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Tua Tagovailoa Player Props, Predictions Week 2: Quarterback Primed for Sunday Night Football

Neil Parker

Last Updated: September 17, 2023 4:48 PM EDT • 2 min 13 sec read.

Sportsbook Review's betting analyst, Neil Parker, dives into the player props for Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa in his matchup with the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football, sharing his picks based on the latest NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa threw for 466 yards and three touchdowns against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1, and now he's ready to face division rival New England Patriots under the bright lights of Sunday Night Football.

Here are our best Tua Tagovailoa player prop picks for the Dolphins vs. Patriots Sunday Night Football matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Tua Tagovailoa NFL player props for Week 2

Tua Tagovailoa Over 264.5 passing yards (-114 via BetRivers)⭐

I was immediately drawn to this total through BetRivers because FanDuel has the line at 268.5 with the same -114 juice. Additionally, there’s a slight advantage based on my projection of Tagovailoa throwing for 272.4 passing yards against the Pats.

New England showed well in Week 1 against the Philadelphia Eagles and limited quarterback Jalen Hurts to just 170 passing yards. Still, the weather was unfavorable, and it was offensive coordinator Brian Johnson’s first game calling plays for the Eagles. 

Conditions shouldn’t curb the Miami passing attack Sunday, and I’d price this Over at -120, so we’re landing a short positive expected value of 2% on the -114 BetRivers odds.

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 21.5 passing completions (-110 via BetMGM)⭐⭐

This prop correlates with Tagovailoa going Over his passing yards total, and it’s also another example of the BetMGM number being lower than the 22.5 completions total FanDuel is hanging.

I have the Miami signal-caller projected for 22.3 completions, so I’d price this prop at -125 to present a positive expected value of 6% on the -110 BetMGM number.

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Tua Tagovailoa player prop picks made 9/16/23 at 9:54 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Neil Parker
A lifelong Cowboys, Cubs, Maple Leafs and Gators supporter, Neil has been covering sports in print and online since 2011. His past stops include USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook and RotoWire among others. He's a graduate of St. Thomas University and Acadia University and spends ample time at KenWo Golf Club.