

[JBEX]

More on the competition:


#1 Condone: Makes her 5-year-old debut following a winless 2024 campaign. Finished seventh in her most recent start, which came at the level, while also earning a career-best 74 Beyer figure. Longshot against this group.


#2 Lady of Power: Was a winner against maiden special weight company over the track in her most recent start, earning a 68 Beyer. Couple that with the fact that the barn boasts a 25% win rate at the meet, and she has to be respected in here.

#4 Take Shape: Has been beaten by over 70 combined lengths in her two most recent starts— granted she was likely not 100% as she was sent to the bench after her most recent start in October of last year. This filly does seem to like the Turfway Park surface, having won twice from three starts at the track. Not sure what to make of her, but has to be a positive that she returns here protected (no claiming tag) and world-class rider Frankie Dettori will be in the saddle.


#5 Kara and Colleen: Comes in off a more than six-month break following a one-win 2024 campaign. Her best form came back in 2023. Will be interesting to see how she performs in here, but this is not the easiest spot for this one.


#6 Little Dixie: Comes into this race after almost a year layoff. Both the distance and the competition will be a stiff ask.


#7 Egyptian Candy: The class of this group making her second start off of a layoff. Boasts some back class having faced graded stakes company in the past. Her career high 76 Beyer figure could best this group.


#8 Missy Bee: Has been on the board in her four most recent starts, all of which came in the claiming ranks. Steps up in here and will certainly face a class test, but she is in good form.


#9 Montego Bay: Stretches out to two turns following a fourth at the same level at a sprint distance. Should appreciate the stretch out in ground, but will have to improve in the figures department to compete in this field.


#10 Hold My Halo: Was an 11 1/4-length winner at the $30,000 maiden-claiming level most recently when she was able to walk the dog on the lead. Will not have as easy of a trip given the stiffer competition and the outside post.


#11 Birdie Rose: Has been competitive when facing claiming company, but has tried and failed when facing allowance types on a few occasions. Has a tough post for a horse that likes to be forwardly placed early.


#12 Dream on Stormy: Has been well beaten against first-level allowance company in her four most recent starts, and will likely be a a longshot in here.

I like his chances here batt..hopefully birdie rose and take shape hook up and you sit a nice trip .. the way he ran in that sprint 2 back is a nice set up for stretching out imo so I give that one extra credit vs just needing a race off the layoff ..love the sire/ dam sire combo for artificial because both of them can get a really good horse on turf or dirt

[batt33]

Sweet Voyage Entry Update



Sweet Voyage has been entered to run in the fifth race on Mar. 22 at Turfway Park. She will break from post 3 in a full field with Gabriel Saez in the irons. We will be back with a race preview in the coming days.

More on the competition:


#1 Condone: Makes her 5-year-old debut following a winless 2024 campaign. Finished seventh in her most recent start, which came at the level, while also earning a career-best 74 Beyer figure. Longshot against this group.


#2 Lady of Power: Was a winner against maiden special weight company over the track in her most recent start, earning a 68 Beyer. Couple that with the fact that the barn boasts a 25% win rate at the meet, and she has to be respected in here.

#4 Take Shape: Has been beaten by over 70 combined lengths in her two most recent starts— granted she was likely not 100% as she was sent to the bench after her most recent start in October of last year. This filly does seem to like the Turfway Park surface, having won twice from three starts at the track. Not sure what to make of her, but has to be a positive that she returns here protected (no claiming tag) and world-class rider Frankie Dettori will be in the saddle.


#5 Kara and Colleen: Comes in off a more than six-month break following a one-win 2024 campaign. Her best form came back in 2023. Will be interesting to see how she performs in here, but this is not the easiest spot for this one.


#6 Little Dixie: Comes into this race after almost a year layoff. Both the distance and the competition will be a stiff ask.


#7 Egyptian Candy: The class of this group making her second start off of a layoff. Boasts some back class having faced graded stakes company in the past. Her career high 76 Beyer figure could best this group.


#8 Missy Bee: Has been on the board in her four most recent starts, all of which came in the claiming ranks. Steps up in here and will certainly face a class test, but she is in good form.


#9 Montego Bay: Stretches out to two turns following a fourth at the same level at a sprint distance. Should appreciate the stretch out in ground, but will have to improve in the figures department to compete in this field.


#10 Hold My Halo: Was an 11 1/4-length winner at the $30,000 maiden-claiming level most recently when she was able to walk the dog on the lead. Will not have as easy of a trip given the stiffer competition and the outside post.


#11 Birdie Rose: Has been competitive when facing claiming company, but has tried and failed when facing allowance types on a few occasions. Has a tough post for a horse that likes to be forwardly placed early.


#12 Dream on Stormy: Has been well beaten against first-level allowance company in her four most recent starts, and will likely be a a longshot in here.

[batt33]

louisiana deby
saturday R12 @ 6:42

need yinzer (12-1) or furio ( 12-1) to press john hancock (7-2) ..like caldera's (5-1) chances then with a stalking trip..that tiznow influence on the bottom couldn't hurt with the added distance

my other is built (4-1) ..exits that fast risen star stakes which produced the virginia derby winner american promise (batt had him) .. like his whole body of work besides

I'm going to take a closer look later in the week, But yes it would be nice to have a little speed up front.

[JBEX]

california burrito (by army mule) will be going in turfway's final derby prep ,the jeff ruby stakes on saturday..post is 6:25 which is about 20 minutes before the la derby so lots to root for in that time span .. going to look at this race closer to the weekend



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[JBEX]

louisiana deby
saturday R12 @ 6:42

need yinzer (12-1) or furio ( 12-1) to press john hancock (7-2) ..like caldera's (5-1) chances then with a stalking trip..that tiznow influence on the bottom couldn't hurt with the added distance

my other is built (4-1) ..exits that fast risen star stakes which produced the virginia derby winner american promise (batt had him) .. like his whole body of work besides

[batt33]

Is this 2 turns Batt?

Yes ...1 mile.

[JBEX]

***

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[str]

Straight No Chaser Workout Report



Straight No Chaser breezed a half mile in :48.40 on Sunday morning over the Meydan dirt course. He worked by himself as usual, breezing in even fractions and finishing up in hand. Trainer Dan Blacker, who was on site for the breeze, clocked him galloping out in 1:00.20. “He looked like his usual self out there. Juan said he felt good,” reported Blacker.

The plan remains for Straight No Chaser to have two additional works leading up to the G1 Dubai Golden Shaheen on Apr. 5th.

https://youtu.be/KVm1WHOjrug

Nice quiet maintenance work.

Looks great Batt.

[str]

Sweet Voyage Entry Update



Sweet Voyage has been entered to run in the fifth race on Mar. 22 at Turfway Park. She will break from post 3 in a full field with Gabriel Saez in the irons. We will be back with a race preview in the coming days.

Is this 2 turns Batt?

[str]

considering first time vs winners and on a fast track thought an excellent effort coming in 3rd at 13-1 ..sure str could elaborate more on the effort and trip he had



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This horse is so cool.

13-1 on him is ridiculous. All this one does is run his heart out for you.

The horse learned quite a bit in that race from the experience point of view.

Expect more of the same next start.

What a nice horse to have in your barn to work with.

He got a lot out of that race mentally AND physically.

I just shake my head when I see this stuff. And for all the good reasons.

[str]

https://agameofskill.com/free-harnes...nd-selections/

here's a free link for harness downloads

That has to help plenty in here.

Thanks Darrell !

[str]

you had the right idea here..be interesting to see if they can get him to close in his next few starts ..also possible he just needed that race off the lengthy layoff and can get it done on the front end when in shape

Yeah. It's never a stretch to think these offspring won't give you all they have.

I think this horse will be very useful down the road.

[JBEX]

Louisiana Derby Draw



The field for next Saturday’s Louisiana Derby has been drawn, and Caldera was assigned post #5 in a field of 10. He has been quoted as the 5-1 third choice on the morning line. That’s a fine post for him and at first glance this definitely looks like a race he should have a legitimate shot in.

agree the middle post is a good draw for him..will take a look during the week

it would be an amazing feat (SNC) to win both of those big purse races in dubai and saudi arabia ..hope he gets it done