Trevor Lawrence Player Prop Picks, Predictions Week 16: How Will Jags QB Perform vs. Jets D?

Check out our best Trevor Lawrence player prop picks for Week 16 based on the top odds.

Shane Thurston

Last Updated: October 8, 2025 11:09 AM EDT • 3 minute read

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Week 16 of the NFL regular season kicks off with a Thursday Night Football matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Jets. Read on for our Trevor Lawrence NFL prop picks and predictions based on top odds.

The Jaguars (6-8) are suddenly in the mix for an AFC South crown after winning three of their last four games since the bye week. Lawrence is a big reason for this run, as the second-year quarterback is playing extremely well of late.

Here are our best Trevor Lawrence player prop picks for the Jaguars vs. Jets Week 16 matchup (odds via PointsBet and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Jaguars vs. Jets picks, same-game parlay, and Thursday Night Football prop picks.

Trevor Lawrence Player Prop Picks for Week 16

Trevor Lawrence Under 215.5 passing yards (-120 via PointsBet)
Trevor Lawrence Over 10.5 rushing yards (-140 via PointsBet)
Trevor Lawrence Over 0.5 interceptions (-135 via DraftKings)

Jaguars vs. Jets Odds

Trevor Lawrence Player Props

Trevor Lawrence Under 215.5 passing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Jets surrendered 252 passing yards in a loss to the Detroit Lions last week. It marked the first time New York’s defense gave up at least 200 passing yards in a game since Oct. 23, snapping a six-game streak for a promising unit.

Lawrence has been playing well, but he hasn’t always cleared this passing yardage prop. He has finished with fewer than 215 passing yards in three of his previous five losses. The Jets, who are favored in this game and have the sixth-ranked defensive DVOA via Football Outsiders, will challenge Lawrence in this TNF matchup.

This bet should be made at PointsBet, which has the highest number on the board for a prop that is as low as a 212.5 at FanDuel.

Trevor Lawrence Over 10.5 rushing yards (-140) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I like to back a quarterback’s rushing prop against a talented defense, especially when we can expect pressure. The Jets have the fourth-best pass rushing grade on the year, according to Pro Football Focus. They are averaging 2.8 sacks per game, which ranks seventh in the NFL.

Lawrence doesn’t always run, but he certainly has the ability to do so. He recorded 21 rushing yards in a win over the Dallas Cowboys last weekend, and has cleared this mark four times over his last six games. This line is a consensus 12.5 across the board, so play the juiced 10.5 at PointsBet for a safer wager.

Trevor Lawrence Over 0.5 interceptions (-135) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

As good as Lawrence has been this season, it is important to remember that he is a second-year quarterback. The 23-year-old signal caller is going to make mistakes, and he proved so by throwing an interception against the Cowboys in Week 15.

Lawrence has committed 19 turnover-worthy plays on the year, per Pro Football Focus. Only five quarterbacks have a higher total in that category. The Jets thrive on takeaways, and will be ready to capitalize on an errant throw by Lawrence.

This prop is priced at -135 on DraftKings, which is a slight discount compared to BetMGM’s offering of -140 for the same line.

Trevor Lawrence player prop picks made 12/22/2022 at 10:45 a.m. ET.

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Written by:
Shane Thurston

Shane Thurston has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Thurston cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses NFL experience, a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Thurston is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Thurston doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.